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2160 Faliron Rd
B+ Composite 77.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$222,500

2160 Faliron Rd · North Fort Myers, FL 33917
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,117 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1991 7,361 sqft lot Est $267k · 17% under $242/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The lowest priced home in Herons Glen Country Club just hit the market! This rare La Casita floor plan - one of only two in all of Herons Glen - delivers exceptional value in one of North Fort Myers' most sought-after active lifestyle communities. A charming courtyard-style entry welcomes you into a home that feels open, airy, and filled with natural light throughout its well-designed split two-bedroom, two-bath layout. The screened lanai at the rear of the home overlooks a large backyard, and the spacing between neighboring homes gives you extra privacy and elbow room. The roof and gutters were replaced in 2020, and the home sits outside of any flood zone, which means one less thing to wor

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Screened lanai
  • Safety film applied

Tags

COURTYARD STYLE ENTRYSCREENED LANAILARGE BACKYARDROOF AND GUTTERS REPLACEDSAFETY FILM APPLIEDSTEPS FROM DRIVING RANGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community of approximately 1,300 units; Private paved road with private maintenance; Zoning: RPD
  • Financial info: Pets allowed conditionally (call), maximum 3 pets
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (quarterly fee); Association fee includes management, cable TV, internet, irrigation water, legal/accounting, grounds maintenance, recreation facilities, reserve fund, road maintenance, street lights, security; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, golf course, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball, bocce, shuffleboard, putting greens, restaurant, billiards, library, hobby room, barbecue/picnic areas, sidewalks, trails, management

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Paved; Garage door opener; 2 covered spaces
  • Security: Gated community with guard; Security gate; Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water (assessment paid); Public sewer (assessment paid); Cable available; High speed internet available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single-story home; Entry level 1; Faces west; Resale property; Exposure east
  • Construction: Built with block, concrete and stucco; Tile roof
  • Exterior features: Lanai; Porch; Screened porch; Sprinkler/irrigation; Sprinklers automatic; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Icemaker; Microwave; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator with ice maker; Breakfast bar; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level; Main level primary
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Furnished; Breakfast bar; Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Pantry; Cable TV; Window treatments; High speed internet; Shower only (separate shower)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $222k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $816 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $222k).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 841 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,221/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 775% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $128k; list at $222k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,150 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
10.69%
Cash-on-cash
15.71%
DSCR
1.70
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$266,963
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20621 Marathona Ct 0.35mi 2/2.0 1,140 (+2%) 23mo $272,500 $239 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$14,879
Equity at exit
$33,175
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$75,675
Equity at exit
$19,238

Cash invested: $62,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33917

Home prices YoY
-30.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
841
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,221 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,167
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,726/yr
Insurance
$93
HOA
$242
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$676
Net cashflow
$816

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,188
Max offer price $222,500
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $942 -5% $879 +0% $816 +5% $753 +10% $690
Rent -10% $561 -5% $689 +0% $816 +5% $943 +10% $1,070
Rate -1.0pp $928 -0.5pp $872 base $816 +0.5pp $758 +1.0pp $700

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,625
Closing costs
$6,675
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2130 Rio Nuevo Dr Unit 1546442P North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1248 $4,682 $3.75 16d 1 0.18mi
2481 Palo Duro Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $4,000 $2.76 17d 1 0.30mi
2481 Palo Duro Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $4,000 $2.76 22d 1 0.30mi
2300 Valparaiso Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1237 $3,000 $2.43 17d 1 0.30mi
2300 Valparaiso Blvd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1237 $4,000 $3.23 25d 1 0.30mi
1900 Corona del Sire Dr North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1449 $2,400 $1.66 25d 1 0.37mi
20919 Villareal Way North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1428 $4,000 $2.80 25d 1 0.51mi
10401 Circle Pine Rd North Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1294 $3,000 $2.32 25d 1 1.18mi
19621 N Tamiami Trl North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1205 $1,300 $1.08 25d 1 1.22mi
19477 Bermuda Ct North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1460 $1,499 $1.03 3d 1 1.40mi
19421 Bermuda Ct North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,499 $1.25 3d 1 1.44mi
19414 Bermuda Ct North Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1251 $1,499 $1.20 3d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$242 · $2,904/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-25
    price $222,500
  3. 2026-03-03
    listed $235,000 Active
  4. 2003-04-10
    soldstatus $128,000
  5. 2003-02-15
    listed $128,000
  6. 1994-11-16
    soldstatus $28,900
  7. 1991-05-17
    soldstatus $63,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,726 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,726 · $227/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,651
− Mortgage interest
−$12,463
− Property taxes
−$2,726
− Insurance
−$1,112
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,092
− Management
−$3,092
− HOA
−$2,904
− Depreciation
−$6,473
Taxable income
$6,788
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,629
After-tax cash flow
$8,161/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
33,380
Household income
$55,000
Rent vs Own
16.3% rent · 83.7% own
Severe rent burden
775.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.28%
Current HPI
282.2895
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+250.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $222,500 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $235,000 FORTMLS
  • 2003-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
  • 2003-02-15 Listed $128,000 FORTMLS
  • 1994-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $28,900 Public Records
  • 1991-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $63,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,726 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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