320 Depot St · Kellogg, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment opportunity! 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom in Kellogg, Iowa, currently being used as a rental.
Key facts
- 8,043 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1880
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached one-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Residential zoning; Road frontage on concrete
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Open patio
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Carpet flooring
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#904 in IA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Newton Community School District (town): math 59% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #245 of 289 in IA (top 85%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
- Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.14%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,300
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 2nd St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+4%) | 15mo | $149,900 | $144 | 65 |
| 524 2nd St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 912 (-9%) | 22mo | $28,000 | $31 | 54 |
| 918 Reuel Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 904 (-10%) | 14mo | $204,900 | $227 | 49 |
| 104 East St | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+11%) | 22mo | $167,900 | $151 | 39 |
| 10171 Illinois Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-14%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $150 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.33% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.18×
- Total profit
- $47,520
- Equity at exit
- $55,723
- IRR
- 28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.68×
- Total profit
- $123,994
- Equity at exit
- $107,398
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50135
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,019 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $840/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $294
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $338 | -5% $316 | +0% $294 | +5% $272 | +10% $250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $213 | -5% $254 | +0% $294 | +5% $334 | +10% $374 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $333 | -0.5pp $314 | base $294 | +0.5pp $274 | +1.0pp $253 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $78,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $78,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $78,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $78,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $78,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $78,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $78,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $78,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $78,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $78,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 97-char remark
-
2026-06-05$78,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $840 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,032 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$192/yr (+$16/mo · 22.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,233
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$840
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$979
- − Management
- −$979
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $2,408
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$578
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,948/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newton Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1920610
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,447
- Composite
- 51.15/100
- National rank
- #1762
- State rank
- #245 of 289 in IA
Livability — Kellogg
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #904
- US rank
- #21560
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kellogg, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,777
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,216 people
- By 2030
- 35,730 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 34,727 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 33,802 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 33,382 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 32,761 · -9.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Portuguese 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.6) · D 35.4% · R 63.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -27.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.6 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+18.4 2012: D+7.1 2008: D+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.33%
- Current HPI
- 312.7639
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $78,000 DMMLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $840 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…