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Harper Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 27.99
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.1/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$283,990

Harper Plan · Ocala, FL 34474
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,665 sqft · SingleFamily · 215 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tartan Farms at Winding Oaks presents the Harper, available in Ocala, Florida. Welcome inside this stunning single-story, four bedroom and two bathroom home offering 1,665 square feet of luxurious living space. This meticulously designed residence combines modern convenience with timeless elegance and showcases quartz countertops. As you step inside, you're greeted by a foyer leading you into the heart of the home. The open-concept layout seamlessly connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, creating a perfect space for entertaining with family and friends. With ample room for seating, it's an ideal spot for relaxation and gatherings. The kitchen is a true highlight on this home, boasting quartz countertops, stainless-steel appliances, and an oversized kitchen island. Whether you're preparing a casual meal or hosting a formal dinner, this kitchen is well-equipped to meet your culinary needs. The four generously sized bedrooms offer flexibility for various lifestyles. The primary suite features a private ensuite bathroom with a double vanity, quartz countertops, and a spacious walk-in closet. The remaining three bedrooms share a bathroom and have carpeted floors and closets in each room. The Harper also includes a two-car garage and a dedicated laundry room. Whether you're seeking a peaceful family retreat or a stylish place to call your own, this residence is sure to meet your every need.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Open-concept layout
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

QUARTZ COUNTERTOPSOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTOVERSIZED KITCHEN ISLANDPRIVATE ENSUITE BATHROOMSPACIOUS WALK-IN CLOSETDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $283,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $365,735.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $284k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-852 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (14.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (25.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hammett Bowen Jr. Elementary School (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 867 students, 54% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,365 students, 54% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 414 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $212,146 (25.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.58%
Cap rate
3.50%
Cash-on-cash
-9.98%
DSCR
0.56
GRM
14.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$365,735
List price
$283,990
Delta
-22.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6879 SW 42nd Court Rd 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,672 (+0%) 3mo $280,000 $167 84
6891 SW 42nd Court Rd 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,828 (+10%) 1mo $295,000 $161 76
4581 SW 71st Lane Rd 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,816 (+9%) 1mo $289,990 $160 68
7701 SW 46th Ct 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,560 (-6%) 3mo $260,990 $167 59
7725 SW 46th Ct 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,560 (-6%) 3mo $259,990 $167 59
7797 SW 46th Ct 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,560 (-6%) 1mo $259,990 $167 58
7773 SW 46th Ct 0.64mi 4/2.0 1,560 (-6%) 3mo $255,000 $163 57
7749 SW 46th Ct 0.62mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,739 (+4%) 3mo $263,000 $151 56
7804 SW 46th Ct 0.68mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,739 (+4%) 1mo $270,965 $156 55
6470 SW 50th Ct 0.70mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,720 (+3%) 12mo $285,000 $166 47
6407 SW 45th Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,881 (+13%) 13mo $355,000 $189 45
6495 SW 50th Ct 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,864 (+12%) 18mo $300,000 $161 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-37.4%
Equity multiple
-0.17×
Total profit
$-119,445
Equity at exit
$54,532
10-year hold
IRR
-76.2%
Equity multiple
-0.92×
Total profit
$-196,866
Equity at exit
$31,622

Cash invested: $102,406 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
43 active · 28 under contract
Months of supply
12.9 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$280,000 ($170/sqft)
Median days on market
115 d
This list price
53% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+29.2% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34474

Home prices YoY
-28.4%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
414
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,121 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,918
Tax est. 1.5%
$457 /mo · $5,486/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$446
Net cashflow
$-852

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,199
Max offer price $242,513
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-599 -5% $-725 +0% $-852 +5% $-978 +10% $-1,104
Rent -10% $-1,019 -5% $-935 +0% $-852 +5% $-768 +10% $-684
Rate -1.0pp $-667 -0.5pp $-759 base $-852 +0.5pp $-946 +1.0pp $-1,043

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,434
Closing costs
$10,972
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7749 SW 46th Ct Ocala, FL 5.0 2.0 1739 $2,200 $1.27 6d 1 0.65mi
7804 SW 46th Ct Ocala, FL 5.0 2.0 1739 $2,100 $1.21 0d 1 0.70mi
4426 SW 80th Pl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1429 $2,050 $1.43 6d 1 0.83mi
5101 SW 60th Street Rd Ocala, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1228 $2,060 $1.68 2d 27 0.90mi
5697 SW 49th Rd Ocala, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1016 $1,909 $1.88 109d 17 0.97mi
5697 SW 49th Rd Ocala, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1016 $1,909 $1.88 0d 41 0.97mi
4593 SW 81st Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1843 $2,150 $1.17 0d 1 1.01mi
4942 SW 81st St Ocala, FL 3.0 2.5 1708 $1,800 $1.05 6d 1 1.02mi
4915 SW 81st St Ocala, FL 3.0 2.5 1707 $1,795 $1.05 109d 1 1.07mi
4898 SW 81st Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.5 1708 $1,790 $1.05 6d 1 1.07mi
4015 SW 54th Street Rd Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 2045 $2,500 $1.22 109d 1 1.11mi
4939 SW 81st Loop Ocala, FL 3.0 2.5 1828 $1,750 $0.96 109d 1 1.11mi
4163 SW 53rd Lane Rd Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,249 $1.23 0d 1 1.12mi
8320 SW 41st Ter Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1841 $2,300 $1.25 109d 1 1.16mi
4957 SW 83rd Pl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.5 1339 $1,650 $1.23 6d 1 1.20mi
4967 SW 83rd Pl Ocala, FL 3.0 2.5 1339 $1,650 $1.23 6d 1 1.21mi
4643 SW 84th Street Rd Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1663 $1,925 $1.16 109d 1 1.22mi
4757 SW 83rd Loop Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1821 $1,999 $1.10 3d 1 1.28mi
4713 SW 83rd Loop Ocala, FL 4.0 3.0 1958 $2,250 $1.15 6d 1 1.30mi
4900 SW 46th Ct Ocala, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1106 $1,765 $1.60 0d 28 1.30mi
4535 SW 54th Street Rd Ocala, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1024 $2,059 $2.01 0d 24 1.31mi
4383 SW 85th Ln Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $2,045 $1.41 6d 1 1.32mi
8579 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 2176 $2,272 $1.04 3d 1 1.34mi
4703 SW 85th Pl Ocala, FL 4.0 2.0 1828 $2,500 $1.37 109d 1 1.35mi
8585 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $2,045 $1.41 6d 1 1.35mi
8590 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,895 $1.30 109d 1 1.36mi
8590 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,895 $1.30 109d 1 1.36mi
8602 SW 43rd Ter Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 2176 $2,195 $1.01 109d 1 1.37mi
8602 SW 43rd Ter Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 2176 $2,195 $1.01 109d 1 1.37mi
8619 SW 44th Ter Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1504 $1,925 $1.28 6d 1 1.39mi
8609 SW 46th Ter Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1670 $2,400 $1.44 109d 1 1.43mi
8665 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,895 $1.30 117d 1 1.44mi
8650 SW 46th Ave Ocala, FL 3.0 2.0 1504 $2,000 $1.33 6d 1 1.44mi
8704 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 2176 $2,195 $1.01 117d 1 1.49mi
8704 SW 44th Ct Ocala, FL 4.0 2.5 2176 $2,195 $1.01 109d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $283,990 Active 215 DOM
  2. 2026-09-24
    days on market $283,990 Active 214 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $283,990 Active 212 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $283,990 Active 211 DOM
  5. 2026-09-18
    days on market $283,990 Active 209 DOM
  6. 2026-09-17
    days on market $283,990 Active 208 DOM
  7. 2026-09-16
    days on market $283,990 Active 207 DOM
  8. 2026-09-15
    days on market $283,990 Active 206 DOM
  9. 2026-09-14
    days on market $283,990 Active 205 DOM
  10. 2026-09-13
    days on market $283,990 Active 204 DOM
  11. 2026-09-12
    days on market $283,990 Active 203 DOM
  12. 2026-09-11
    days on market $283,990 Active 202 DOM
  13. 2026-09-05
    days on market $283,990 Active 196 DOM
  14. 2026-09-04
    days on market $283,990 Active 195 DOM
  15. 2026-09-03
    days on market $283,990 Active 194 DOM
  16. 2026-08-31
    days on market $283,990 Active 191 DOM
  17. 2026-08-30
    days on market $283,990 Active 190 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $283,990 Active 189 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $283,990 Active 188 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $283,990 Active 187 DOM
  21. 2026-08-25
    days on market $283,990 Active 185 DOM
  22. 2026-08-24
    days on market $283,990 Active 184 DOM
  23. 2026-08-23
    days on market $283,990 Active 183 DOM
  24. 2026-08-22
    days on market $283,990 Active 182 DOM
  25. 2026-08-20
    days on market $283,990 Active 180 DOM
  26. 2026-08-19
    days on market $283,990 Active 179 DOM
  27. 2026-08-18
    days on market $283,990 Active 178 DOM
  28. 2026-08-17
    days on market $283,990 Active 177 DOM
  29. 2026-08-16
    days on market $283,990 Active 176 DOM
  30. 2026-08-15
    days on market $283,990 Active 175 DOM
  31. 2026-08-14
    days on market $283,990 Active 174 DOM
  32. 2026-08-13
    days on market $283,990 Active 173 DOM
  33. 2026-08-12
    days on market $283,990 Active 172 DOM
  34. 2026-08-11
    days on market $283,990 Active 171 DOM
  35. 2026-08-10
    days on market $283,990 Active 170 DOM
  36. 2026-08-09
    days on market $283,990 Active 169 DOM
  37. 2026-08-08
    days on market $283,990 Active 168 DOM
  38. 2026-08-07
    days on market $283,990 Active 167 DOM
  39. 2026-08-06
    days on market $283,990 Active 166 DOM
  40. 2026-08-05
    pricedays on market $283,990 Active 165 DOM
  41. 2026-08-03
    days on market $289,990 Active 163 DOM
  42. 2026-07-31
    days on market $289,990 Active 160 DOM
  43. 2026-07-30
    days on market $289,990 Active 159 DOM
  44. 2026-07-29
    days on market $289,990 Active 158 DOM
  45. 2026-07-27
    days on market $289,990 Active 156 DOM
  46. 2026-07-25
    days on market $289,990 Active 154 DOM
  47. 2026-07-23
    days on market $289,990 Active 152 DOM
  48. 2026-07-22
    days on market $289,990 Active 151 DOM
  49. 2026-07-21
    days on market $289,990 Active 150 DOM
  50. 2026-07-18
    days on market $289,990 Active 147 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,458
− Mortgage interest
−$20,487
− Property taxes
−$5,486
− Insurance
−$1,829
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,037
− Management
−$2,037
− Depreciation
−$10,640
Taxable loss
−$17,057
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,094
After-tax cash flow
$-6,125/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $8,325–$24,975 screening

This single-story home in Ocala, Florida, is in good condition with a modern kitchen and bathrooms. It's ready for move-in and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint on the exterior trim to enhance its curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Rental Inspect and clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and prevent water damage, which is important for rental properties.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 46/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Hammett Bowen Jr. Elementary School C+ FL #832/2,144 Nat'l #9,382/41,679 Middle Liberty Middle School F FL #360/571 Nat'l #5,872/14,009 High West Port High School F FL #255/667 Nat'l #7,439/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL
C Composite livability gradescore 69/100

Livability — Ocala

Score
69/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#8461

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocala, FL
County
Marion County · 365,905 people
City population
263,375
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,258
Household income
$65,291
Rent vs Own
55.8% rent · 44.2% own
Severe rent burden
14% of renters

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 13% Two or more races 8% Asian 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $289,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…