11303 124th Street Ct E #61 · South Hill, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.1/15.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this bright and cheerful three-bedroom 2 bath home located in the desirable San Souci 55-plus community. Lovingly cared for and tastefully updated, this inviting home features a spacious split floor plan designed for comfortable living. You will love the great room concept, where the dining and living areas combine and flow seamlessy into the eat-in kitchen, which boasts abundant storage, walk in pantry, a breakfast nook, and a dedicated office space. The primary bedroom is a true retreat, complete with a luxurious 5 piece bath which features a soaking tub, and a generous walk in closet. The additional spacious 2 bedrooms share a full guest bath. Outside, you will appreciate the
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Pet-friendly
- Covered patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community designation noted; Buyer to verify schools and internet specifics
- Financial info: Land lease payment (monthly) applies; Listing terms: Cash or Conventional
- HOA & community: Located in San Souci mobile home park (park approved for sale); Park amenities: clubhouse, common area, high-speed internet available, laundry, pool, RV parking; 265 homes in park; Pets allowed (cats and dogs; see remarks)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Community water (park metered); Park septic; Electric power (Puget Sound Energy); Electric water heater; Park-provided Comcast cable; Internet available via Xfinity/Comcast (buyer to verify)
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home (Palm Harbor Palmmh); Single-level; Mobile home remains; Has a view
- Construction: Cement plank and wood construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation with tie downs; Wood skirt
- Exterior features: Cement plank and wood exterior; Cement planked finish; Wood products; Patio/porch/deck; Landscaped; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl; Vinyl plank; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (2 tubs, 2 showers)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Pellet stove supplemental heat; No central cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace (pellet stove); Water heater; Vaulted ceilings; Skylights; Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows; Walk-in closet; Dining room; Kitchen with eating space; Living room; Utility room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 3.0% in South Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#84 in WA, #1,620 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, cost of living F.
- Puyallup School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #52 of 291 in WA (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 440 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.11%
- DSCR
- 2.30
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $145,638
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11418 127th St E #189 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,542 (-2%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $97 | 86 |
| 11303 127th Street Ct E #164 | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,560 (-0%) | 2mo | $144,950 | $93 | 83 |
| 12615 113th St E #249 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,464 (-6%) | 8mo | $116,950 | $80 | 75 |
| 11325 126th St E #229 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,456 (-7%) | 5mo | $139,900 | $96 | 74 |
| 11301 126th St E #241 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,425 (-9%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $42 | 73 |
| 11401 125th Street Ct E #218 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-10%) | 8mo | $139,950 | $100 | 72 |
| 12602 112th Ave E #33 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,339 (-14%) | 9mo | $66,500 | $50 | 62 |
| 11415 127th St E #186 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,339 (-14%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $60 | 61 |
| 12314 124th St E #17 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,507 (-4%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $100 | 57 |
| 12227 123rd St Ct E #45 | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-4%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $67 | 53 |
| 12223 125th St E #101 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,729 (+10%) | 1mo | $164,000 | $95 | 50 |
| 12504 123rd St E #54 | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-8%) | 7mo | $103,000 | $72 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $39,854
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $110,150
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98374
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 440
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,671 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,429/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$561
- Net cashflow
- $1,086
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12202 107th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $3,000 | $2.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 12202 107th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $2,850 | $2.28 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 10614 123rd Street Ct E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1584 | $2,500 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 12117 122nd Ave E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,975 | $1.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 502 43rd Ave SE Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,810 | $2.55 | 4d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 12724 104th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 910 | $2,345 | $2.58 | 5d | 8 | 0.58mi |
| 12111 104th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $1,867 | $2.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 13011 122nd Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2176 | $3,100 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 13011 Meridian E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $2,350 | $2.49 | 2d | 19 | 0.76mi |
| 13404 106th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,650 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 12123 125th Avenue Ct E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 13523 106th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $2,650 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 12437 129th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1818 | $2,400 | $1.32 | 10d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 13507 99th Ave E Puyallup, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 994 | $2,237 | $2.25 | 2d | 15 | 1.11mi |
| 10511 140th Street Ct E #27 Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1311 | $2,650 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 13405 97th Ave E #308 Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $2,095 | $1.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 10414 140th St Ct E Puyallup, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $2,595 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 13404 97th Ave E South Hill, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 958 | $2,155 | $2.25 | 44d | 3 | 1.20mi |
| 11013 144th Street Ct E Unit O24-6-B Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,450 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2805 9th St SE Puyallup, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1428 | $2,625 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2923 S Meridian Puyallup, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 942 | $2,320 | $2.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$159,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,429 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,567 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$138/yr (+$12/mo · 9.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,055
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$1,429
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,564
- − Management
- −$2,564
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $11,089
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,661
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,371/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Puyallup School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306960
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,291
- Composite
- 54.01/100
- National rank
- #3006
- State rank
- #52 of 291 in WA
Livability — South Hill
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #1620
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Hill, WA
- County
- Pierce County · 788,257 people
- City population
- 76,707
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,007
- Household income
- $112,662
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1171.0
Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 956,648 people
- By 2030
- 1,010,862 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,113,170 · +16.4%
- By 2050
- 1,206,524 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,436,425 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 1,563,654 · +63.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Black 4% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pierce
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -431.48%
- Current HPI
- 286.6617
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+52.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $159,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-21 Sold (MLS) $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-02 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-03 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-22 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-28 Listed $125,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-11-05 Sold (MLS) $85,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-12 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-07 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-21 Price Changed $100,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-04 Listed $105,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $1,429 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…