1900 59th Ave N · Lealman, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Convenient Location, Great Floorplan, Affordable Living! This spacious condo is located near shopping and within easy driving distance to the beach and downtown St. Petersburg. The roomy floorplan includes one bathroom and a Florida room. The living room looks out at the lake and the parking spot is steps out the back door. The updated windows help with electric bills and hurricanes. The low monthly maintenance includes gas for your stove and the heated pool and shuffleboard courts, and much more!
Key facts
- Shuffleboard courts
- Updated windows
- Florida room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $105k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $391 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.7% in Lealman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#83 in FL, #1,394 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, employment F.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.1%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.94%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,741
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $19,372
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33714
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,413 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $391
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $463 | -5% $427 | +0% $391 | +5% $354 | +10% $318 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $279 | -5% $335 | +0% $391 | +5% $446 | +10% $502 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $443 | -0.5pp $417 | base $391 | +0.5pp $363 | +1.0pp $336 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5850 18th St N St Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 727 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 25d | 2 | 0.01mi |
| 4481 Crestwood Dr N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,950 | $2.71 | 5d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 660 62nd Ave N #1204 Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,400 | $2.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3109 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,025 | $2.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 3109 54th Ave N Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,025 | $2.56 | 19d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 209 NW Jefferson Cir N Unit 15 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,275 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 209 NW Jefferson Cir N Unit JEFFERSON209-15 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,275 | $1.72 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5364 4th St N St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $1,150 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 550 50th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $1,700 | $2.22 | 9d | 2 | 1.23mi |
| 375 54th Ter N St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $2,375 | $2.46 | 3d | 13 | 1.35mi |
| 3725 18th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,795 | $2.56 | 18d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2807 41st Ave N Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,600 | $3.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1001 77th Ave N #308 Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,325 | $2.04 | 5d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 363 48th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,900 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3700 Haines Rd N St Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $1,700 | $2.52 | 16d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 500 75th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 602 | $1,195 | $1.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4163 31st St N unit Unit D Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,490 | $2.48 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1051 79th Ave N #107 Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 720 | $1,495 | $2.08 | 19d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 600 76th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 775 | $1,449 | $1.87 | 5d | 10 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $105,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,356
- − Management
- −$1,356
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $3,206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$769
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,917/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This spacious condo is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good floorplan and is located in a convenient location. Upgrades to the exterior, interior, and kitchen can significantly increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
- Both Updating the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more appealing and functional.
- Both Upgrading the flooring — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home.
- Both Reorganizing the interior layout — A fresh layout can make the home more functional and appealing to potential buyers/tenants.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants. ↑
- Both Updating the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can make the kitchen more appealing and functional. ↑
- Both Upgrading the flooring — New flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home. ↑
- Both Reorganizing the interior layout — A fresh layout can make the home more functional and appealing to potential buyers/tenants. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lealman
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #83
- US rank
- #1394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lealman, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 20,103
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,227
- Household income
- $47,487
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 915.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -179.12%
- Current HPI
- 399.6253
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.08%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $115,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…