2552 Valentine Ct · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Rent growth +0.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$221,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor-friendly opportunity in Algiers! Well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath, two-story home located in an established neighborhood. Features a spacious living area with vaulted ceilings, creating an open and airy feel. No carpet throughout, offering low-maintenance living, and ceiling fans are installed for added comfort. All bedrooms upstairs. Great potential for investors or owner-occupants seeking a move-in-ready property. Conveniently located 6 minutes from New Orleans. X FLOOD ZONE. All offers will be reviewed on Friday April 17 before 5pm.
Key facts
- Spacious living area
- No carpet
- Ceiling fans
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $221k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $221k).
- Recommended offer: $208k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-9.2%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($208k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 14 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $221k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.87%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $288,309
- List price
- $221,000
- Delta
- -23.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2541 Valentine Ct | 0.03mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,534 (+2%) | 6mo | $285,000 | $112 | 86 |
| 2336 Holiday Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,417 (-3%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $124 | 80 |
| 2020 Easter Ln | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 | 2,417 (-3%) | 2mo | $124,900 | $52 | 75 |
| 2147 Holiday Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 | 2,298 (-8%) | 3mo | $275,000 | $120 | 70 |
| 2709 Comet St | 0.20mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,310 (-7%) | 3mo | $249,500 | $108 | 69 |
| 2341 Easter Ln | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 | 2,857 (+15%) | 2mo | $334,500 | $117 | 68 |
| 2711 Cupid | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 2,215 (-11%) | 8mo | $269,000 | $121 | 62 |
| 1912 Holiday Dr | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,325 (-7%) | 9mo | $227,000 | $98 | 61 |
| 2000 Easter Ln | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 2,209 (-11%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $136 | 55 |
| 9 Park Timbers Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 2,242 (-10%) | 1mo | $375,000 | $167 | 51 |
| 2744 Somerset Dr | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,678 (+8%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $45 | 46 |
| 1534 Holiday Pl | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 2,206 (-11%) | 9mo | $283,000 | $128 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-24,148
- Equity at exit
- $32,952
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-23,148
- Equity at exit
- $19,108
Cash invested: $61,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70131
- Home prices YoY
- -12.0%
- Rents YoY
- -9.2%
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,279 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,159
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,342/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $288
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $413 | -5% $350 | +0% $288 | +5% $225 | +10% $162 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $108 | -5% $198 | +0% $288 | +5% $378 | +10% $468 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $399 | -0.5pp $344 | base $288 | +0.5pp $230 | +1.0pp $172 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,250
- Closing costs
- $6,630
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1410 Kabel Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,200 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2001 Saint Nick Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2400 | $2,300 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3441 Catalina Dr New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,450 | $1.52 | 12d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 21 Carriage Ln New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,000 | $1.05 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3511 Hyman Pl New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1975 | $2,700 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 103 Danny Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2040 | $2,400 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1825 Murl St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2484 | $1,750 | $0.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2741 Chelsea Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2382 | $2,500 | $1.05 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3751 Herald St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $2,150 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5801 Albany Ct New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2160 | $2,000 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3738 Somerset Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2247 | $3,000 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2320 Mardi Gras Blvd New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6021 Brighton Pl New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1840 | $3,100 | $1.68 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 517 Diplomat St Terrytown, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 579-char remark
-
2026-06-18pricestatus $221,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 67 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 66 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 58 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 57 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 52 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 49 DOM
-
2026-05-02status Pending 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Investor-friendly opportunity in Algiers! Well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath, two-story home located in an established neighborhood. Features a spacious living area with vaulted ceilings, creating an open and airy feel. No carpet throughout, offering low-maintenance living, and ceiling fans are installed for added comfort. All bedrooms upstairs. Great potential for investors or owner-occupants seeking a move-in-ready property. Conveniently located 6 minutes from New Orleans. X FLOOD ZONE. All offers will be reviewed on Friday April 17 before 5pm.
-
2026-05-02historical Active Under Contract 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Investor-friendly opportunity in Algiers! Well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath, two-story home located in an established neighborhood. Features a spacious living area with vaulted ceilings, creating an open and airy feel. No carpet throughout, offering low-maintenance living, and ceiling fans are installed for added comfort. All bedrooms upstairs. Great potential for investors or owner-occupants seeking a move-in-ready property. Conveniently located 6 minutes from New Orleans. X FLOOD ZONE. All offers will be reviewed on Friday April 17 before 5pm.
-
2026-04-12$215,000 Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Investor-friendly opportunity in Algiers! Well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath, two-story home located in an established neighborhood. Features a spacious living area with vaulted ceilings, creating an open and airy feel. No carpet throughout, offering low-maintenance living, and ceiling fans are installed for added comfort. All bedrooms upstairs. Great potential for investors or owner-occupants seeking a move-in-ready property. Conveniently located 6 minutes from New Orleans. X FLOOD ZONE. All offers will be reviewed on Friday April 17 before 5pm.
-
2026-04-12$215,000 Active 553-char remark
Show marketing remark (553 chars)
Investor-friendly opportunity in Algiers! Well-maintained 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath, two-story home located in an established neighborhood. Features a spacious living area with vaulted ceilings, creating an open and airy feel. No carpet throughout, offering low-maintenance living, and ceiling fans are installed for added comfort. All bedrooms upstairs. Great potential for investors or owner-occupants seeking a move-in-ready property. Conveniently located 6 minutes from New Orleans. X FLOOD ZONE. All offers will be reviewed on Friday April 17 before 5pm.
-
2026-03-17historical $2,000
-
2026-03-01$2,000
-
2026-02-04$239,900 Active
-
2025-12-10price $239,900
-
2025-12-10price $239,900
-
2025-11-29price $249,900
-
2025-11-10price $249,900
-
2025-11-03$259,000 Active
-
2025-09-26price $259,900
-
2025-09-24price $259,900
-
2025-09-14price $269,000
-
2025-09-14price $269,000
-
2025-09-09price $269,900
-
2025-09-09price $269,900
-
2025-08-30$279,900 Active
-
2025-08-30$269,000 Active
-
2025-02-27price $225,000
-
2025-02-07price $225,000
-
2024-12-07price $240,000
-
2024-12-07price $240,000
-
2024-11-11$250,000 Active
-
2012-12-18soldstatus $95,000
-
2012-12-14soldstatus $95,000
-
2012-10-15$94,900
-
2012-10-15$94,900
-
2012-01-03$94,900
-
2012-01-03$94,900
-
2002-07-30soldstatus $145,000
-
2002-06-26$144,800
-
2002-06-26$144,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,342 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,342 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,345
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,379
- − Property taxes
- −$2,342
- − Insurance
- −$1,902
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,188
- − Management
- −$2,188
- − Depreciation
- −$6,429
- Taxable loss
- −$83
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$20
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,471/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,151
- Household income
- $62,389
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 707.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 62% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.08%
- Current HPI
- 206.7552
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -9.23%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+159.0% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-02 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2026-04-12 Listed $215,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-12 Listed $215,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-17 Rental Removed $2,000 RAAMLS
- 2026-03-01 Listed for Rent $2,000 RAAMLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $239,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $239,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $239,900 GSREIN
- 2025-11-29 Price Changed $249,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $249,900 GSREIN
- 2025-11-03 Listed $259,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $259,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $259,900 GSREIN
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $269,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-14 Price Changed $269,000 GSREIN
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $269,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $269,900 GSREIN
- 2025-08-30 Listed $269,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-08-30 Listed $279,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $225,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-02-07 Price Changed $225,000 GSREIN
- 2024-12-07 Price Changed $240,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-12-07 Price Changed $240,000 GSREIN
- 2024-11-11 Listed $250,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2012-12-18 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2012-12-14 Sold (MLS) $95,000 GSREIN
- 2012-10-15 Listed $94,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2012-10-15 Listed $94,900 GSREIN
- 2012-01-03 Listed $94,900 GSREIN
- 2012-01-03 Listed $94,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2002-07-30 Sold (MLS) $145,000 GSREIN
- 2002-06-26 Listed $144,800 GSREIN
- 2002-06-26 Listed $144,800 AcadianaMLS
- 1991-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,342 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…