4214 Springdale Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very well maintained multi unit home offering 6+ bedrooms currently configured as a legal 3 unit triplex feat. 3 self contained apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income, but can be converted back to a super spacious single fam home.
Key facts
- 9,984 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 20 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $723 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.69%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $346,752
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4300 Springdale Ave | 0.01mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,729 (+2%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $81 | 82 |
| 3923 Fairview Ave | 0.46mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,788 (+4%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $129 | 66 |
| 4124 W Forest Park Ave W | 0.25mi | 7/2.5 (+1) | 2,372 (-12%) | 0mo | $264,500 | $112 | 61 |
| 4011 Maine Ave | 0.19mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,355 (-12%) | 6mo | $184,000 | $78 | 60 |
| 3708 Mohawk Ave | 0.40mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 2,468 (-8%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $152 | 56 |
| 2813 Gwynnview Rd | 0.69mi | 6/4.0 | 2,784 (+4%) | 3mo | $460,000 | $165 | 55 |
| 3911 Chatham Rd | 0.40mi | 5/2.5 (-1) | 2,407 (-10%) | 5mo | $370,000 | $154 | 53 |
| 4311 Fernhill Ave | 0.69mi | 7/3.5 (+1) | 2,550 (-5%) | 0mo | $374,000 | $147 | 52 |
| 3904 Belle Ave | 0.66mi | 6/4.0 | 2,802 (+4%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $55 | 52 |
| 2912 Allendale Rd | 0.68mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,858 (+6%) | 7mo | $349,900 | $122 | 47 |
| 3816 Sequoia Ave | 0.66mi | 5/2.5 (-1) | 2,382 (-11%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $71 | 40 |
| 3703 Egerton Rd | 0.61mi | 5/4.5 (-1) | 3,051 (+14%) | 3mo | $479,900 | $157 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $155,145
- Equity at exit
- $172,835
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.76×
- Total profit
- $434,611
- Equity at exit
- $365,270
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21207
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,981 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$445 /mo · $5,341/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$626
- Net cashflow
- $723
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4029 Fairview Ave Baltimore, MD | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2653 | $3,200 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2510 Roslyn Ave Baltimore, MD | 6.0 | 5.0 | 2663 | $4,200 | $1.58 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-03-12status Pending
-
2026-02-20$199,900 Active
-
2017-01-26soldstatus $165,000
-
2017-01-11historical 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Very well maintained multi unit home offering 6+ bedrooms currently configured as a legal 3 unit triplex feat. 3 self contained apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income, but can be converted back to a super spacious single fam home.
-
2017-01-10soldstatus $165,000 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Very well maintained multi unit currently configured as 3 self contained legal licensed apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income. Basement for storage or workshop.
-
2017-01-10soldstatus $165,000 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Very well maintained multi unit currently configured as 3 self contained legal licensed apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income. Basement for storage or workshop.
-
2017-01-10soldstatus $165,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Very well maintained multi unit currently configured as 3 self contained legal licensed apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income. Basement for storage or workshop.
-
2017-01-10soldstatus $165,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
Very well maintained multi unit currently configured as 3 self contained legal licensed apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income. Basement for storage or workshop.
-
2016-11-29status Contract
-
2016-11-29status Contract
-
2016-11-24historical Temporarily Off-Market
-
2016-11-24historical Temporarily Off-Market
-
2016-11-20price $169,000
-
2016-11-20price $169,000
-
2016-10-26price $164,900
-
2016-10-26price $164,900
-
2016-10-26status Active
-
2016-10-26status Active
-
2016-10-19historical Expired
-
2016-10-19historical Expired
-
2016-10-07price $174,900
-
2016-08-22price $179,900
-
2016-08-22price $179,900
-
2016-05-17$189,900 Active
-
2016-05-14$189,900 Active
-
2016-05-13$169,000 395-char remark
Show marketing remark (395 chars)
Very well maintained multi unit home offering 6+ bedrooms currently configured as a legal 3 unit triplex feat. 3 self contained apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income, but can be converted back to a super spacious single fam home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,341 · $445/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,341 · $445/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,777
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$5,341
- − Insurance
- −$1,666
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,862
- − Management
- −$2,862
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $6,032
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,448
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,229/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,099
- Household income
- $67,060
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2139.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swedish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.50%
- Current HPI
- 843.63
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.23%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+18.3% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2017-01-11 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-01-10 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MRIS
- 2017-01-10 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MRIS
- 2017-01-10 Sold (MLS) $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-01-10 Sold (MLS) $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-11-29 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-11-29 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-11-24 Delisted — MRIS
- 2016-11-24 Delisted — MRIS
- 2016-11-20 Price Changed $169,000 MRIS
- 2016-11-20 Price Changed $169,000 MRIS
- 2016-10-26 Price Changed $164,900 MRIS
- 2016-10-26 Price Changed $164,900 MRIS
- 2016-10-26 Relisted — MRIS
- 2016-10-26 Relisted — MRIS
- 2016-10-19 Delisted — MRIS
- 2016-10-19 Delisted — MRIS
- 2016-10-07 Price Changed $174,900 MRIS
- 2016-08-22 Price Changed $179,900 MRIS
- 2016-08-22 Price Changed $179,900 MRIS
- 2016-05-17 Listed $189,900 MRIS
- 2016-05-14 Listed $189,900 MRIS
- 2016-05-13 Listed $169,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,341 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…