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4214 Springdale Ave
A Composite 85.78
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$199,900

4214 Springdale Ave · Baltimore, MD 21207
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,688 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1920 9,984 sqft lot Est $347k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very well maintained multi unit home offering 6+ bedrooms currently configured as a legal 3 unit triplex feat. 3 self contained apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income, but can be converted back to a super spacious single fam home.

Key facts

  • 9,984 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 20 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $723 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $165k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $196,901 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
10.97%
Cash-on-cash
16.69%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$346,752
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4300 Springdale Ave 0.01mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,729 (+2%) 7mo $220,000 $81 82
3923 Fairview Ave 0.46mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,788 (+4%) 1mo $360,000 $129 66
4124 W Forest Park Ave W 0.25mi 7/2.5 (+1) 2,372 (-12%) 0mo $264,500 $112 61
4011 Maine Ave 0.19mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,355 (-12%) 6mo $184,000 $78 60
3708 Mohawk Ave 0.40mi 5/4.0 (-1) 2,468 (-8%) 3mo $375,000 $152 56
2813 Gwynnview Rd 0.69mi 6/4.0 2,784 (+4%) 3mo $460,000 $165 55
3911 Chatham Rd 0.40mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,407 (-10%) 5mo $370,000 $154 53
4311 Fernhill Ave 0.69mi 7/3.5 (+1) 2,550 (-5%) 0mo $374,000 $147 52
3904 Belle Ave 0.66mi 6/4.0 2,802 (+4%) 8mo $155,000 $55 52
2912 Allendale Rd 0.68mi 5/3.0 (-1) 2,858 (+6%) 7mo $349,900 $122 47
3816 Sequoia Ave 0.66mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,382 (-11%) 3mo $169,900 $71 40
3703 Egerton Rd 0.61mi 5/4.5 (-1) 3,051 (+14%) 3mo $479,900 $157 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 5.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.1%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$155,145
Equity at exit
$172,835
10-year hold
IRR
32.3%
Equity multiple
8.76×
Total profit
$434,611
Equity at exit
$365,270

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21207

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,981 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$445 /mo · $5,341/yr
Insurance
$83
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$626
Net cashflow
$723

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,066
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4029 Fairview Ave Baltimore, MD 5.0 4.5 2653 $3,200 $1.21 43d 1 0.40mi
2510 Roslyn Ave Baltimore, MD 6.0 5.0 2663 $4,200 $1.58 43d 1 0.96mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-03-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-20
    listed $199,900 Active
  3. 2017-01-26
    soldstatus $165,000
  4. 2017-01-11
    historical 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Very well maintained multi unit home offering 6+ bedrooms currently configured as a legal 3 unit triplex feat. 3 self contained apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income, but can be converted back to a super spacious single fam home.

  5. 2017-01-10
    soldstatus $165,000 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Very well maintained multi unit currently configured as 3 self contained legal licensed apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income. Basement for storage or workshop.

  6. 2017-01-10
    soldstatus $165,000 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Very well maintained multi unit currently configured as 3 self contained legal licensed apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income. Basement for storage or workshop.

  7. 2017-01-10
    soldstatus $165,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Very well maintained multi unit currently configured as 3 self contained legal licensed apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income. Basement for storage or workshop.

  8. 2017-01-10
    soldstatus $165,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Very well maintained multi unit currently configured as 3 self contained legal licensed apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income. Basement for storage or workshop.

  9. 2016-11-29
    status Contract
  10. 2016-11-29
    status Contract
  11. 2016-11-24
    historical Temporarily Off-Market
  12. 2016-11-24
    historical Temporarily Off-Market
  13. 2016-11-20
    price $169,000
  14. 2016-11-20
    price $169,000
  15. 2016-10-26
    price $164,900
  16. 2016-10-26
    price $164,900
  17. 2016-10-26
    status Active
  18. 2016-10-26
    status Active
  19. 2016-10-19
    historical Expired
  20. 2016-10-19
    historical Expired
  21. 2016-10-07
    price $174,900
  22. 2016-08-22
    price $179,900
  23. 2016-08-22
    price $179,900
  24. 2016-05-17
    listed $189,900 Active
  25. 2016-05-14
    listed $189,900 Active
  26. 2016-05-13
    listed $169,000 395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (395 chars)

    Very well maintained multi unit home offering 6+ bedrooms currently configured as a legal 3 unit triplex feat. 3 self contained apts. Gleaming hrdwd flrs. and updated kitchens and baths. Live in one unit and let the other 2 units pay the entire mortgage. Great oppty' for 1st time home-buyer or investor seeking solid rental income, but can be converted back to a super spacious single fam home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,341 · $445/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,341 · $445/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,777
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$5,341
− Insurance
−$1,666
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,862
− Management
−$2,862
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable income
$6,032
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,448
After-tax cash flow
$7,229/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore County · 769,527 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
47,099
Household income
$67,060
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
2139.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Swedish 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
843.63
Rent YoY
▲ 5.23%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.3% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2017-01-11 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-01-10 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MRIS
  • 2017-01-10 Sold (MLS) $165,000 MRIS
  • 2017-01-10 Sold (MLS) $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-01-10 Sold (MLS) $165,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-11-29 Pending MRIS
  • 2016-11-29 Pending MRIS
  • 2016-11-24 Delisted MRIS
  • 2016-11-24 Delisted MRIS
  • 2016-11-20 Price Changed $169,000 MRIS
  • 2016-11-20 Price Changed $169,000 MRIS
  • 2016-10-26 Price Changed $164,900 MRIS
  • 2016-10-26 Price Changed $164,900 MRIS
  • 2016-10-26 Relisted MRIS
  • 2016-10-26 Relisted MRIS
  • 2016-10-19 Delisted MRIS
  • 2016-10-19 Delisted MRIS
  • 2016-10-07 Price Changed $174,900 MRIS
  • 2016-08-22 Price Changed $179,900 MRIS
  • 2016-08-22 Price Changed $179,900 MRIS
  • 2016-05-17 Listed $189,900 MRIS
  • 2016-05-14 Listed $189,900 MRIS
  • 2016-05-13 Listed $169,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,341 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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