417 E Merrill Ave · Fond du Lac, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Double the doors, double the opportunity! This upper/lower duplex is the perfect investment. The lower unit offers 2 spacious bedrooms, a full bath, and a bonus office space, ideal for working from home, hobbies, or that extra storage everyone wants. Upstairs, you?ll find a cozy and efficient 1 bedroom, 1 bath layout that?s easy to maintain and full of charm. Outside is where this property really shines?tons of off-street parking means no shuffling cars or fighting for space, making life easier for owners and tenants alike. Whether you?re looking to owner-occupy and offset your mortgage or add a solid income property to your portfolio, this duplex checks all the boxes.
Key facts
- Bonus office space
- Off street parking
- 6,098 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Inclusions: 2 refrigerators, 2 ranges; Exclusions: Seller's and tenants' personal property
- Financial info: Total property taxes listed (see listing for amount)
Exterior
- Parking: Outside parking
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Multi-family property (2 units); Combination of 2-story and bi-level design; Entry level and facing direction not specified
- Construction: Information source for year built from assessor/public record
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot approx. 0.14 acre (less than 1/2 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Unit 1: Kitchen (appliances included: refrigerator, range); Unit 2: Kitchen approx. 9 x 6
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 1 bedroom (master approx. 11 x 10)
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 full bathroom; Unit 2: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Partial basement with block walls and a sump pump
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry equipment listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.6% in Fond du Lac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#170 in WI, #4,627 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime D.
- Fond Du Lac School District (urban): math 34% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #255 of 342 in WI (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.2%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Fond du Lac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fond du Lac County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.32%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,014
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -0.01%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $521
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $65,909
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54935
- Rents YoY
- 11.2%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,759 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,083/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$369
- Net cashflow
- $282
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $375 | -5% $329 | +0% $282 | +5% $235 | +10% $189 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $143 | -5% $212 | +0% $282 | +5% $351 | +10% $421 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $365 | -0.5pp $324 | base $282 | +0.5pp $239 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $165,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-04-29$165,000 Active 677-char remark
-
2023-12-21historical $695
-
2023-12-07price $695
-
2023-11-17price $725
-
2023-11-10
-
2023-10-20historical
-
2023-09-20
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,083 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,568 · $214/mo
- Expected delta
- +$485/yr (+$40/mo · 23.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,107
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,083
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,689
- − Management
- −$1,689
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $779
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$187
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,196/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fond Du Lac School District
- NCES district ID
- 5504680
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,125
- Composite
- 28.31/100
- National rank
- #6786
- State rank
- #255 of 342 in WI
Livability — Fond du Lac
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #4627
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fond du Lac, WI
- County
- Fond du Lac County · 41,613 people
- City population
- 41,613
- Metro
- Fond du Lac, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,613
- Household income
- $63,144
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1157.0
Population outlook (Fond du Lac County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,433 people
- By 2030
- 101,594 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 98,503 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 95,039 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 90,551 · -11.6%
- By 2100
- 87,819 · -14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fond du Lac
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.7) · D 35.1% · R 63.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.7pp toward R · 2008: -9.0pp · 2024: -28.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.7 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+26.7 2012: R+15.0 2008: R+9.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -178.76%
- Current HPI
- 205.5097
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.15%
- Metro
- Fond du Lac, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $165,000 RANW
- 2023-12-21 Rental Removed $695 BUILDIUM
- 2023-12-07 Price Changed $695 BUILDIUM
- 2023-11-17 Price Changed $725 BUILDIUM
- 2023-11-10 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
- 2023-10-20 Rental Removed — BUILDIUM
- 2023-09-20 Listed for Rent — BUILDIUM
Property tax history
+0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,083 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…