Duplex
1222 Vyse Ave #2 · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.3/30.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.4/15.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
$897,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Well-maintained two-family brick home located in the desirable Crotona Park East section of the Bronx. This income-producing property offers approximately 2,100 sq. ft. of living space on a 2,900 sq. ft. lot. Features include a spacious 3-bedroom duplex unit, a 2-bedroom apartment 3 bathrooms, hardwood floors, formal dining area, eat-in kitchen, private backyard, and driveway parking for 2 vehicles. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, public transportation, major highways, and local amenities. Excellent opportunity for owner-occupants or investors. "
Key facts
- 2,900 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1991
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association amenities (other); Community features (other)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport for 3 vehicles; Driveway parking (total 3 spaces)
- Security: Fire alarm
- Utilities: Con-Edison electric; Natural gas available; Public sewer; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: Duplex; Updated/remodeled condition
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Back yard; Patio; Pool (other)
Interior
- Kitchen: Accessible kitchen appliances
- Bedrooms: Contains one 4-bedroom unit
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Formal dining room; New windows; Finished attic; Patio
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $897k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-829 ($-10k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-414/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $777k (13.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $680k (24.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $680k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Ps 214 (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #1,418 of 2,108 statewide, top 68%, 836 students, 92% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $66k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $60k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$105k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.96%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $806,400
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 972 Home St | 0.08mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,160 (+3%) | 18mo | $830,000 | $384 | 67 |
| 1333 Chisholm St | 0.36mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,000 (-5%) | 2mo | $863,000 | $432 | 65 |
| 865 Home St | 0.40mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,992 (-5%) | 6mo | $867,000 | $435 | 63 |
| 1149 Simpson St | 0.22mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,280 (+9%) | 11mo | $965,000 | $423 | 61 |
| 1473 Longfellow Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 | 1,950 (-7%) | 22mo | $749,000 | $384 | 56 |
| 859 Home St | 0.41mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 1,992 (-5%) | 18mo | $825,000 | $414 | 50 |
| 1012 E 172 St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,400 (+14%) | 11mo | $795,000 | $331 | 49 |
| 620 E 168th St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 2,200 (+5%) | 13mo | $815,000 | $370 | 45 |
| 1568 Longfellow Ave | 0.41mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+14%) | 22mo | $840,000 | $350 | 34 |
| 769 E 168th St | 0.58mi | 5/5.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+14%) | 18mo | $910,000 | $379 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $241,868
- Equity at exit
- $601,712
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.97×
- Total profit
- $745,017
- Equity at exit
- $1,125,411
Cash invested: $251,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10459
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 22.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,798 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,704
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$1,121 /mo · $13,455/yr
- Insurance
- −$374
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,428
- Net cashflow
- $-829
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-209 | -5% $-519 | +0% $-829 | +5% $-1,138 | +10% $-1,448 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,366 | -5% $-1,097 | +0% $-829 | +5% $-560 | +10% $-292 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-377 | -0.5pp $-600 | base $-829 | +0.5pp $-1,061 | +1.0pp $-1,297 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $6,798 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,399 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $3,399 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,798 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $224,250
- Closing costs
- $26,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-07remarks 565-char remark
-
2026-06-07$897,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $81,576
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,246
- − Property taxes
- −$13,455
- − Insurance
- −$4,485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,526
- − Management
- −$6,526
- − Depreciation
- −$26,095
- Taxable loss
- −$25,757
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,182
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,761/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,753
Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,353 people
- By 2030
- 1,681,852 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,824,421 · +13.5%
- By 2050
- 1,945,470 · +21.0%
- By 2075
- 2,187,887 · +36.1%
- By 2100
- 2,244,136 · +39.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 66% Black 29% Two or more races 16% White 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 22% Dominican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Spanish 55% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bronx
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.66%
- Current HPI
- 277.1628
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Coming Soon $897,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…