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1222 Vyse Ave #2 Duplex
D- Composite 37.59
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.4/15.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0

$897,000

1222 Vyse Ave #2 · New York, NY 10459
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,100 sqft · MultiFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1991 2,900 sqft lot Est $806k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Well-maintained two-family brick home located in the desirable Crotona Park East section of the Bronx. This income-producing property offers approximately 2,100 sq. ft. of living space on a 2,900 sq. ft. lot. Features include a spacious 3-bedroom duplex unit, a 2-bedroom apartment 3 bathrooms, hardwood floors, formal dining area, eat-in kitchen, private backyard, and driveway parking for 2 vehicles. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, public transportation, major highways, and local amenities. Excellent opportunity for owner-occupants or investors. "

Key facts

  • 2,900 sq ft lot
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1991

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association amenities (other); Community features (other)

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport for 3 vehicles; Driveway parking (total 3 spaces)
  • Security: Fire alarm
  • Utilities: Con-Edison electric; Natural gas available; Public sewer; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Duplex; Updated/remodeled condition
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Patio; Pool (other)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Accessible kitchen appliances
  • Bedrooms: Contains one 4-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Formal dining room; New windows; Finished attic; Patio
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area (other)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $897k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-829 ($-10k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-414/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $777k (13.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $680k (24.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $680k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Ps 214 (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #1,418 of 2,108 statewide, top 68%, 836 students, 92% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $66k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $60k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$105k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $679,800 (24.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.96%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$806,400
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
972 Home St 0.08mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,160 (+3%) 18mo $830,000 $384 67
1333 Chisholm St 0.36mi 5/4.0 (+1) 2,000 (-5%) 2mo $863,000 $432 65
865 Home St 0.40mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,992 (-5%) 6mo $867,000 $435 63
1149 Simpson St 0.22mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,280 (+9%) 11mo $965,000 $423 61
1473 Longfellow Ave 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,950 (-7%) 22mo $749,000 $384 56
859 Home St 0.41mi 5/2.5 (+1) 1,992 (-5%) 18mo $825,000 $414 50
1012 E 172 St 0.29mi 4/2.0 2,400 (+14%) 11mo $795,000 $331 49
620 E 168th St 0.69mi 4/2.0 2,200 (+5%) 13mo $815,000 $370 45
1568 Longfellow Ave 0.41mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,400 (+14%) 22mo $840,000 $350 34
769 E 168th St 0.58mi 5/5.0 (+1) 2,400 (+14%) 18mo $910,000 $379 21

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$241,868
Equity at exit
$601,712
10-year hold
IRR
14.1%
Equity multiple
3.97×
Total profit
$745,017
Equity at exit
$1,125,411

Cash invested: $251,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 10459

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
22.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,798 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,704
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,121 /mo · $13,455/yr
Insurance
$374
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,428
Net cashflow
$-829

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,847
Max offer price $777,108
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-209 -5% $-519 +0% $-829 +5% $-1,138 +10% $-1,448
Rent -10% $-1,366 -5% $-1,097 +0% $-829 +5% $-560 +10% $-292
Rate -1.0pp $-377 -0.5pp $-600 base $-829 +0.5pp $-1,061 +1.0pp $-1,297

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,798

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$224,250
Closing costs
$26,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    remarks 565-char remark
  2. 2026-06-07
    listed $897,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$81,576
− Mortgage interest
−$50,246
− Property taxes
−$13,455
− Insurance
−$4,485
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,526
− Management
−$6,526
− Depreciation
−$26,095
Taxable loss
−$25,757
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$6,182
After-tax cash flow
$-3,761/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
City population
7,731,280
Population (ZIP)
49,753

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,353 people
By 2030
1,681,852 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,824,421 · +13.5%
By 2050
1,945,470 · +21.0%
By 2075
2,187,887 · +36.1%
By 2100
2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 66% Black 29% Two or more races 16% White 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 22% Dominican 31%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
29% · Canada
Languages at home
36% English-only · Spanish 55% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

2024 margin
Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.66%
Current HPI
277.1628
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Coming Soon $897,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…