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4165 Highcrest Dr 🌊 Lakefront
D- Composite 36.39
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$383,900

4165 Highcrest Dr · Brighton, MI 48116
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,478 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1945 10,454 sqft lot $260/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perched on the shores of all sports Clifford Lake with 53 feet of private frontage, this somewhat remodeled 2025 retreat delivers a short distance to Brighton which is one of Livingston County's most charming downtowns. You're just a short drive to downtown, where boutique shops, chef driven restaurants, coffee houses, and small town charm create a vibrant destination. Inside, the home feels brand new with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main level, new carpet upstairs, freshly painted ceilings, trim, and walls, and updated new ceiling fans. The galley style kitchen features new appliances and a clean look with white cabinets. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a laundry room with gas/electric hookup. New hot water heater, water softener and water filtration system. Main floor primary bedroom is conveniently situated next to the bathroom. Great room provides lake views and a door wall out to the deck. Investing more updates like new windows, doors, and landscaping will elevate this property into a standout lakefront gem - perfect as a long term investment, a weekend retreat, or a high demand rental. With the major interior updates already complete, the next owner can focus on high impact exterior enhancements that boost value, curb appeal, and rental desirability. This is a wonderful opportunity to get on the lake just in time for summer fun!

Key facts

  • Lake views
  • New hot water heater
  • New appliances

Tags

PRIVATE FRONTAGEGALLEY STYLE KITCHENNEW APPLIANCESLAKE VIEWSDECKNEW HOT WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Ground-level entry; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Paved road access; Lakefront on Clifford Lake

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing gas oven; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s); No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Water softener (owned); Has basement (crawl space); 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $384k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-302 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $331k (13.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $297k (22.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $297k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.4% in Brighton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#108 in MI, #2,621 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Brighton Area Schools (suburban): math 59% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #22 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Hornung Elementary School (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A-, #51 of 1,397 statewide, top 5%, 545 students, 14% FRL); Scranton Middle School (math 56% / reading 71%, grade B+, #42 of 493 statewide, top 8%, 828 students, 16% FRL); Brighton High School (math 54% / reading 75%, grade B-, #46 of 713 statewide, top 7%, 1,961 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($372k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 19 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $164k; list at $384k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $296,813 (22.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  8. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  9. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.37%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$810,518
List price
$383,900
Delta
-52.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4410 Clifford Rd 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,452 (-2%) 21mo $475,000 $327 58
5661 Crooked Lake Rd 1.49mi 3/1.5 1,426 (-4%) 3mo $270,000 $189 55
4001 S Latson Rd 0.96mi 3/2.0 1,656 (+12%) 2mo $475,000 $287 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.9%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-81,401
Equity at exit
$57,241
10-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.11×
Total profit
$-95,483
Equity at exit
$33,193

Cash invested: $107,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48116

Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,968 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,013
Tax from tax record
$474 /mo · $5,684/yr
Insurance
$160
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$623
Net cashflow
$-302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,350
Max offer price $330,552
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-85 -5% $-193 +0% $-302 +5% $-411 +10% $-519
Rent -10% $-536 -5% $-419 +0% $-302 +5% $-185 +10% $-68
Rate -1.0pp $-109 -0.5pp $-204 base $-302 +0.5pp $-401 +1.0pp $-503

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$95,975
Closing costs
$11,517
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4071 Homestead Dr Howell, MI 2.0 1.0 1287 $3,200 $2.49 0d 1 0.31mi
4435 Clifford Rd Brighton, MI 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,300 $1.44 0d 1 0.48mi
2895 Spring Hill Dr Unit 2897 Howell, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,650 $1.72 12d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $383,900 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $383,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $383,900 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $383,900 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $383,900 Active 40 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $383,900 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $383,900 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $383,900 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $383,900 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $383,900 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $383,900 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $383,900 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $383,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $383,900 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $383,900 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $405,000 Active 1395-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1379 chars)

    Perched on the shores of all sports Clifford Lake with 53 feet of private frontage, this somewhat remodeled 2025 retreat delivers a short distance to Brighton which is one of Livingston County's most charming downtowns. You're just a short drive to downtown, where boutique shops, chef driven restaurants, coffee houses, and small town charm create a vibrant destination. Inside, the home feels brand new with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main level, new carpet upstairs, freshly painted ceilings, trim, and walls, and updated new ceiling fans. The galley style kitchen features new appliances and a clean look with white cabinets. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a laundry room with gas/electric hookup. New hot water heater, water softener and water filtration system. Main floor primary bedroom is conveniently situated next to the bathroom. Great room provides lake views and a door wall out to the deck. Investing more updates like new windows, doors, and landscaping will elevate this property into a standout lakefront gem - perfect as a long term investment, a weekend retreat, or a high demand rental. With the major interior updates already complete, the next owner can focus on high impact exterior enhancements that boost value, curb appeal, and rental desirability. This is a wonderful opportunity to get on the lake just in time for summer fun!

  17. 2026-05-06
    listed $405,000 Active 1379-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1379 chars)

    Perched on the shores of all sports Clifford Lake with 53 feet of private frontage, this somewhat remodeled 2025 retreat delivers a short distance to Brighton which is one of Livingston County's most charming downtowns. You're just a short drive to downtown, where boutique shops, chef driven restaurants, coffee houses, and small town charm create a vibrant destination. Inside, the home feels brand new with luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout the main level, new carpet upstairs, freshly painted ceilings, trim, and walls, and updated new ceiling fans. The galley style kitchen features new appliances and a clean look with white cabinets. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and a laundry room with gas/electric hookup. New hot water heater, water softener and water filtration system. Main floor primary bedroom is conveniently situated next to the bathroom. Great room provides lake views and a door wall out to the deck. Investing more updates like new windows, doors, and landscaping will elevate this property into a standout lakefront gem - perfect as a long term investment, a weekend retreat, or a high demand rental. With the major interior updates already complete, the next owner can focus on high impact exterior enhancements that boost value, curb appeal, and rental desirability. This is a wonderful opportunity to get on the lake just in time for summer fun!

  18. 2014-12-31
    historical
  19. 2014-11-03
    historical
  20. 2014-07-11
    listed $179,000
  21. 2014-07-11
    listed $179,000
  22. 2014-07-10
    historical
  23. 2014-07-10
    historical
  24. 2014-05-20
    listed $219,000
  25. 2014-05-20
    listed $219,000
  26. 2014-05-20
    historical
  27. 2014-05-19
    historical
  28. 2014-04-25
    listed $227,900
  29. 2014-04-25
    listed $227,900
  30. 2011-08-30
    historical
  31. 2011-08-30
    historical
  32. 2011-08-19
    listed $152,000
  33. 2011-08-19
    listed $152,000
  34. 2010-10-08
    historical
  35. 2010-10-08
    historical
  36. 2010-09-01
    listed $169,900
  37. 2010-09-01
    listed $169,900
  38. 2007-11-02
    historical
  39. 2007-08-25
    listed $199,900
  40. 2007-08-25
    historical
  41. 2007-06-27
    listed $219,900
  42. 2006-11-13
    historical
  43. 2006-11-13
    historical
  44. 2006-11-13
    historical
  45. 2006-08-11
    listed $229,000
  46. 2006-08-11
    listed $229,000
  47. 2006-08-11
    historical
  48. 2006-05-12
    listed $234,900
  49. 2006-05-12
    listed $234,900
  50. 2004-04-14
    soldstatus $164,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,684 · $474/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,798 · $483/mo
Expected delta
+$114/yr (+$10/mo · 2.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,618
− Mortgage interest
−$21,504
− Property taxes
−$5,684
− Insurance
−$1,920
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,849
− Management
−$2,849
− Depreciation
−$11,168
Taxable loss
−$10,357
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,486
After-tax cash flow
$-1,138/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brighton Area Schools
NCES district ID
2606870
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$84,114
Composite
57.62/100
National rank
#1062
State rank
#22 of 540 in MI

Livability — Brighton

Score
78/100
State rank
#108
US rank
#2621

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Livingston County · 121,626 people
City population
27,289
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,289
Household income
$106,763
Rent vs Own
14.7% rent · 85.3% own
Severe rent burden
495.0

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,920 people
By 2030
209,173 · +3.1%
By 2040
216,878 · +6.9%
By 2050
217,485 · +7.2%
By 2075
217,590 · +7.2%
By 2100
197,095 · -2.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Italian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.9) · D 37.4% · R 61.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -23.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.9 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+23.3 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -300.62%
Current HPI
183.6902
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.0% since first listed
39 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $383,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $383,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $405,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $405,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-12-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-11-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-07-11 Listed $179,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-07-11 Listed $179,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-07-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-20 Listed $219,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-20 Listed $219,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-05-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-04-25 Listed $227,900 REALCOMP
  • 2014-04-25 Listed $227,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-08-30 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2011-08-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2011-08-19 Listed $152,000 REALCOMP
  • 2011-08-19 Listed $152,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-10-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-10-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2010-09-01 Listed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-09-01 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-08-25 Listed $199,900 REALCOMP
  • 2007-06-27 Listed $219,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-11-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-11-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-11-13 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-08-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-11 Listed $229,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-08-11 Listed $229,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-05-12 Listed $234,900 REALCOMP
  • 2006-05-12 Listed $234,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $164,000 Public Records
  • 2004-04-01 Sold (MLS) $164,000 REALCOMP
  • 2003-10-05 Listed $199,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,684 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…