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78 Carroll St
F Composite 27.66
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.1/30.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$309,000

78 Carroll St · Binghamton, NY 13901
9 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,772 sqft · Townhouse · 50 Days on market
Built 1915 Good condition 1,742 sqft lot $111/sqft · 9% below area Est $341k · 9% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 78 Carroll St, in the heart of downtown Binghamton. This property is located in the Student Zone, and is currently rented on a 1 years lease until May of 2027!!! This property features 9 bedrooms & 3 bathrooms, laid out over 3 floors. Easy walk to downtown, local shopping & bus line!

Key facts

  • Built 1915
  • Listed 49 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 9-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $309k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-992 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (46.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (53.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (53.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 2.4% vs local median 6.2% in Binghamton — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Binghamton City School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #557 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Macarthur School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,786 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 398 students, 62% FRL); Binghamton High School (math 71% / reading 79%, grade A-, #631 of 1,100 statewide, top 58%, 1,341 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 51% at this address vs 37% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Binghamton City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($300k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $144,723 (53.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.47%
Cap rate
2.44%
Cash-on-cash
-13.76%
DSCR
0.39
GRM
17.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$341,099
List price
$309,000
Delta
-9.41%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
162 Susquehanna St 0.26mi 8/2.0 (-1) 2,600 (-6%) 11mo $85,000 $33 59
20-22 Oliver St 0.97mi 8/4.0 (-1) 2,856 (+3%) 3mo $165,000 $58 48
160 Hawley St 0.17mi 10/2.5 (+1) 3,219 (+16%) 14mo $320,000 $99 48
60 Conklin Ave 0.49mi 8/4.0 (-1) 2,920 (+5%) 19mo $330,000 $113 43
21 Lincoln Ave 1.14mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3,000 (+8%) 4mo $245,000 $82 43
72 Conklin Ave 0.47mi 8/4.0 (-1) 2,596 (-6%) 25mo $226,000 $87 38
22 Gerard Ave 0.66mi 8/4.0 (-1) 3,108 (+12%) 6mo $240,000 $77 35
97 Broad Ave 1.28mi 8/3.0 (-1) 2,552 (-8%) 17mo $245,000 $96 33
110 Walnut St 0.79mi 9/4.5 3,452 (+24%) 6mo $225,000 $65 29
127 Laurel Ave 1.25mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3,096 (+12%) 14mo $225,000 $73 29
22 High St 0.56mi 8/4.0 (-1) 3,310 (+19%) 22mo $129,000 $39 22
142 Main St 1.11mi 8/— (-1) 3,429 (+24%) 18mo $160,000 $47 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-42.3%
Equity multiple
-0.31×
Total profit
$-113,238
Equity at exit
$46,073
10-year hold
IRR
-72.0%
Equity multiple
-1.08×
Total profit
$-179,882
Equity at exit
$26,717

Cash invested: $86,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active · 1 under contract
Median asking
$229,950 ($76/sqft)
Median days on market
49 d
This list price
50% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+61.3% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 13901

Home prices YoY
-5.1%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
17.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,447 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,620
Tax est. 1.5%
$386 /mo · $4,635/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$-992

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,703
Max offer price $165,439
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-779 -5% $-885 +0% $-992 +5% $-1,099 +10% $-1,206
Rent -10% $-1,106 -5% $-1,049 +0% $-992 +5% $-935 +10% $-878
Rate -1.0pp $-837 -0.5pp $-914 base $-992 +0.5pp $-1,072 +1.0pp $-1,154

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,250
Closing costs
$9,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
81 State St Unit 2-1 10BR Binghamton, NY 10.0 5.0 2600 $900 $0.35 139d 1 0.31mi
72 Conklin Ave Binghamton, NY 8.0 4.0 2600 $450 $0.17 6d 1 0.46mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Zoned commercial

Exterior

Parking
No designated parking
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewer
Home design
Residential income propertyApartmentVinyl siding
Construction
Vinyl siding construction
Exterior features
Level lotOther exterior features

Interior

Flooring
HardwoodTile
Bathrooms
3 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Steam heatingCeiling fan cooling
Interior features
Gas water heaterHardwood and tile flooringHas basement

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $309,000 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-09-24
    days on market $309,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $309,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $309,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $309,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $309,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $309,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $309,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $309,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $309,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $309,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $309,000 Active 38 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $309,000 Active 37 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $309,000 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $309,000 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    pricedays on market $309,000 Active 29 DOM
  17. 2026-08-30
    days on market $324,000 Active 25 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $324,000 Active 24 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $324,000 Active 23 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $324,000 Active 22 DOM
  21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $324,000 Active 21 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $324,000 Active 20 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $324,000 Active 19 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $324,000 Active 18 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $324,000 Active 17 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $324,000 Active 16 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $324,000 Active 15 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $324,000 Active 14 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $324,000 Active 13 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $324,000 Active 12 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $324,000 Active 11 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $324,000 Active 10 DOM
  33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $324,000 Active 9 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $324,000 Active 8 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $324,000 Active 7 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $324,000 Active 6 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $324,000 Active 5 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $324,000 Active 4 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $324,000 Active 3 DOM
  40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $324,000 Active 2 DOM
  41. 2026-08-05
    pricedays on marketlisting id $324,000 Active 1 DOM
  42. 2026-07-31
    days on market $339,000 Active 156 DOM
  43. 2026-07-30
    days on market $339,000 Active 155 DOM
  44. 2026-07-29
    days on market $339,000 Active 154 DOM
  45. 2026-07-27
    days on market $339,000 Active 152 DOM
  46. 2026-07-25
    days on market $339,000 Active 150 DOM
  47. 2026-07-24
    days on market $339,000 Active 149 DOM
  48. 2026-07-23
    days on market $339,000 Active 148 DOM
  49. 2026-07-22
    days on market $339,000 Active 147 DOM
  50. 2026-07-21
    days on market $339,000 Active 146 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,367
− Mortgage interest
−$17,309
− Property taxes
−$4,635
− Insurance
−$1,545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,389
− Management
−$1,389
− Depreciation
−$8,989
Taxable loss
−$17,890
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,294
After-tax cash flow
$-7,612/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $13,860–$41,580 screening

This multi-family property is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value
  • Both update flooring in bathrooms — Modern flooring can enhance the home's appeal and value
  • Both update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can improve the home's appeal and value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures can enhance the home's appeal and value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 27/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Macarthur School F NY #1,786/2,108 Nat'l #28,475/41,679

Schools (NCES district)

District
Binghamton City School District
NCES district ID
3604870
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$30,475
Composite
30.09/100
National rank
#6342
State rank
#557 of 590 in NY
B Composite livability gradescore 78/100

Livability — Binghamton

Score
78/100
State rank
#174
US rank
#2710

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Binghamton, NY
County
Broome County · 187,989 people
City population
65,170
Metro
Binghamton, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,613
Household income
$55,523
Rent vs Own
43.6% rent · 56.4% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-18.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-08-05 Listed $324,000 GBAOR
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $339,000 GBAOR
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $349,000 GBAOR
  • 2025-10-30 Price Changed $349,000 GBAOR
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $369,000 GBAOR
  • 2025-08-07 Listed $399,000 GBAOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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