7520 Studebaker Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$107,656
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
We will entertain any creative scenario. Make us an offer. Land Contract, Lease with Option, must have some cash to put down and pass a background check. We love out-of-the-box opportunities. Got something to trade? Equity in something else, vacant land, expensive car? Possibilities are endless
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 242 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
- Recommended offer: $95k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.2% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime D-.
- Van Dyke Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #512 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mckinley Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,110 of 1,397 statewide, top 81%, 344 students, 96% FRL); Lincoln Middle School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #460 of 493 statewide, top 93%, 401 students, 96% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #692 of 713 statewide, top 98%, 440 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $744 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 18 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.45%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $82,093
- List price
- $107,656
- Delta
- 31.14%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7540 Prospect Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 576 (-0%) | 5mo | $38,000 | $66 | 82 |
| 21832 Conners Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (+4%) | 3mo | $84,000 | $140 | 78 |
| 8094 Chalmers Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 630 (+9%) | 6mo | $64,000 | $102 | 70 |
| 7083 Victory Ave | 0.25mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 594 (+3%) | 20mo | $32,900 | $55 | 62 |
| 6744 Paige Ave | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 591 (+2%) | 16mo | $105,000 | $178 | 58 |
| 8101 Rivard Ave | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 616 (+6%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $122 | 57 |
| 8278 Jackson Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 592 (+2%) | 12mo | $82,000 | $139 | 57 |
| 20493 Carrie St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 576 (-0%) | 18mo | $25,000 | $43 | 52 |
| 7559 Lozier Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 600 (+4%) | 20mo | $75,000 | $125 | 47 |
| 7259 Republic Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 640 (+10%) | 12mo | $82,500 | $129 | 40 |
| 8477 Sherman Ave | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 505 (-13%) | 13mo | $60,000 | $119 | 36 |
| 11041 Chalmers Ave | 0.72mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 500 (-14%) | 20mo | $76,500 | $153 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-9,437
- Equity at exit
- $16,052
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $110
- Equity at exit
- $9,308
Cash invested: $30,144 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48091
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,188 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$565
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,304/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $137
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $198 | -5% $167 | +0% $137 | +5% $107 | +10% $76 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $43 | -5% $90 | +0% $137 | +5% $184 | +10% $231 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $191 | -0.5pp $164 | base $137 | +0.5pp $109 | +1.0pp $81 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,914
- Closing costs
- $3,230
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 26d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 8036 Hupp Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,150 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,050 | $1.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 26d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 8103 Lozier Ave Unit 2 Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11130 Stephens Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,275 | $1.70 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2025-10-10price $107,656 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
We will entertain any creative scenario. Make us an offer. Land Contract, Lease with Option, must have some cash to put down and pass a background check. We love out-of-the-box opportunities. Got something to trade? Equity in something else, vacant land, expensive car? Possibilities are endless
-
2025-10-09price $107,656 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
We will entertain any creative scenario. Make us an offer. Land Contract, Lease with Option, must have some cash to put down and pass a background check. We love out-of-the-box opportunities. Got something to trade? Equity in something else, vacant land, expensive car? Possibilities are endless
-
2025-10-02status Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
We will entertain any creative scenario. Make us an offer. Land Contract, Lease with Option, must have some cash to put down and pass a background check. We love out-of-the-box opportunities. Got something to trade? Equity in something else, vacant land, expensive car? Possibilities are endless
-
2025-10-02status Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
We will entertain any creative scenario. Make us an offer. Land Contract, Lease with Option, must have some cash to put down and pass a background check. We love out-of-the-box opportunities. Got something to trade? Equity in something else, vacant land, expensive car? Possibilities are endless
-
2025-06-06status Pending 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
We will entertain any creative scenario. Make us an offer. Land Contract, Lease with Option, must have some cash to put down and pass a background check. We love out-of-the-box opportunities. Got something to trade? Equity in something else, vacant land, expensive car? Possibilities are endless
-
2025-06-06status Pending 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
We will entertain any creative scenario. Make us an offer. Land Contract, Lease with Option, must have some cash to put down and pass a background check. We love out-of-the-box opportunities. Got something to trade? Equity in something else, vacant land, expensive car? Possibilities are endless
-
2025-06-03$115,750 Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
We will entertain any creative scenario. Make us an offer. Land Contract, Lease with Option, must have some cash to put down and pass a background check. We love out-of-the-box opportunities. Got something to trade? Equity in something else, vacant land, expensive car? Possibilities are endless
-
2025-06-03$115,750 Active 295-char remark
Show marketing remark (295 chars)
We will entertain any creative scenario. Make us an offer. Land Contract, Lease with Option, must have some cash to put down and pass a background check. We love out-of-the-box opportunities. Got something to trade? Equity in something else, vacant land, expensive car? Possibilities are endless
-
2024-09-10historical
-
2024-09-10historical
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2024-07-19$107,000 Active
-
2024-07-19$107,000 Active
-
2022-08-16soldstatus $100,000
-
2022-01-29historical
-
2022-01-29historical
-
2022-01-20status Active
-
2022-01-20status Active
-
2022-01-18status Pending
-
2022-01-18status Pending
-
2022-01-16price $59,900
-
2022-01-16price $59,900
-
2022-01-04status Active
-
2022-01-04status Active
-
2021-12-22status Pending
-
2021-12-21status Pending
-
2021-12-15price $65,000
-
2021-12-14price $65,000
-
2021-12-06price $69,000
-
2021-12-06price $69,000
-
2021-11-23$69,900 Active
-
2021-11-23$69,900 Active
-
2020-09-21historical
-
2020-09-21historical
-
2020-08-12price $57,400
-
2020-08-12price $57,400
-
2020-07-15status Active
-
2020-07-09historical
-
2020-07-09$59,900 Active
-
2020-07-09$59,900 Active
-
2001-07-10soldstatus $38,050
-
2000-04-20soldstatus $41,500
-
1999-08-30historical
-
1999-06-06$41,500
-
1998-06-16soldstatus $43,500
-
1998-06-03soldstatus $43,500
-
1998-03-23historical
-
1998-03-13$44,900
-
1996-01-17soldstatus $28,900
-
1995-12-20soldstatus $28,900
-
1995-10-24historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,304 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,304 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,254
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,030
- − Property taxes
- −$2,304
- − Insurance
- −$538
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,140
- − Management
- −$1,140
- − Depreciation
- −$3,132
- Taxable loss
- −$31
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$7
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,652/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van Dyke Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634680
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,231
- Composite
- 10.46/100
- National rank
- #9784
- State rank
- #512 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,696
- Household income
- $54,230
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 25% Asian 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.66%
- Current HPI
- 177.9273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+272.5% since first listed51 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $107,656 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $107,656 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-02 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-02 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-06-03 Listed $115,750 REALCOMP
- 2025-06-03 Listed $115,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-09-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2024-07-19 Listed $107,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-07-19 Listed $107,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-01-29 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-20 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-20 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2022-01-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-01-16 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-16 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-01-04 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-01-04 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-22 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-15 Price Changed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-14 Price Changed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-12-06 Price Changed $69,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-12-06 Price Changed $69,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-11-23 Listed $69,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-11-23 Listed $69,900 REALCOMP
- 2020-09-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-09-21 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-12 Price Changed $57,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-08-12 Price Changed $57,400 REALCOMP
- 2020-07-15 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2020-07-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2020-07-09 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-09 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $38,050 Public Records
- 2000-04-20 Sold (MLS) $41,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-08-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-06-06 Listed $41,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
- 1998-06-03 Sold (MLS) $43,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-03-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-03-13 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1996-01-17 Sold (MLS) $28,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $28,900 Public Records
- 1995-10-24 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1995-05-06 Listed $28,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,304 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…