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53 Maple St
D Composite 43.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$199,900

53 Maple St · Hudson Falls, NY 12839
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,950 sqft · Other public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1896 5,662 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great 2-family in nice residential area. Large apartments with storage in basement or garage. Very convenient in-town location. Replacement windows. Very Good Condition

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Formal dining room
  • Front porch

Tags

FRONT PORCHFRESH PAINTLARGE KITCHENFORMAL DINING ROOMVINYL PLANK FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Owner pays sewer, water, snow removal, and grounds care

Exterior

  • Parking: Space for 5 vehicles; Off-street paved driveway
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Duplex; Living area approx. 1,950; 0.13-acre lot
  • Construction: Asbestos exterior material
  • Exterior features: Wrap-around porch plus front and rear porches; Partial fencing; Shed(s) on property; Level, cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit includes a kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms (all on 1st floor); Unit 2: 3 bedrooms (all on 2nd floor)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Hardwood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms total; Unit 1: 1 full bath (1st floor); Unit 2: 1 full bath (2nd floor)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Has heating
  • Interior features: Vinyl and hardwood floors; Full basement; slab foundation

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-162 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (14.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (19.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.9% in Hudson Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#481 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Hudson Falls Central School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #486 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Margaret Murphy Kindergarten Center (239 students, 25% FRL); Hudson Falls Middle School (math 16% / reading 44%, grade F, #539 of 729 statewide, top 74%, 498 students, 39% FRL); Hudson Falls High School (math 87% / reading 77%, grade A, #452 of 1,100 statewide, top 44%, 694 students, 38% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 43% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hudson Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $200k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $160,641 (19.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.47%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$98,618
Equity at exit
$180,086
10-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
6.34×
Total profit
$298,627
Equity at exit
$388,362

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12839

Home prices YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,606 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$299 /mo · $3,592/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$-162

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,811
Max offer price $171,310
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-49 -5% $-105 +0% $-162 +5% $-218 +10% $-275
Rent -10% $-289 -5% $-225 +0% $-162 +5% $-98 +10% $-35
Rate -1.0pp $-61 -0.5pp $-111 base $-162 +0.5pp $-214 +1.0pp $-266

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $199,900 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-05-27
    listed $199,900 Active
  5. 2012-02-16
    soldstatus $70,000
  6. 2012-02-10
    soldstatus $70,000 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Great 2-family in nice ressidential area. Large updated apartments including all appliances. 1st floor has own laundry room. Extra storage in basement or garage. Replacement windows throughout. Vacant 2nd floor currently being painted

  7. 2012-02-10
    soldstatus $70,000 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Great 2-family in nice ressidential area. Large updated apartments including all appliances. 1st floor has own laundry room. Extra storage in basement or garage. Replacement windows throughout. Vacant 2nd floor currently being painted

  8. 2011-06-16
    listed $85,000 168-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Great 2-family in nice ressidential area. Large updated apartments including all appliances. 1st floor has own laundry room. Extra storage in basement or garage. Replacement windows throughout. Vacant 2nd floor currently being painted

  9. 2011-06-16
    listed $85,000 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Great 2-family in nice ressidential area. Large updated apartments including all appliances. 1st floor has own laundry room. Extra storage in basement or garage. Replacement windows throughout. Vacant 2nd floor currently being painted

  10. 2000-07-03
    soldstatus $71,500
  11. 2000-06-30
    soldstatus $71,100
  12. 2000-02-03
    listed $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,592 · $299/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,592 · $299/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,277
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$3,592
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,542
− Management
−$1,542
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$5,411
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,299
After-tax cash flow
$-643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hudson Falls Central School District
NCES district ID
3614970
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$46,019
Composite
36.57/100
National rank
#4635
State rank
#486 of 590 in NY

Livability — Hudson Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#481
US rank
#8482

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hudson Falls, NY
Population (ZIP)
13,618

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,576 people
By 2030
57,618 · -3.3%
By 2040
52,751 · -11.5%
By 2050
47,514 · -20.2%
By 2075
35,690 · -40.1%
By 2100
24,807 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Slovak 5% Estonian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -21.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+20.2 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 25.92%
Current HPI
331.6315
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $199,900 Global MLS
  • 2012-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2012-02-10 Sold (MLS) $70,000 Global MLS
  • 2012-02-10 Sold (MLS) $70,000 Global MLS
  • 2011-06-16 Listed $85,000 Global MLS
  • 2011-06-16 Listed $85,000 Global MLS
  • 2000-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $71,500 Public Records
  • 2000-06-30 Sold (MLS) $71,100 Global MLS
  • 2000-02-03 Listed $75,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,592 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…