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130 Isabela Dr
C Composite 59.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,900

130 Isabela Dr · Lewisburg, TN 37091
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,171 sqft · Other · 1 Days on market
Built 2026 0.46 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this bright, open floor plan home featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, vaulted ceilings, tray ceiling in master and vinyl flooring throughout. Equipped with stove, dishwasher and microwave. Enjoy outdoor living on a large 0.46 lot. Located close to all amenities Lewisburg has to offer and just a short drive to Henry Horton State Park.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Vinyl flooring
  • Large lot

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANVAULTED CEILINGSTRAY CEILING IN MASTERVINYL FLOORINGLARGE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No designated covered parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; New construction
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; New construction
  • Exterior features: Public water available

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range, dishwasher, microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Electric range, dishwasher, microwave; Vinyl flooring; Crawl space basement; Central heating and central air

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $276k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $597 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $276k).
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.6% in Lewisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#284 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshall County (rural): math 31% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #58 of 139 in TN (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Oak Grove Elementary (471 students, 0% FRL); Marshall Co High School (math 17% / reading 35%, grade F, #117 of 332 statewide, top 37%, 815 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 400 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marshall County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $225k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $275,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.18%
Cash-on-cash
10.31%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-6,564
Equity at exit
$41,138
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$43,649
Equity at exit
$23,855

Cash invested: $77,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37091

Home prices YoY
-14.6%
Active inventory
274
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,254 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,447
Tax est. 1.5%
$345 /mo · $4,138/yr
Insurance
$115
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$683
Net cashflow
$597

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,498
Max offer price $275,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $788 -5% $693 +0% $597 +5% $502 +10% $407
Rent -10% $340 -5% $469 +0% $597 +5% $726 +10% $855
Rate -1.0pp $736 -0.5pp $668 base $597 +0.5pp $526 +1.0pp $453

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,975
Closing costs
$8,277
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
328 E Church St Lewisburg, TN 2.0 2.0 1000 $4,000 $4.00 44d 1 1.02mi
566 1st Ave N Lewisburg, TN 2.0 1.0 950 $2,250 $2.37 44d 1 1.30mi
423 4th Ave N Lewisburg, TN 2.0 1.0 1086 $790 $0.73 24d 1 1.44mi
708 Woodlawn Ave Lewisburg, TN 2.0 1.0 837 $899 $1.07 17d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 341-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $275,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,047
− Mortgage interest
−$15,455
− Property taxes
−$4,138
− Insurance
−$2,177
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,124
− Management
−$3,124
− Depreciation
−$8,026
Taxable income
$3,003
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$721
After-tax cash flow
$6,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall County
NCES district ID
4702670
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,058
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7426
State rank
#58 of 139 in TN

Livability — Lewisburg

Score
59/100
State rank
#284
US rank
#20031

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lewisburg, TN
Population (ZIP)
23,991

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,222 people
By 2030
33,867 · +1.9%
By 2040
34,743 · +4.6%
By 2050
34,954 · +5.2%
By 2075
34,652 · +4.3%
By 2100
31,862 · -4.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.6) · D 21.2% · R 77.8%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -39.6pp · 2024: -56.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.6 2020: R+50.0 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+28.9 2008: R+39.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.86%
Current HPI
350.5306
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.6% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $275,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $199 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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