4413 Sprague St · Omaha, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully updated and move-in ready home in a fantastic location! Featuring a hard to find, 2 car attached garage for extra storage and convenience. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property has all new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, and a brand-new furnace and AC for added comfort and peace of mind. Step out onto the new deck—perfect for morning coffee and bird watching. The front porch overlooks a park with no neighbors directly in front. The bonus basement space offers flexibility for hobbies, a workout area, or additional living space. Close to public transportation for easy commuting.
Key facts
- Attached garage
- New flooring
- Bonus basement space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($119/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (20.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $129k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.6% in Omaha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in NE, #663 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Omaha Public Schools (urban): math 20% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #110 of 111 in NE (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,539 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (2,583 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Douglas County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $162k implies a 149% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.26%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,584
- List price
- $162,000
- Delta
- -3.33%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.96×
- Total profit
- $89,096
- Equity at exit
- $145,942
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.78×
- Total profit
- $262,359
- Equity at exit
- $314,730
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68111
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,286 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,063/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $102 | -5% $56 | +0% $10 | +5% $-36 | +10% $-82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-92 | -5% $-41 | +0% $10 | +5% $61 | +10% $111 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $91 | -0.5pp $51 | base $10 | +0.5pp $-32 | +1.0pp $-75 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3535 N 45th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $1,800 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4112 N 48th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $899 | $1.09 | 11d | 2 | 0.35mi |
| 4112 N 48th St Unit 2 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $899 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 4112 N 48th St Unit 3 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3808 N 48th St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3425 N 45th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,500 | $1.72 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3356 N 41st St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,295 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3508 N 47th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1425 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 19d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4852 Boyd St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4844 Taylor St Apt 4 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4844 Taylor St Apt 1 Omaha, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $795 | $1.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4707 N 40th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4918 Ames Ave Unit 17 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1074 | $850 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4918 Ames Ave Apt 13 Omaha, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $750 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3323 N 40th St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,575 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3212 N 39th St Omaha, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $785 | $0.77 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4657 Camden Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,500 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3674 Bedford Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,275 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5119 Pratt St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,900 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3911 N 52nd St Apt 5 Omaha, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $799 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4314 N 52nd St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $945 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4874 Maple St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1098 | $1,545 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2914 N 49th Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1375 | $1,615 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4470 Redman Ave Unit 4470A Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 980 | $1,050 | $1.07 | 11d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4460 Redman Ave Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3941 Himebaugh Ave Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,350 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4625 N 56th St Apt 18 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $875 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3502 Lake St Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $995 | $1.02 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4414 Curtis Ave Unit CRAWFORD 4414/B Omaha, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $745 | $0.97 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 6010 Evans St Omaha, NE | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $1,850 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 6020 Birch St Unit 6 Omaha, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4438 N 61st St Omaha, NE | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 3d | 4 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $162,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $162,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $162,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $162,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $162,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $162,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $162,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $162,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $162,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $162,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $162,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $162,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $162,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-05-07price $162,000 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated and move-in ready home in a fantastic location! Featuring a hard to find, 2 car attached garage for extra storage and convenience. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property has all new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, and a brand-new furnace and AC for added comfort and peace of mind. Step out onto the new deck—perfect for morning coffee and bird watching. The front porch overlooks a park with no neighbors directly in front. The bonus basement space offers flexibility for hobbies, a workout area, or additional living space. Close to public transportation for easy commuting.
-
2026-04-01price $170,000 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated and move-in ready home in a fantastic location! Featuring a hard to find, 2 car attached garage for extra storage and convenience. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property has all new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, and a brand-new furnace and AC for added comfort and peace of mind. Step out onto the new deck—perfect for morning coffee and bird watching. The front porch overlooks a park with no neighbors directly in front. The bonus basement space offers flexibility for hobbies, a workout area, or additional living space. Close to public transportation for easy commuting.
-
2026-03-14price $179,000 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated and move-in ready home in a fantastic location! Featuring a hard to find, 2 car attached garage for extra storage and convenience. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property has all new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, and a brand-new furnace and AC for added comfort and peace of mind. Step out onto the new deck—perfect for morning coffee and bird watching. The front porch overlooks a park with no neighbors directly in front. The bonus basement space offers flexibility for hobbies, a workout area, or additional living space. Close to public transportation for easy commuting.
-
2026-03-01historical
-
2026-02-16$185,000 New 622-char remark
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated and move-in ready home in a fantastic location! Featuring a hard to find, 2 car attached garage for extra storage and convenience. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property has all new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, and a brand-new furnace and AC for added comfort and peace of mind. Step out onto the new deck—perfect for morning coffee and bird watching. The front porch overlooks a park with no neighbors directly in front. The bonus basement space offers flexibility for hobbies, a workout area, or additional living space. Close to public transportation for easy commuting.
-
2026-02-16$185,000 New
Show marketing remark (622 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated and move-in ready home in a fantastic location! Featuring a hard to find, 2 car attached garage for extra storage and convenience. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath property has all new flooring throughout, fresh interior paint, and a brand-new furnace and AC for added comfort and peace of mind. Step out onto the new deck—perfect for morning coffee and bird watching. The front porch overlooks a park with no neighbors directly in front. The bonus basement space offers flexibility for hobbies, a workout area, or additional living space. Close to public transportation for easy commuting.
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2024-04-04soldstatus $65,000
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1998-09-18soldstatus $21,000
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1998-08-18historical
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1998-08-18soldstatus $21,000
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1998-08-04$21,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,063 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,803 · $234/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,739/yr (+$145/mo · 163.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,427
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$1,063
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,234
- − Management
- −$1,234
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable loss
- −$2,702
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$649
- After-tax cash flow
- $768/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Omaha Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3174820
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,039
- Composite
- 20.83/100
- National rank
- #8502
- State rank
- #110 of 111 in NE
Livability — Omaha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Omaha, NE
- County
- Douglas County · 538,646 people
- City population
- 552,986
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,210
- Household income
- $42,185
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1913.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 625,245 people
- By 2030
- 661,613 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 732,395 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 801,988 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 968,637 · +54.9%
- By 2100
- 1,101,871 · +76.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% Hispanic / Latino 21% White 17% Two or more races 15% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 3% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.2) · D 54.4% · R 44.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.5pp toward D · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: 10.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.2 2020: D+11.3 2016: D+1.4 2012: R+4.3 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.82%
- Current HPI
- 358.7174
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.22%
- Metro
- Omaha-Council Bluffs, NE-IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+671.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $162,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $170,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-14 Price Changed $179,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-03-01 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2026-02-16 Listed $185,000 GPRMLS
- 2026-02-16 Listed $185,000 GPRMLS
- 2024-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1998-09-18 Sold (MLS) $21,000 GPRMLS
- 1998-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 1998-08-18 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 1998-08-04 Listed $21,000 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,063 · -23.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…