🏷️ Likely Rental
611 Opal Cir · Lannon, WI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1994 Marshfield doublewide in a desirable community! This well-maintained 3BR/2BA manufactured home features a spacious living room open to the kitchen with center island, wood-burning fireplace, and all appliances included. New roof and excellent storage throughout. Primary suite with private bath. Pet-friendly (HOA approval for dogs). Sewer/well approx. $75/month. Lot rent $955/month, park approval required. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Pet-friendly
- New roof
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: All appliances included; Seller's personal items excluded
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
- Home design: Single-family home; One story
- Construction: Finished below- and above-grade living space reported; Zoning: Residential
- Exterior features: Deck; Vinyl siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Range/oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) — approx. 16 x 8; Bedroom 2 (Main) — approx. 8 x 7; Bedroom 3 (Main) — approx. 8 x 7
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bathroom with tub/shower combination
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Cathedral/vaulted ceiling; Cable/satellite available
- Laundry & utility: Washer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#97 in WI, #2,485 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Hamilton School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 342 in WI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,885 units permitted in Waukesha County in 2024 (696 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.42%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $417,163
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -72.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W204N6612 Lannon Rd | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,910 (+7%) | 11mo | $420,000 | $220 | 60 |
| 20903 W Main St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,847 (+3%) | 10mo | $442,000 | $239 | 58 |
| W204N6866 Woodward Ct | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,531 (-15%) | 12mo | $425,000 | $278 | 55 |
| 20452 Good Hope Rd | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,703 (-5%) | 24mo | $300,000 | $176 | 49 |
| N64W20755 Mill Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,968 (+10%) | 5mo | $560,000 | $285 | 48 |
| 7337 N Vine St | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,904 (+6%) | 7mo | $345,000 | $181 | 44 |
| 20999 W Main St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,916 (+7%) | 23mo | $420,000 | $219 | 44 |
| 21308 W Main St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,731 (-3%) | 22mo | $327,000 | $189 | 42 |
| W193N4914 Tea Tree Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 2,002 (+12%) | 20mo | $660,000 | $330 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $94,219
- Equity at exit
- $65,494
- IRR
- 45.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.03×
- Total profit
- $226,525
- Equity at exit
- $113,302
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53046
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,345 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $1,058
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,137 | -5% $1,098 | +0% $1,058 | +5% $1,018 | +10% $978 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $873 | -5% $965 | +0% $1,058 | +5% $1,150 | +10% $1,243 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,116 | -0.5pp $1,087 | base $1,058 | +0.5pp $1,028 | +1.0pp $998 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19400 Rock Pointe Way Lannon, WI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1114 | $2,345 | $2.11 | 3d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $115,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-02pricedays on market $115,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-04-29$125,000 Active 442-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,251
- − Management
- −$2,251
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $11,550
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,772
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 1994 doublewide manufactured home in a desirable community is in fair condition with moderate repairs needed. Upgrading the kitchen and bathroom, painting the interior, and replacing the carpeted flooring will significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate kitchen appliances — outdated and in need of replacement
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of updating
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing the kitchen will appeal to both buyers and renters
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom will appeal to both buyers and renters
- Both paint interior walls — painting the interior walls will freshen up the home and make it more appealing
- Both replace carpeted flooring with hardwood or tile — upgrading the flooring will make the home more appealing and increase its value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| kitchen appliances · outdated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in need of updating | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $9,000–45,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizing the kitchen will appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizing the bathroom will appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint interior walls — painting the interior walls will freshen up the home and make it more appealing ↑
- Both replace carpeted flooring with hardwood or tile — upgrading the flooring will make the home more appealing and increase its value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton School District
- NCES district ID
- 5506030
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,241
- Composite
- 55.88/100
- National rank
- #1203
- State rank
- #12 of 342 in WI
Livability — Lannon
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #2485
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lannon, WI
- City population
- 1,475
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,475
Population outlook (Waukesha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 412,798 people
- By 2030
- 418,092 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 420,872 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 413,862 · +0.3%
- By 2075
- 402,782 · -2.4%
- By 2100
- 365,796 · -11.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Portuguese 6% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Waukesha
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.8) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.9pp toward D · 2008: -25.7pp · 2024: -19.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.8 2020: R+20.8 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+25.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.05%
- Current HPI
- 210.7992
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
-8.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $115,000 SCWMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $125,000 SCWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…