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1015 Lake St Fourplex
C+ Composite 60.54
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$89,900

1015 Lake St · Elmira, NY 14901
20 bd · 16.0 ba · 5,355 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1900 7,850 sqft lot $17/sqft · 45% below area Est $163k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own a solid 4-unit multi-family property in Elmira. Three units are currently occupied by long term tenants, providing immediate income, while the fourth unit is gutted (construction materials on-site convey) and ready for the next owner to complete for additional income. Tenants enjoy the convenient location, access to public transportation, and on-site coin operated laundry - yet another income stream for the future owner. A new roof was installed less than two years ago! Whether you're an investor looking to expand your rental portfolio or someone seeking a project with tons of potential, this property deserves your consideration. Listing agent related to Seller.

Key facts

  • Long term tenants
  • New roof
  • 7,850 sq ft lot

Tags

MULTI-FAMILY PROPERTYLONG TERM TENANTSPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONON-SITE COIN OPERATED LAUNDRYNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property contains 4 total units; Single electric meter and single gas meter for the building; Road frontage on city street; Lot is rectangular residential parcel (approx. 50 x 157)
  • Financial info: Total gross income: $26,584; Operating expenses: $18,192; Owner pays electricity, heat, water, and snow removal; Rent for units listed between $650 and $700 (individual unit rents shown)

Exterior

  • Parking: One parking space
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story multi-family building; Resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Stone foundation; Existing construction
  • Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (in one unit)
  • Bedrooms: Four 1-bedroom units; One 2-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (one per unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric and gas heating sources; Has heating
  • Interior features: Natural woodwork; Walk-out basement access
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 5-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($41k/yr) — positive. Per door: $852/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 51.8% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.67%
Cap rate
51.78%
Cash-on-cash
162.45%
DSCR
8.23
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$162,852
List price
$89,900
Delta
-44.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.57×
Total profit
$266,078
Equity at exit
$80,989
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
25.35×
Total profit
$613,032
Equity at exit
$174,656

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14901

Home prices YoY
15.9%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,071
Net cashflow
$3,408

Break-even live

Break-even rent $786
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 28%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $3,470 -5% $3,439 +0% $3,408 +5% $3,377 +10% $3,346
Rent -10% $3,005 -5% $3,206 +0% $3,408 +5% $3,609 +10% $3,811
Rate -1.0pp $3,453 -0.5pp $3,431 base $3,408 +0.5pp $3,384 +1.0pp $3,361

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $5,100

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 695-char remark
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $89,900 Active 695-char remark
  3. 2025-12-10
    historical
  4. 2025-12-03
    historical
  5. 2025-12-02
    historical
  6. 2025-08-11
    status Pending
  7. 2025-08-01
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$61,200
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,348
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,896
− Management
−$4,896
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$41,959
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$10,070
After-tax cash flow
$30,823/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elmira City School District
NCES district ID
3610560
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$40,180
Composite
24.39/100
National rank
#7688
State rank
#580 of 590 in NY

Livability — Elmira

Score
62/100
State rank
#832
US rank
#16139

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elmira, NY
City population
14,276
Population (ZIP)
14,430

Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
82,931 people
By 2030
80,356 · -3.1%
By 2040
74,745 · -9.9%
By 2050
69,012 · -16.8%
By 2075
55,689 · -32.8%
By 2100
41,428 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chemung

2024 margin
R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 32.34%
Current HPI
236.2674
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-03 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-02 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-11 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2025-08-01 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,788 · -11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…