11281 Nashville St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom 1 bath brick ranch in Detroit! Tenant requires 48 hours notice for all showings. Buyer's agent to verify all information.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1951
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in DRENNAN & SELDONS LASALLE COLLEGE PARK subdivision; Cross streets: Conner and E. McNichols
- Financial info: Annual tax information available
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Not specified
- Security: Not specified
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Built area above grade: 1,102 square feet
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.11 acres; Lot dimensions: 4,792
Interior
- Kitchen: Not specified
- Bedrooms: Not specified
- Flooring: Not specified
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Has basement; Total of 3 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Not specified
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
- Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 373 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.62%
- DSCR
- 2.50
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $51,794
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11226 Minden St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,169 (+6%) | 3mo | $49,000 | $42 | 78 |
| 11234 Kenmoor St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+9%) | 0mo | $75,300 | $63 | 76 |
| 11294 Engleside St | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 986 (-10%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $86 | 72 |
| 11566 Sanford St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (-5%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $52 | 70 |
| 11147 Findlay St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (-7%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $34 | 70 |
| 17650 Beland St | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,094 (-1%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $61 | 65 |
| 17665 Runyon St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,096 (-0%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $46 | 65 |
| 12019 Sanford St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,149 (+4%) | 2mo | $31,500 | $27 | 65 |
| 11455 Kenmoor St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 955 (-13%) | 4mo | $119,000 | $125 | 65 |
| 11090 Patrick Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,180 (+7%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $47 | 62 |
| 12112 Findlay St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-7%) | 0mo | $23,000 | $22 | 60 |
| 11053 Flanders St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 968 (-12%) | 2mo | $20,000 | $21 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $22,103
- Equity at exit
- $10,735
- IRR
- 33.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.82×
- Total profit
- $56,831
- Equity at exit
- $6,225
Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 373
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$378
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $565
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,000
- Closing costs
- $2,160
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 17d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $3,102 | $3.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,100 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 18431 Teppert St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7600 Dobel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1234 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,195 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 18119 Joann St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 17d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 8193 Traverse St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $1,382 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 9142 Isham Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,344 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 131-char remark
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
3 bedroom 1 bath brick ranch in Detroit! Tenant requires 48 hours notice for all showings. Buyer's agent to verify all information.
-
2026-06-08$72,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (131 chars)
3 bedroom 1 bath brick ranch in Detroit! Tenant requires 48 hours notice for all showings. Buyer's agent to verify all information.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,137
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,033
- − Property taxes
- −$1,080
- − Insurance
- −$360
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − Depreciation
- −$2,095
- Taxable income
- $5,988
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,437
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,341/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+171.7% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $72,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-08 Listed $72,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-11-13 Rental Removed $995 APPFOLIO
- 2023-11-06 Listed for Rent $995 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $74,100 Public Records
- 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) $74,100 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-31 Sold (MLS) $74,100 REALCOMP
- 2023-07-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-07-17 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-11 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-11 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2023-06-23 Listed $79,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-23 Listed $79,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-01-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-08-19 Price Changed $34,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-19 Price Changed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-10 Price Changed $37,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-10 Price Changed $37,500 REALCOMP
- 2022-06-29 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-06-29 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-04-02 Price Changed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-02 Price Changed $44,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-03-04 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-04 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2018-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records
- 1991-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
- 1991-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,850 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…