314 N Sparrow Way · Texas City, TX
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
It has great potential! Step inside this single story home offering a comfortable layout with approximately 1,206 sq ft of living space. With a fully brick exterior, the home features a welcoming living room at the front, a spacious den that connects directly to the kitchen, and an efficient galley style kitchen with convenient access to the dining area. The primary bedroom includes a private half bath, while the two secondary bedrooms are well sized and located near the full hall bathroom. The home sits on a generously sized lot with a wide front yard, driveway parking, and a backyard suitable for outdoor use. Located just minutes from Palmer Highway, this property offers easy access to l
Key facts
- Private half bath
- Generously sized lot
- Fully brick exterior
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Faces west; Single-story (entry level: first floor)
- Construction: Built in 1979; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Lot dimensions approximately 116 x 60
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on first floor (9 x 11)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on first floor (12 x 14); Bedroom on first floor (12 x 12); Bedroom on first floor (12 x 12)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Primary bathroom with tub/shower
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.3% in Texas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#907 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Texas City ISD (suburban): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #655 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Simms El (math 23% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,247 of 4,322 statewide, top 76%, 475 students, 89% FRL); La Marque H S (math 27% / reading 20%, grade F, #1,342 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 647 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 66% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.61%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,965
- List price
- $114,950
- Delta
- -34.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7011 Anderson St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-2%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $68 | 89 |
| 7211 Mockingbird Ln | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+8%) | 2mo | $187,600 | $144 | 83 |
| 7305 Carver Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (+3%) | 6mo | $189,900 | $153 | 76 |
| 106 N Texas St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,083 (-10%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $111 | 69 |
| 7214 Whippoorwill Ln | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,292 (+7%) | 2mo | $128,000 | $99 | 68 |
| 110 N Texas St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,327 (+10%) | 1mo | $162,250 | $122 | 66 |
| 111 S Fulton St | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,327 (+10%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $132 | 61 |
| 6618 Park Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.5 | 1,362 (+13%) | 5mo | $204,900 | $150 | 56 |
| 118 Brown St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,275 (+6%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $161 | 54 |
| 6118 Anderson | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,117 (-7%) | 5mo | $149,678 | $134 | 52 |
| 6101 Diamond Ct | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,278 (+6%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $121 | 49 |
| 208 Preston St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,364 (+13%) | 1mo | $157,999 | $116 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,266
- Equity at exit
- $17,139
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $29,090
- Equity at exit
- $9,939
Cash invested: $32,186 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77591
- Home prices YoY
- -5.6%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 240
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,488 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,529/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $231
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $296 | -5% $263 | +0% $231 | +5% $198 | +10% $166 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $113 | -5% $172 | +0% $231 | +5% $290 | +10% $348 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $289 | -0.5pp $260 | base $231 | +0.5pp $201 | +1.0pp $171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,738
- Closing costs
- $3,448
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7510 Hummingbird Ln Texas City, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 6607 Memorial Dr Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,200 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 7561 Medical Center Dr Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 892 | $1,113 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 619 N Vionett Ln Texas City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 6d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 309 S Bell Dr Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 306 Lake Rd Unit B La Marque, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $995 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2328 Boss St La Marque, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $925 | $1.09 | 13d | 2 | 1.18mi |
| 9001 Glacier Ave Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,180 | $1.11 | 0d | 4 | 1.23mi |
| 1006 E Camp Cir La Marque, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $1,500 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 203 Beatrice St La Marque, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $1,395 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1013 Margot St La Marque, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 20d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 8807 Emmett F Lowry Expy Texas City, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,105 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $114,950 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,950 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,950 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,950 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,950 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $114,950 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,950 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,950 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $114,950 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $114,950 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $114,950 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $114,950 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $114,950 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $114,950 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$121,000 Active 746-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,529 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,529 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,858
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,439
- − Property taxes
- −$3,529
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,429
- − Management
- −$1,429
- − Depreciation
- −$3,344
- Taxable income
- $1,114
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$267
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Texas City ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842510
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,875
- Composite
- 24.47/100
- National rank
- #7664
- State rank
- #655 of 826 in TX
Livability — Texas City
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #907
- US rank
- #16268
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Texas City, TX
- County
- Galveston County · 357,330 people
- City population
- 49,936
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,294
- Household income
- $68,593
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 718.0
Population outlook (Galveston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 390,640 people
- By 2030
- 425,226 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 493,765 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 559,698 · +43.3%
- By 2075
- 719,260 · +84.1%
- By 2100
- 819,628 · +109.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Galveston
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 35.7% · R 63.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.5pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+26.9 2008: R+19.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -14.63%
- Current HPI
- 247.1905
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-5.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $114,950 HARMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $121,000 HARMLS
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,529 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…