405 N 1st Ave W · Truman, MN 56088

$145,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,388 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market

Built 1958 0.26 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.6/30.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +5.9/10.0
• 1% rule +5.1/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this cute 4-bedroom, 2-bath home that perfectly blends comfort, functionality, and charm. Filled with an abundance of natural light, this inviting property offers a warm and welcoming atmosphere from the moment you step inside. The main level features a spacious living room along with a cozy sunken family room, complete with a fireplace—perfect for relaxing evenings or gathering with friends and family. The thoughtfully designed layout provides both open living spaces and quiet retreats. The primary bedroom offers a private escape with its own ¾ en-suite bathroom. Three additional bedrooms provide plenty of space for family, guests, or a home office. Laundry is curre

Key facts

• Sunken family room
• ¾ en-suite bathroom
• Backyard oasis

Tags

• SUNKEN FAMILY ROOM
• FIREPLACE
• ¾ EN-SUITE BATHROOM
• BACKYARD OASIS
• WATERFALL POND

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $145k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#150 in MN, #3,331 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Truman Public School District (rural): math 30% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #343 of 467 in MN (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Martin County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $145,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.01% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.46%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.16%
• DSCR: 1.19
• GRM: 8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.17×
• Total profit: $87,974
• Equity at exit: $130,627

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.9%
• Equity multiple: 7.21×
• Total profit: $252,070
• Equity at exit: $281,703

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 56088

• Home prices YoY: 6.4%
• Active inventory: 16
• Price-to-rent: 8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,461 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$760
• Tax from tax record: −$193 /mo · $2,314/yr
• Insurance: −$60
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$307
• Net cashflow: $141

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,283

Max offer price $145,000

Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $36,250
• Closing costs: $4,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-20
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-06
   listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,314 · $193/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,314 · $193/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,537
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,122
• − Property taxes: −$2,314
• − Insurance: −$725
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,403
• − Management: −$1,403
• − Depreciation: −$4,218
• Taxable loss: −$648
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$156
• After-tax cash flow: $1,846/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Truman Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2740680
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▲ 10.00%
• Median HH income: $51,077
• Composite: 38.94/100
• National rank: #8312
• State rank: #343 of 467 in MN

Livability — Truman

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #150
• US rank: #3331

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Truman, MN
• Population (ZIP): 2,063

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 18,583 people
• By 2030: 17,814 · -4.1%
• By 2040: 16,312 · -12.2%
• By 2050: 15,021 · -19.2%
• By 2075: 13,025 · -29.9%
• By 2100: 11,311 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (94%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 9% Romanian 5% Scottish 3%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.5% · R 69.1% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -39.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.9 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 16.26%
• Current HPI: 271.5076
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-20 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-06 Listed $145,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,314 · +40.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.