Duplex
2 Valley St · Norwich, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity. This 2 family home also has a partially finished basement that is currently being rented out, creating strong monthly cash flow potential. I & acirc; & euro; & trade; m only selling because I & acirc; & euro; & trade; m leaving the country. Current rental income: Basement unit: $1,000/month with utilities included. Second floor 2 bedroom: $1,200/month with separate utilities. I was considering renting out the 3 bedroom apartment for $1,800/month, which would bring total monthly rental income to approximately $4,000 per month. The property is in decent condition and has had major updates already completed. The entire sewer line was replac
Key facts
- Patio area
- Basketball court
- Fire pit
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1884
- Construction: Historic construction (built in 1884)
- Exterior features: Located in the Greenville subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $581 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $291/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $285k).
- Recommended offer: $276k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.0% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-; Watch: schools D+.
- Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,175/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1643% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $142k; list at $285k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1884 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1884 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.74%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $295,932
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147 Hickory St | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,452 (-11%) | 8mo | $282,000 | $194 | 71 |
| 32 Central Ave | 0.19mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,650 (+2%) | 20mo | $285,000 | $173 | 67 |
| 253 N Main St | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 | 1,440 (-11%) | 10mo | $343,000 | $238 | 59 |
| 176 Cliff St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 1,456 (-10%) | 14mo | $192,000 | $132 | 59 |
| 28 Durfey St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,638 (+1%) | 21mo | $300,000 | $183 | 58 |
| 57 Boswell Ave | 0.38mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,841 (+13%) | 8mo | $335,000 | $182 | 49 |
| 46 Hamilton Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 1,779 (+9%) | 18mo | $320,000 | $180 | 48 |
| 24 8th St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,740 (+7%) | 21mo | $189,000 | $109 | 43 |
| 50 Lake St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 1,388 (-15%) | 21mo | $179,000 | $129 | 40 |
| 4 Cliff Pl | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 | 1,398 (-14%) | 15mo | $290,000 | $207 | 40 |
| 33 Pratte Ave | 0.36mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,815 (+12%) | 23mo | $330,000 | $182 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $2,839
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $103,209
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06360
- Home prices YoY
- -19.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 15.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,175 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$314 /mo · $3,765/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$667
- Net cashflow
- $581
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $743 | -5% $662 | +0% $581 | +5% $501 | +10% $420 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $330 | -5% $456 | +0% $581 | +5% $707 | +10% $832 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $725 | -0.5pp $654 | base $581 | +0.5pp $507 | +1.0pp $432 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $3,174 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,587 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,587 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,175 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229 Boswell Ave Unit 6 Norwich, CT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1547 | $2,350 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 10 Hillcrest St Unit B Norwich, CT | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1507 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 130 Platt Ave Norwich, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2010 | $1,800 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 51-53 Cliff St Norwich, CT | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1598 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 51 Broad St Norwich, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,850 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 14-16 Slater Ave Unit 14 Norwich, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 41 Elizabeth St Norwich, CT | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,700 | $1.50 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $285,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $285,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $285,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $285,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $285,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $285,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$285,000 Active
-
2009-01-07soldstatus $142,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,765 · $314/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,932 · $411/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,167/yr (+$97/mo · 31.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$3,765
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,048
- − Management
- −$3,048
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable income
- $2,559
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$614
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,360/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norwich School District
- NCES district ID
- 0903120
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,813
- Composite
- 21.27/100
- National rank
- #8395
- State rank
- #139 of 153 in CT
Livability — Norwich
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1391
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norwich, CT
- County
- New London County · 147,197 people
- City population
- 37,216
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,216
- Household income
- $65,539
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1643.0
Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 293,442
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 5% Hispanic 4%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.27%
- Current HPI
- 261.8575
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.62%
- Metro
- Norwich-New London, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+100.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $285,000 FSBO.com
- 2009-01-07 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2023): $3,765 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…