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Pike (Whispering Oaks) Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 39.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,995

Pike (Whispering Oaks) Plan · Brooks, KY 40229
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 546 sqft · Manufactured · 239 Days on market
$560/mo HOA · 51% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in Bullitt County the Brooks exit 15 minutes from Louisville, Whispering Oaks Pointe is in a quiet suburban tree-lined neighborhood close to shopping, employment and schools. Community Amenities Basketball Court, Lake/Pond, Pantry, Picnic Area, and Playground Schools Brooks Elementary School, Hebron Middle School, and North Bullitt High School

Key facts

  • Picnic area
  • Lake/pond
  • Basketball court

Tags

WHISPERING OAKS POINTETREE-LINED NEIGHBORHOODBASKETBALL COURTLAKE/PONDPICNIC AREAPLAYGROUND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $54,995
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $560

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-story plan named Pike (Whispering Oaks)
  • Exterior features: Plan home in the Whispering Oaks community

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Open living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-830/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $45k (18.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#277 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bullitt County (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #55 of 165 in KY (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 244 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 380 units permitted in Bullitt County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bullitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,992 (18.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
4.78%
Cash-on-cash
-5.39%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-10,158
Equity at exit
$8,200
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-984
Equity at exit
$4,755

Cash invested: $15,399 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40229

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,102 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax est. 1.5%
$69 /mo · $825/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$560
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,190
Max offer price $44,992
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-31 -5% $-50 +0% $-69 +5% $-88 +10% $-107
Rent -10% $-156 -5% $-113 +0% $-69 +5% $-26 +10% $18
Rate -1.0pp $-41 -0.5pp $-55 base $-69 +0.5pp $-83 +1.0pp $-98

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,749
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$560 · $6,720/yr

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $54,995 Active 239 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,995 Active 236 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $54,995 Active 235 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $54,995 Active 234 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $54,995 Active 233 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $54,995 Active 231 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $54,995 Active 228 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $54,995 Active 227 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $54,995 Active 226 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $54,995 Active 225 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $54,995 Active 221 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $54,995 Active 220 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $54,995 Active 219 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $54,995 Active 218 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,229
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$825
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,058
− Management
−$1,058
− HOA
−$6,720
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable loss
−$1,388
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$333
After-tax cash flow
$-497/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bullitt County
NCES district ID
2100750
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$55,009
Composite
30.78/100
National rank
#6151
State rank
#55 of 165 in KY

Livability — Brooks

Score
65/100
State rank
#277
US rank
#13521

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brooks, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
41,299
Household income
$79,936
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
628.0

Population outlook (Bullitt County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
89,555 people
By 2030
94,389 · +5.4%
By 2040
102,759 · +14.7%
By 2050
108,955 · +21.7%
By 2075
121,898 · +36.1%
By 2100
126,383 · +41.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Cuban 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bullitt

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.0) · D 23.8% · R 74.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.3pp · 2024: -51.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.0 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+32.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.38%
Current HPI
244.2747
Rent YoY
▲ 5.46%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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