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1126 Ashland Ave
B Composite 70.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$61,500

1126 Ashland Ave · Rockford, IL 61101
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · SingleFamily · 59 Days on market
Built 1926 $60/sqft · 9% below area Est $68k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits at 1126 Ashland Ave! This classic 1.5-story home offers solid bones, timeless character, and a spacious layout ready for its next chapter. Featuring a bright main level with open living and dining areas, this home provides a great foundation to create your ideal space. The property includes generously sized bedrooms, a functional kitchen layout, full basement, enclosed front porch, and a detached garage. The large backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. This home will require repairs, updates, and overall improvement, and is priced accordingly to reflect the work needed. Ideal for buyers looking to build equity, renovate to their own style, or take on a project with strong upside potential. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major roadways, this property presents a great opportunity for those ready to bring their vision to life.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Full basement
  • Enclosed front porch

Tags

OPEN LIVING AND DINING AREASFUNCTIONAL KITCHEN LAYOUTFULL BASEMENTENCLOSED FRONT PORCHLARGE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $572 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 6.1% in Rockford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#876 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rockford SD 205 (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #533 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 285 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $425 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winnebago County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $62k implies a 193% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $59,655 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.03%
Cap rate
17.45%
Cash-on-cash
39.86%
DSCR
2.77
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$67,784
List price
$61,500
Delta
-9.27%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
902 N Horsman St 0.51mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-1%) 0mo $35,000 $35 69
2828 Ridgeway Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 1,009 (-1%) 7mo $90,000 $89 60
444 Forest Ave 0.27mi 3/1.5 (+1) 875 (-14%) 5mo $44,000 $50 53
1619 Evergreen St 0.58mi 2/1.0 1,116 (+9%) 8mo $61,500 $55 50
920 Oakley Ave 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 900 (-12%) 3mo $128,000 $142 50
3529 Blackstone Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 925 (-9%) 3mo $36,000 $39 49
1611 N Horsman St 0.61mi 2/1.5 1,114 (+9%) 7mo $123,750 $111 48
3208 Liberty Dr 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,148 (+12%) 4mo $123,000 $107 46
2903 Yonge St 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,116 (+9%) 11mo $108,500 $97 43
2928 Ridgeway Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (-8%) 10mo $119,900 $128 42
2103 Sherman Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,068 (+5%) 12mo $145,000 $136 41
1029 Woodlawn Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,121 (+10%) 11mo $70,666 $63 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.2%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$26,475
Equity at exit
$9,170
10-year hold
IRR
42.9%
Equity multiple
5.07×
Total profit
$70,016
Equity at exit
$5,317

Cash invested: $17,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61101

Home prices YoY
-25.4%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,251 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$323
Tax from tax record
$68 /mo · $820/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$572

Break-even live

Break-even rent $527
Max offer price $61,500
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,375
Closing costs
$1,845
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
912 Furman St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 13d 1 0.25mi
418 Orchard Park Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,500 $1.22 13d 1 0.37mi
1510 School St Unit 1 Rockford, IL 3.0 1.5 1400 $1,200 $0.86 43d 1 0.38mi
1116 Irving Ave Unit 1116-301 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 21d 1 0.42mi
1617 Vermont St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1375 $1,325 $0.96 43d 1 0.42mi
1614 Pauline Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 956 $1,400 $1.46 43d 1 0.53mi
924 N Sunset Ave Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 725 $1,050 $1.45 13d 1 0.57mi
2422 Benderwirt Ave Unit 2422-1 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,025 $0.89 43d 1 0.65mi
2011 School St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,500 $1.58 43d 1 0.65mi
2305 School St Unit 2305-7 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 875 $995 $1.14 43d 1 0.83mi
2330 Kilburn Ave Rockford, IL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $999 $1.05 13d 1 0.87mi
1826 Green St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 21d 1 0.94mi
2008 Auburn St Unit 2008-1E Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 850 $925 $1.09 21d 1 0.97mi
2403 Elm St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1373 $1,400 $1.02 13d 1 1.03mi
2403 Elm St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 1373 $1,400 $1.02 43d 1 1.03mi
920 N Church St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,295 $1.73 13d 4 1.04mi
1904 Auburn St Unit 1904-2 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 44d 1 1.04mi
922 N Church St Rockford, IL 2.0 2.0 1150 $1,450 $1.26 43d 1 1.05mi
1904 Auburn St Unit 1904-4 Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 43d 1 1.05mi
939 N Church St Unit 939-9 Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 750 $925 $1.23 43d 1 1.10mi
901 N Horace Ave Rockford, IL 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,700 $1.21 13d 1 1.12mi
2315 Green St Rockford, IL 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,600 $1.24 43d 1 1.12mi
929 N Main St Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 662 $999 $1.51 13d 1 1.15mi
913 N Main St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $2,300 $2.19 21d 1 1.17mi
226 S Main St Rockford, IL 1.0 1.0 1066 $1,560 $1.46 13d 3 1.19mi
203 Carlton Ter Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 21d 1 1.22mi
1121 N Church St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 21d 1 1.22mi
1401 N Court St Rockford, IL 2.0 1.0 850 $950 $1.12 43d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $61,500 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $61,500 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $61,500 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $61,500 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,500 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,500 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $67,500 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $67,500 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $67,500 Active 50 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $67,500 Active 49 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,500 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,500 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $67,500 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,500 Active 42 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,500 Active 41 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,500 Active 40 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $67,500 Active 39 DOM
  18. 2026-05-12
    price $69,900 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    Opportunity awaits at 1126 Ashland Ave! This classic 1.5-story home offers solid bones, timeless character, and a spacious layout ready for its next chapter. Featuring a bright main level with open living and dining areas, this home provides a great foundation to create your ideal space. The property includes generously sized bedrooms, a functional kitchen layout, full basement, enclosed front porch, and a detached garage. The large backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. This home will require repairs, updates, and overall improvement, and is priced accordingly to reflect the work needed. Ideal for buyers looking to build equity, renovate to their own style, or take on a project with strong upside potential. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major roadways, this property presents a great opportunity for those ready to bring their vision to life.

  19. 2026-05-04
    price $75,000 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    Opportunity awaits at 1126 Ashland Ave! This classic 1.5-story home offers solid bones, timeless character, and a spacious layout ready for its next chapter. Featuring a bright main level with open living and dining areas, this home provides a great foundation to create your ideal space. The property includes generously sized bedrooms, a functional kitchen layout, full basement, enclosed front porch, and a detached garage. The large backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. This home will require repairs, updates, and overall improvement, and is priced accordingly to reflect the work needed. Ideal for buyers looking to build equity, renovate to their own style, or take on a project with strong upside potential. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major roadways, this property presents a great opportunity for those ready to bring their vision to life.

  20. 2026-04-21
    listed $85,000 Active 922-char remark
    Show marketing remark (922 chars)

    Opportunity awaits at 1126 Ashland Ave! This classic 1.5-story home offers solid bones, timeless character, and a spacious layout ready for its next chapter. Featuring a bright main level with open living and dining areas, this home provides a great foundation to create your ideal space. The property includes generously sized bedrooms, a functional kitchen layout, full basement, enclosed front porch, and a detached garage. The large backyard offers plenty of room for outdoor enjoyment, expansion, or future improvements. This home will require repairs, updates, and overall improvement, and is priced accordingly to reflect the work needed. Ideal for buyers looking to build equity, renovate to their own style, or take on a project with strong upside potential. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major roadways, this property presents a great opportunity for those ready to bring their vision to life.

  21. 2020-12-14
    soldstatus $21,000 Closed Sale 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    A cute smaller 2 bedroom 1 bath home with a garage on a 210 foot deep lot on a quiet dead-end street. Enclosed front porch, full basement, available with immediate possession. Has almost always been rented. Sold AS-IS

  22. 2020-12-14
    soldstatus $21,000
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    A cute smaller 2 bedroom 1 bath home with a garage on a 210 foot deep lot on a quiet dead-end street. Enclosed front porch, full basement, available with immediate possession. Has almost always been rented. Sold AS-IS

  23. 2020-12-07
    status Pending 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    A cute smaller 2 bedroom 1 bath home with a garage on a 210 foot deep lot on a quiet dead-end street. Enclosed front porch, full basement, available with immediate possession. Has almost always been rented. Sold AS-IS

  24. 2020-10-27
    price $24,500 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    A cute smaller 2 bedroom 1 bath home with a garage on a 210 foot deep lot on a quiet dead-end street. Enclosed front porch, full basement, available with immediate possession. Has almost always been rented. Sold AS-IS

  25. 2020-09-23
    listed $26,500 New 217-char remark
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    A cute smaller 2 bedroom 1 bath home with a garage on a 210 foot deep lot on a quiet dead-end street. Enclosed front porch, full basement, available with immediate possession. Has almost always been rented. Sold AS-IS

  26. 2020-09-23
    listed $24,500
    Show marketing remark (217 chars)

    A cute smaller 2 bedroom 1 bath home with a garage on a 210 foot deep lot on a quiet dead-end street. Enclosed front porch, full basement, available with immediate possession. Has almost always been rented. Sold AS-IS

  27. 2000-04-11
    soldstatus $10,000
  28. 1992-07-09
    soldstatus $9,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$820 · $68/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,108 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$288/yr (+$24/mo · 35.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,013
− Mortgage interest
−$3,445
− Property taxes
−$820
− Insurance
−$308
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,201
− Management
−$1,201
− Depreciation
−$1,789
Taxable income
$6,250
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,500
After-tax cash flow
$5,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rockford SD 205
NCES district ID
1734510
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,533
Composite
12.21/100
National rank
#9649
State rank
#533 of 620 in IL

Livability — Rockford

Score
62/100
State rank
#876
US rank
#17035

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rockford, IL
County
Winnebago County · 147,297 people
City population
147,297
Metro
Rockford, IL
Population (ZIP)
19,318
Household income
$46,163
Rent vs Own
48.6% rent · 51.4% own
Severe rent burden
1170.0

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
271,080 people
By 2030
260,684 · -3.8%
By 2040
238,405 · -12.1%
By 2050
216,129 · -20.3%
By 2075
172,882 · -36.2%
By 2100
135,336 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 49.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.8pp · 2024: 0.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.6 2020: D+2.5 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+5.7 2008: D+12.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.58%
Current HPI
204.8946
Rent YoY
Metro
Rockford, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+676.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-14 Sold (MLS) $21,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-14 Sold (MLS) $21,000 NWIAR
  • 2020-12-07 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-27 Price Changed $24,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-23 Listed $26,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-23 Listed $24,500 NWIAR
  • 2000-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 1992-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $820 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…