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2191 Harbor Blvd #7
B Composite 72.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,999

2191 Harbor Blvd #7 · Costa Mesa, CA 92627
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 825 sqft · Manufactured · 105 Days on market
Built 1989 4.19 ac lot $182/sqft · at area comps Est $155k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Make this double wide spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home your next home in the Trade Wind Mobile home park community, with vaulted ceilings. Includes 3 parking spaces, storage shed and side yard. Front deck was recently redone. Wood laminate and tile floors throughout the home. Includes laundry room inside. Trade Wind is a family oriented community. Perfect location, with close proximity to the 55 frwy and 405 frwy, Hoag Hospital, shopping, restaurants and Newport Beach.

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Storage shed
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

VAULTED CEILINGSSTORAGE SHEDSIDE YARDLAUNDRY ROOMCLOSE PROXIMITY TO 55 FRWYCLOSE PROXIMITY TO 405 FRWY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 1.8% in Costa Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#558 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, amenities B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
  • Newport-Mesa Unified (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #106 of 517 in CA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 97 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $150k implies a 329% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,499 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.00%
Cap rate
16.95%
Cash-on-cash
38.07%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$155,000
List price
$149,999
Delta
-3.23%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
327 W Wilson St #49 0.43mi 2/1.0 816 (-1%) 4mo $165,000 $202 70
327 W Wilson #88 0.43mi 2/2.0 768 (-7%) 3mo $155,000 $202 66
1973 Newport Blvd #17 0.56mi 2/2.0 800 (-3%) 10mo $136,000 $170 60
1973 Newport Blvd #50 0.53mi 2/2.0 780 (-6%) 13mo $160,000 $205 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.7%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$56,764
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
39.0%
Equity multiple
4.42×
Total profit
$143,528
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92627

Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,999 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$187 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$630
Net cashflow
$1,333

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $149,999
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,436 -5% $1,384 +0% $1,333 +5% $1,281 +10% $1,229
Rent -10% $1,096 -5% $1,214 +0% $1,333 +5% $1,451 +10% $1,569
Rate -1.0pp $1,408 -0.5pp $1,371 base $1,333 +0.5pp $1,294 +1.0pp $1,254

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1995 Maple St Unit 1999-202 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 704 $2,650 $3.76 44d 1 0.19mi
1995 Maple St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 704 $2,575 $3.66 5d 1 0.19mi
592 Hamilton St Apt C Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 810 $3,800 $4.69 44d 1 0.27mi
427 Hamilton St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,900 $2.90 25d 1 0.30mi
393 Hamilton St Unit B1 Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 576 $2,200 $3.82 21d 1 0.34mi
370 Hamilton St Unit A Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.5 1000 $3,100 $3.10 44d 1 0.35mi
393 Hamilton St Unit N1 Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 576 $2,050 $3.56 21d 1 0.37mi
673 Victoria St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $3,000 $4.29 17d 1 0.40mi
2029 Harbor Blvd Unit 7 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 616 $2,850 $4.63 8d 1 0.40mi
2029 Harbor Blvd Unit 8 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 638 $2,750 $4.31 25d 1 0.40mi
2002 Maple Ave Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 950 $2,595 $2.73 25d 1 0.43mi
1999 Maple Ave Unit 202 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 704 $2,575 $3.66 8d 1 0.50mi
2000 Parsons St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $3,215 $4.02 14d 5 0.50mi
2400 Harbor Blvd Costa Mesa, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1010 $3,955 $3.92 2d 17 0.53mi
260 Victoria St Unit D-4 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 2.5 920 $3,995 $4.34 44d 1 0.55mi
241 W Wilson St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $2,595 $2.87 17d 1 0.62mi
2258 Pamela Ln Unit A Costa Mesa, CA 3.0 2.0 950 $3,695 $3.89 3d 1 0.65mi
2212 Placentia Ave Unit A Costa Mesa, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $3,400 $3.40 44d 1 0.66mi
2061-D Wallace Ave Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.5 986 $2,735 $2.77 25d 1 0.67mi
2218 Placentia Ave Unit D Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $3,000 $3.33 44d 1 0.67mi
117 E Bay St Unit A Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 787 $2,750 $3.49 25d 1 0.68mi
121 E Bay St Unit 121D Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 788 $2,850 $3.62 21d 1 0.69mi
121 E Bay St Unit D Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 788 $2,850 $3.62 25d 1 0.69mi
790 Hamilton St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 555 $2,300 $4.14 22d 1 0.69mi
132 E Bay St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,700 $3.00 14d 1 0.70mi
136 E Bay St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $2,550 $3.64 44d 1 0.71mi
1975 Pomona Ave Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,995 $3.07 14d 1 0.72mi
2115 Placentia Ave Costa Mesa, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 725 $2,595 $3.58 3d 4 0.75mi
138 Walnut St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 2.0 1008 $5,500 $5.46 45d 1 0.79mi
1947 Fullerton Ave Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 824 $3,895 $4.73 25d 1 0.80mi
140 W Wilson St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 585 $2,250 $3.85 21d 1 0.84mi
177 22nd St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 740 $2,625 $3.55 44d 1 0.85mi
131 Albert Pl Unit D Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 2.0 913 $4,200 $4.60 44d 1 0.86mi
2345 Newport Blvd Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 2.0 880 $3,032 $3.45 2d 5 0.89mi
127 Broadway Unit 131 B Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $3,495 $3.50 22d 1 0.91mi
2414 Richmond Way Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 2.0 850 $3,000 $3.53 4d 1 0.93mi
425 Merrimac Way Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $2,540 $4.23 2d 6 0.95mi
2323 Elden Ave Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 684 $2,445 $3.57 4d 2 0.96mi
109 Clearbrook Ln Unit C Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $2,450 $3.27 25d 1 1.03mi
2367 Elden Ave Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 1000 $2,500 $2.50 44d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,999 Active 105 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,999 Active 104 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,999 Active 103 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,999 Active 102 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,999 Active 100 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,999 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,999 Active 96 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,999 Active 95 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,999 Active 94 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,999 Active 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,999 Active 90 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,999 Active 89 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,999 Active 88 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,999 Active 87 DOM
  15. 2026-03-05
    listed $149,999 Active 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Make this double wide spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home your next home in the Trade Wind Mobile home park community, with vaulted ceilings. Includes 3 parking spaces, storage shed and side yard. Front deck was recently redone. Wood laminate and tile floors throughout the home. Includes laundry room inside. Trade Wind is a family oriented community. Perfect location, with close proximity to the 55 frwy and 405 frwy, Hoag Hospital, shopping, restaurants and Newport Beach.

  16. 2026-02-24
    historical
  17. 2025-08-27
    listed $159,000 Active
  18. 2002-07-05
    soldstatus $35,000
  19. 2002-04-25
    listed $38,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,987
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,879
− Management
−$2,879
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$14,463
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,471
After-tax cash flow
$12,519/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newport-Mesa Unified
NCES district ID
0627240
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$83,922
Composite
47.64/100
National rank
#2248
State rank
#106 of 517 in CA

Livability — Costa Mesa

Score
61/100
State rank
#558
US rank
#18441

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Costa Mesa, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
111,101
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
60,393
Household income
$108,994
Rent vs Own
61.5% rent · 38.5% own
Severe rent burden
2889.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 32%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1520.53%
Current HPI
455.1299
Rent YoY
▲ 1.71%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+285.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $149,999 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-08-27 Listed $159,000 CRMLS
  • 2002-07-05 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CRMLS
  • 2002-04-25 Listed $38,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-21.5%/yr

Latest (2015): $18 · -33.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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