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2191 Harbor Blvd #7
B Composite 72.99
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.5/10.0
  • Manufactured-home adj. -6.3

$120,000

2191 Harbor Blvd #7 · Costa Mesa, CA 92627
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 825 sqft · Manufactured · 156 Days on market
Manufactured home Built 1989 Average condition 4.19 ac lot $145/sqft · 17% below area Est $145k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Make this double wide spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home your next home in the Trade Wind Mobile home park community, with vaulted ceilings. Includes 3 parking spaces, storage shed and side yard. Front deck was recently redone. Wood laminate and tile floors throughout the home. Includes laundry room inside. Trade Wind is a family oriented community. Perfect location, with close proximity to the 55 frwy and 405 frwy, Hoag Hospital, shopping, restaurants and Newport Beach.

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Storage shed
  • Vaulted ceilings

Tags

VAULTED CEILINGSSTORAGE SHEDSIDE YARDLAUNDRY ROOMCLOSE PROXIMITY TO 55 FRWYCLOSE PROXIMITY TO 405 FRWY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 1.8% in Costa Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#558 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, amenities B; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F, commute F.
  • Newport-Mesa Unified (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #106 of 517 in CA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Wilson Elementary (math 27%, 361 students, 95% FRL); Charles W. Tewinkle Middle (math 26% / reading 24%, grade F, #271 of 498 statewide, top 54%, 506 students, 83% FRL); Estancia High (math 18% / reading 56%, grade F, #578 of 1,170 statewide, top 51%, 1,040 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 40% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Newport-Mesa Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $35k; list at $120k implies a 243% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
16.37%
Cash-on-cash
35.98%
DSCR
2.60
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$144,820
List price
$120,000
Delta
-17.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
327 W Wilson St #49 0.43mi 2/1.0 816 (-1%) 6mo $165,000 $202 69
327 W Wilson #88 0.43mi 2/2.0 768 (-7%) 4mo $155,000 $202 65
327 W Wilson #15 0.43mi 2/1.0 768 (-7%) 2mo $95,000 $124 63
1973 Newport Blvd #17 0.56mi 2/2.0 800 (-3%) 12mo $136,000 $170 59
1973 Newport Blvd #50 0.53mi 2/2.0 780 (-6%) 15mo $160,000 $205 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.2%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$41,775
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
36.7%
Equity multiple
4.19×
Total profit
$107,228
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
8 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
24.0 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$152,400 ($188/sqft)
Median days on market
102 d
This list price
12% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-6.7% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 92627

Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,325 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Lot rent leased land?
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$488
Net cashflow
$1,007

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,090 -5% $1,049 +0% $1,007 +5% $966 +10% $925
Rent -10% $824 -5% $916 +0% $1,007 +5% $1,099 +10% $1,191
Rate -1.0pp $1,068 -0.5pp $1,038 base $1,007 +0.5pp $976 +1.0pp $945

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1995 Maple St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 704 $2,575 $3.66 54d 1 0.19mi
1995 Maple St Unit 1999-202 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 704 $2,575 $3.66 43d 1 0.19mi
2190 College Ave Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $2,810 $3.12 28d 1 0.25mi
592 Hamilton St Apt C Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 810 $3,750 $4.63 0d 1 0.27mi
383 W Wilson St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $2,595 $3.24 23d 1 0.29mi
366 Avocado St Unit B206 Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 675 $1,995 $2.96 7d 1 0.30mi
427 Hamilton St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,900 $2.90 73d 1 0.30mi
427 Hamilton St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 950 $2,925 $3.08 24d 1 0.30mi
354 Avocado St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $2,350 $2.85 3d 1 0.33mi
393 Hamilton St Unit B1 Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 576 $2,200 $3.82 70d 1 0.34mi
374 Hamilton St Unit B103 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 2.0 802 $3,950 $4.93 17d 1 0.35mi
374 Hamilton St Unit B101 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 2.0 798 $3,950 $4.95 7d 1 0.35mi
370 Hamilton St Unit A Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.5 1000 $3,100 $3.10 93d 1 0.35mi
345 Avocado St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 1038 $3,200 $3.08 40d 1 0.36mi
345 Avocado St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 941 $3,500 $3.72 4d 2 0.36mi
393 Hamilton St Unit N1 Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 576 $2,050 $3.56 70d 1 0.37mi
2034 Charle St Unit A Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 934 $3,850 $4.12 23d 1 0.39mi
673 Victoria St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $3,000 $4.29 66d 1 0.40mi
2029 Harbor Blvd Unit 7 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 616 $2,850 $4.63 57d 1 0.40mi
2029 Harbor Blvd Unit 8 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 638 $2,650 $4.15 42d 1 0.40mi
1999 Maple Ave Unit 202 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 704 $2,575 $3.66 57d 1 0.50mi
2400 Harbor Blvd Costa Mesa, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1010 $3,715 $3.68 0d 19 0.52mi
1978 Maple Ave Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.5 880 $2,595 $2.95 38d 1 0.53mi
260 Victoria St Unit D-4 Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 2.5 920 $3,995 $4.34 93d 1 0.55mi
1959 Maple Ave Unit 6110 Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $2,855 $4.08 13d 1 0.59mi
241 W Wilson St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 904 $2,595 $2.87 66d 1 0.62mi
2258 Pamela Ln Unit A Costa Mesa, CA 3.0 2.0 950 $3,695 $3.89 52d 1 0.65mi
221 Avocado St Unit 221-A Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 2.5 950 $3,295 $3.47 13d 1 0.66mi
221 Avocado St Unit 221-D Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 2.5 1000 $3,500 $3.50 0d 1 0.66mi
2212 Placentia Ave Unit A Costa Mesa, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $3,400 $3.40 93d 1 0.66mi
2061-D Wallace Ave Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.5 986 $2,735 $2.77 73d 1 0.67mi
2218 Placentia Ave Unit D Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $3,000 $3.33 93d 1 0.67mi
421 Bernard St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 924 $3,979 $4.31 0d 2 0.67mi
117 E Bay St Unit A Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 787 $2,750 $3.49 73d 1 0.68mi
121 E Bay St Unit 121D Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 788 $2,850 $3.62 70d 1 0.69mi
121 E Bay St Unit D Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 787 $2,795 $3.55 2d 1 0.69mi
121 E Bay St Unit D Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 788 $2,850 $3.62 73d 1 0.69mi
790 Hamilton St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 555 $2,300 $4.14 71d 1 0.69mi
132 E Bay St Costa Mesa, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,600 $2.89 32d 1 0.70mi
136 E Bay St Costa Mesa, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $2,550 $3.64 93d 1 0.71mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $120,000 Active 154 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 153 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $120,000 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 148 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 147 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 146 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $120,000 Active 145 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $120,000 Active 143 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $120,000 Active 141 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $120,000 Active 140 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $120,000 Active 139 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $120,000 Active 138 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $120,000 Active 137 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 135 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 134 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 133 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 132 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 131 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 130 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 129 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $120,000 Active 128 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 127 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 126 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 124 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $120,000 Active 123 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $120,000 Active 122 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $120,000 Active 121 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 120 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 119 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 118 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 117 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $120,000 Active 116 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $120,000 Active 115 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $120,000 Active 114 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $120,000 Active 113 DOM
  38. 2026-06-24
    pricedays on market $120,000 Active 111 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $149,999 Active 109 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,999 Active 108 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,999 Active 105 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,999 Active 104 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,999 Active 103 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,999 Active 102 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,999 Active 100 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,999 Active 99 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,999 Active 96 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,999 Active 95 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,999 Active 94 DOM
  50. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,999 Active 91 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,900
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,800
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,232
− Management
−$2,232
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$10,823
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,598
After-tax cash flow
$9,492/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Average 55/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $4,125–$12,375 screening

This double-wide mobile home is in average condition with some minor repairs and maintenance needed. It has a good location and is move-in ready.

Components & finishes AI

Flooring tile

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Slight wear and tear, but not in need of immediate replacement.
  • Minor Bathroom walls — Some discoloration, but not severe enough to require immediate attention.
  • Minor Exterior siding — Some discoloration and minor damage, but not severe enough to require immediate attention.
  • Minor Flooring — Some minor scuffs, but not severe enough to require immediate attention.
  • Minor Interior walls/paint — Some scuffs and discoloration, but not severe enough to require immediate attention.
  • Minor HVAC and mechanical systems — Some signs of wear and tear, but functional and not in need of immediate replacement.
  • Minor Landscaping — Minimal landscaping with some overgrown areas, but not severe enough to require immediate attention.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can improve the overall appearance and value of the home.
  • Both Clean HVAC filters — Clean filters can improve air quality and energy efficiency.
  • Both Trim landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value to the home.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 31/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Wilson Elementary Middle Charles W. Tewinkle Middle F CA #271/498 Nat'l #10,337/14,009 High Estancia High F CA #578/1,170 Nat'l #9,001/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Newport-Mesa Unified
NCES district ID
0627240
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$83,922
Composite
47.64/100
National rank
#2248
State rank
#106 of 517 in CA
C Composite livability gradescore 61/100

Livability — Costa Mesa

Score
61/100
State rank
#558
US rank
#18441

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Costa Mesa, CA
County
Orange County · 3,477,456 people
City population
111,101
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
60,393
Household income
$108,994
Rent vs Own
61.5% rent · 38.5% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 32%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+285.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $149,999 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-08-27 Listed $159,000 CRMLS
  • 2002-07-05 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CRMLS
  • 2002-04-25 Listed $38,900 CRMLS

Property tax history

-21.5%/yr

Latest (2015): $18 · -33.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…