2191 Harbor Blvd #7 · Costa Mesa, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.0/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Make this double wide spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home your next home in the Trade Wind Mobile home park community, with vaulted ceilings. Includes 3 parking spaces, storage shed and side yard. Front deck was recently redone. Wood laminate and tile floors throughout the home. Includes laundry room inside. Trade Wind is a family oriented community. Perfect location, with close proximity to the 55 frwy and 405 frwy, Hoag Hospital, shopping, restaurants and Newport Beach.
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Storage shed
- Vaulted ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 1.8% in Costa Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#558 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, amenities B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
- Newport-Mesa Unified (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #106 of 517 in CA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 97 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $150k implies a 329% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.07%
- DSCR
- 2.69
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,000
- List price
- $149,999
- Delta
- -3.23%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 W Wilson St #49 | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-1%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $202 | 70 |
| 327 W Wilson #88 | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 768 (-7%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $202 | 66 |
| 1973 Newport Blvd #17 | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (-3%) | 10mo | $136,000 | $170 | 60 |
| 1973 Newport Blvd #50 | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 780 (-6%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $205 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $56,764
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 39.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.42×
- Total profit
- $143,528
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92627
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,999 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$187 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$630
- Net cashflow
- $1,333
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,436 | -5% $1,384 | +0% $1,333 | +5% $1,281 | +10% $1,229 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,096 | -5% $1,214 | +0% $1,333 | +5% $1,451 | +10% $1,569 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,408 | -0.5pp $1,371 | base $1,333 | +0.5pp $1,294 | +1.0pp $1,254 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 Maple St Unit 1999-202 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $2,650 | $3.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1995 Maple St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $2,575 | $3.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 592 Hamilton St Apt C Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $3,800 | $4.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 427 Hamilton St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,900 | $2.90 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 393 Hamilton St Unit B1 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $2,200 | $3.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 370 Hamilton St Unit A Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $3,100 | $3.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 393 Hamilton St Unit N1 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $2,050 | $3.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 673 Victoria St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,000 | $4.29 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2029 Harbor Blvd Unit 7 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $2,850 | $4.63 | 8d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2029 Harbor Blvd Unit 8 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 638 | $2,750 | $4.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2002 Maple Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,595 | $2.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1999 Maple Ave Unit 202 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $2,575 | $3.66 | 8d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2000 Parsons St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $3,215 | $4.02 | 14d | 5 | 0.50mi |
| 2400 Harbor Blvd Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1010 | $3,955 | $3.92 | 2d | 17 | 0.53mi |
| 260 Victoria St Unit D-4 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 920 | $3,995 | $4.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 241 W Wilson St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 904 | $2,595 | $2.87 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2258 Pamela Ln Unit A Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $3,695 | $3.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2212 Placentia Ave Unit A Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,400 | $3.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2061-D Wallace Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $2,735 | $2.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2218 Placentia Ave Unit D Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,000 | $3.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 117 E Bay St Unit A Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $2,750 | $3.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 121 E Bay St Unit 121D Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $2,850 | $3.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 121 E Bay St Unit D Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $2,850 | $3.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 790 Hamilton St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 555 | $2,300 | $4.14 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 132 E Bay St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,700 | $3.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 136 E Bay St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,550 | $3.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1975 Pomona Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,995 | $3.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2115 Placentia Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $2,595 | $3.58 | 3d | 4 | 0.75mi |
| 138 Walnut St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $5,500 | $5.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1947 Fullerton Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 824 | $3,895 | $4.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 140 W Wilson St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $2,250 | $3.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 177 22nd St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $2,625 | $3.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 131 Albert Pl Unit D Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 913 | $4,200 | $4.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2345 Newport Blvd Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $3,032 | $3.45 | 2d | 5 | 0.89mi |
| 127 Broadway Unit 131 B Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,495 | $3.50 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2414 Richmond Way Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $3,000 | $3.53 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 425 Merrimac Way Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,540 | $4.23 | 2d | 6 | 0.95mi |
| 2323 Elden Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $2,445 | $3.57 | 4d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 109 Clearbrook Ln Unit C Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,450 | $3.27 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2367 Elden Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,999 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,999 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,999 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,999 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,999 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,999 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,999 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,999 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,999 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,999 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,999 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-03-05$149,999 Active 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Make this double wide spacious 2 bedroom, 2 bath mobile home your next home in the Trade Wind Mobile home park community, with vaulted ceilings. Includes 3 parking spaces, storage shed and side yard. Front deck was recently redone. Wood laminate and tile floors throughout the home. Includes laundry room inside. Trade Wind is a family oriented community. Perfect location, with close proximity to the 55 frwy and 405 frwy, Hoag Hospital, shopping, restaurants and Newport Beach.
-
2026-02-24historical
-
2025-08-27$159,000 Active
-
2002-07-05soldstatus $35,000
-
2002-04-25$38,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,987
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,879
- − Management
- −$2,879
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $14,463
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,471
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,519/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport-Mesa Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0627240
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,922
- Composite
- 47.64/100
- National rank
- #2248
- State rank
- #106 of 517 in CA
Livability — Costa Mesa
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #558
- US rank
- #18441
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Costa Mesa, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 111,101
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,393
- Household income
- $108,994
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2889.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1520.53%
- Current HPI
- 455.1299
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.71%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+285.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $149,999 CRMLS
- 2026-02-24 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-08-27 Listed $159,000 CRMLS
- 2002-07-05 Sold (MLS) $35,000 CRMLS
- 2002-04-25 Listed $38,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
-21.5%/yrLatest (2015): $18 · -33.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…