1240 14th St · Marion, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$147,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step back in time while creating your future in this uniquely charming late-1800s home, perfectly blending historic character with wide-open possibilities. Situated on a expansive fenced lot, this property is a rare find for those dreaming of country-style living with city convenience. This is a fantastic opportunity to bring your vision to life in a truly "one-of-a-kind" home. Whether you are looking for a homestead, a gardening paradise, or a historic renovation project, this home offers the perfect canvas.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1893
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#19 in IA, #633 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Marion Independent School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #158 of 289 in IA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.4%/yr); 457 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $71k; list at $148k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1893 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1893 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.04%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,991
- List price
- $147,500
- Delta
- -15.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1480 Henderson Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,479 (+1%) | 0mo | $192,000 | $130 | 92 |
| 924 10th St St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,433 (-2%) | 3mo | $199,100 | $139 | 80 |
| 1405 5th Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,455 (-0%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $55 | 77 |
| 1436 9th St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,540 (+6%) | 1mo | $201,700 | $131 | 70 |
| 440 8th St St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (-1%) | 0mo | $193,900 | $135 | 68 |
| 1080 7th St | 0.42mi | 3/— | 1,587 (+9%) | 2mo | $162,000 | $102 | 64 |
| 393 9th Ave Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+4%) | 2mo | $215,500 | $143 | 62 |
| 2220 Brockman Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,652 (+13%) | 5mo | $219,000 | $133 | 53 |
| 975 6th St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (-12%) | 4mo | $189,000 | $148 | 51 |
| 180 21st St | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,577 (+8%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $138 | 46 |
| 2765 16th Ave | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+11%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $145 | 44 |
| 2200 Country Club Dr | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,676 (+15%) | 4mo | $227,000 | $135 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $9,851
- Equity at exit
- $21,993
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $83,213
- Equity at exit
- $12,753
Cash invested: $41,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52302
- Rents YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 457
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,801 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$774
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,492/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $380
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $463 | -5% $422 | +0% $380 | +5% $338 | +10% $296 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $238 | -5% $309 | +0% $380 | +5% $451 | +10% $522 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $454 | -0.5pp $417 | base $380 | +0.5pp $342 | +1.0pp $303 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,875
- Closing costs
- $4,425
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1330 Brockman Ave Marion, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $2,400 | $1.51 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2899 5th Ave Unit 2 Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3040 3rd Ave Marion, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2799 29th Ave Marion, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1394 | $1,995 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 345 Marion Blvd Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 680 | $2,600 | $3.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 700 35th St Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 896 | $1,224 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 127 Southview Dr Marion, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $950 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Step back in time while creating your future in this uniquely charming late-1800s home, perfectly blending historic character with wide-open possibilities. Situated on a expansive fenced lot, this property is a rare find for those dreaming of country-style living with city convenience. This is a fantastic opportunity to bring your vision to life in a truly "one-of-a-kind" home. Whether you are looking for a homestead, a gardening paradise, or a historic renovation project, this home offers the perfect canvas.
-
2026-04-23price $147,500 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Step back in time while creating your future in this uniquely charming late-1800s home, perfectly blending historic character with wide-open possibilities. Situated on a expansive fenced lot, this property is a rare find for those dreaming of country-style living with city convenience. This is a fantastic opportunity to bring your vision to life in a truly "one-of-a-kind" home. Whether you are looking for a homestead, a gardening paradise, or a historic renovation project, this home offers the perfect canvas.
-
2026-03-31$155,000 Active 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Step back in time while creating your future in this uniquely charming late-1800s home, perfectly blending historic character with wide-open possibilities. Situated on a expansive fenced lot, this property is a rare find for those dreaming of country-style living with city convenience. This is a fantastic opportunity to bring your vision to life in a truly "one-of-a-kind" home. Whether you are looking for a homestead, a gardening paradise, or a historic renovation project, this home offers the perfect canvas.
-
2015-07-17soldstatus $71,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,492 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,492 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,608
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,262
- − Property taxes
- −$2,492
- − Insurance
- −$738
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,729
- − Management
- −$1,729
- − Depreciation
- −$4,291
- Taxable income
- $2,368
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$568
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion Independent School District
- NCES district ID
- 1918690
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,541
- Composite
- 58.49/100
- National rank
- #997
- State rank
- #158 of 289 in IA
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #633
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, IA
- County
- Linn County · 179,860 people
- City population
- 42,706
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,706
- Household income
- $87,983
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 940.0
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 239,589 people
- By 2030
- 248,587 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 264,817 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 278,685 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 311,754 · +30.1%
- By 2100
- 336,773 · +40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.9) · D 54.2% · R 44.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.5pp · 2024: 9.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.9 2020: D+13.7 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.98%
- Current HPI
- 199.2949
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.37%
- Metro
- Cedar Rapids, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+107.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $147,500 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $155,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2015-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,492 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…