113 Alice St · West Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$57,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Investors This could be a great buy and hold property. some updates and this could be a good rental. 3/1 with out side storage building Has a great little screened in porch with access to laundry on the porch. Fenced yard.
Key facts
- Built 1954
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $57k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $57k).
- Cap rate 22.5% vs local median 7.9% in West Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Global Learning Academy (math 11% / reading 19%, grade F, #2,132 of 2,144 statewide, top 100%, 470 students, 90% FRL); Warrington Middle School (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #553 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 573 students, 87% FRL); Pensacola High School (math 29% / reading 50%, grade F, #304 of 667 statewide, top 47%, 1,229 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 58% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Escambia average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $394 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 57.97%
- DSCR
- 3.58
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,312
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Gloucester Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-0%) | 15mo | $148,500 | $165 | 76 |
| 118 Alice St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 828 (-8%) | 14mo | $40,000 | $48 | 72 |
| 14 Alice St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+6%) | 14mo | $115,000 | $120 | 71 |
| 4130 W Jackson St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,028 (+14%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $136 | 65 |
| 122 State St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 940 (+4%) | 7mo | $156,000 | $166 | 56 |
| 121 State St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 940 (+4%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $165 | 54 |
| 3766 Frontera Cir | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,011 (+12%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $153 | 51 |
| 3 Bertram St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 916 (+1%) | 14mo | $65,000 | $71 | 47 |
| 4408 Lillian Hwy | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 792 (-12%) | 6mo | $34,500 | $44 | 42 |
| 3715 W Brainerd St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 800 (-12%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $163 | 40 |
| 1005 Grandview St | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,009 (+12%) | 6mo | $143,000 | $142 | 38 |
| 220 Shadowlawn Ln | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (+13%) | 14mo | $204,000 | $199 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $42,721
- Equity at exit
- $8,499
- IRR
- 64.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.06×
- Total profit
- $112,610
- Equity at exit
- $4,928
Cash invested: $15,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32505
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,446 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$299
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $583/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $771
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $803 | -5% $787 | +0% $771 | +5% $755 | +10% $739 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $657 | -5% $714 | +0% $771 | +5% $828 | +10% $885 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $800 | -0.5pp $785 | base $771 | +0.5pp $756 | +1.0pp $741 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,250
- Closing costs
- $1,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4519 Martha Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1218 N Kirk St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 190 N Old Corry Field Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,174 | $1.28 | 15d | 3 | 0.76mi |
| 4600 Twin Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,499 | $1.79 | 15d | 29 | 0.95mi |
| 3206 W Lee St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3202 W Lee St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $995 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 101 Vanderbilt Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 316 Teakwood Cir Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5501 Mayfair Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,295 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 406 N S St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,295 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2303 W Brainerd St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2019-02-11soldstatus $54,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Attention Investors This could be a great buy and hold property. some updates and this could be a good rental. 3/1 with out side storage building Has a great little screened in porch with access to laundry on the porch. Fenced yard.
-
2019-01-12$54,900 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Attention Investors This could be a great buy and hold property. some updates and this could be a good rental. 3/1 with out side storage building Has a great little screened in porch with access to laundry on the porch. Fenced yard.
-
1998-06-26soldstatus $38,000
-
1998-06-26soldstatus $38,000
-
1988-07-01soldstatus $27,200
-
1984-02-01soldstatus $22,300
-
1980-04-01soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $583 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $583 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,350
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,193
- − Property taxes
- −$583
- − Insurance
- −$285
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,388
- − Management
- −$1,388
- − Depreciation
- −$1,658
- Taxable income
- $8,855
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,125
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,126/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Pensacola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #12275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,877
- Household income
- $44,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 205.45
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+188.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2019-02-11 Sold (MLS) $54,900 PARMLS
- 2019-01-12 Listed $54,900 PARMLS
- 1998-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1998-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1988-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,200 Public Records
- 1984-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,300 Public Records
- 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $583 · +26.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…