27628 Riverside Dr · Grundy, VA 24614

$120,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,525 sqft · Other public records · 49 Days on market

Built 1988 1.50 ac lot ↓ 11% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.8/10.0
• DSCR +4.3/10.0
• 1% rule +4.0/10.0
• Appreciation +3.5/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 27628 Riverside Dr. in Grundy, VA! This 3 bedroom, 2 bath 1988 doublewide has been well maintained and is ready for its new owner. The home offers a comfortable layout, newer windows, and plenty of potential to make it your own. While it may need some new carpet, the biggest charm of this property is the outdoor space featuring an above-ground pool and pool deck — perfect for relaxing, entertaining, and enjoying warm summer days. Conveniently located in Grundy, this home is a great opportunity for anyone looking for a move-in ready property with a fun outdoor feature already in place. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

• Outdoor space
• Pool deck
• Above-ground pool

Tags

• OUTDOOR SPACE
• ABOVE-GROUND POOL
• POOL DECK

Property features AI

Exterior

• Security: Security system
• Utilities: Private well water; Public sewer
• Home design: Manufactured single-family home; One level
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
• Exterior features: Above-ground pool; Irregular, sloped lot; Has a view; Security system

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Cooling with ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Gas log fireplace; Ceiling fan(s)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $120k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($254/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (10.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $108k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#309 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Buchanan County Public School District (rural): math 52% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #76 of 131 in VA (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Riverview Elementary/Middle (math 49% / reading 60%, grade C, #650 of 1,108 statewide, top 62%, 750 students, 88% FRL); Grundy High (math 77% / reading 72%, grade B+, #107 of 319 statewide, top 37%, 355 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 62% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Buchanan County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $107,655 (10.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.90% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.50%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.76%
• DSCR: 1.03
• GRM: 9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.46×
• Total profit: $-18,080
• Equity at exit: $17,892

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.59×
• Total profit: $-13,940
• Equity at exit: $10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State Virginia: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 24614

• Home prices YoY: -3.0%
• Active inventory: 27
• Price-to-rent: 9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,077 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$629
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
• Insurance: −$50
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$226
• Net cashflow: $21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050

Max offer price $120,000

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $30,000
• Closing costs: $3,600
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $120,000 Active 49 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $120,000 Active 48 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $120,000 Active 47 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $120,000 Active 46 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $120,000 Active 45 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $120,000 Active 44 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $120,000 Active 43 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $120,000 Active 40 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $120,000 Active 39 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 38 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 32 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 31 DOM
16. 2026-04-30
    listed $135,000 Active 637-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,919
• − Mortgage interest: −$6,722
• − Property taxes: −$1,800
• − Insurance: −$600
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,033
• − Management: −$1,033
• − Depreciation: −$3,491
• Taxable loss: −$1,761
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$423
• After-tax cash flow: $677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Buchanan County Public School District
• NCES district ID: 5100510
• Math proficiency: 52% ▼ -27.00%
• Reading proficiency: 65% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $29,669
• Composite: 47.84/100
• National rank: #2221
• State rank: #76 of 131 in VA

Livability — Grundy

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #309
• US rank: #11111

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 6,992

Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 20,160 people
• By 2030: 18,734 · -7.1%
• By 2040: 16,071 · -20.3%
• By 2050: 13,815 · -31.5%
• By 2075: 10,376 · -48.5%
• By 2100: 8,432 · -58.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (97%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 97% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+70.6) · D 14.5% · R 85.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -65.1pp toward R · 2008: -5.5pp · 2024: -70.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+70.6 2020: R+67.6 2016: R+60.4 2012: R+34.7 2008: R+5.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -3.05%
• Current HPI: 97.3351
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.40%
• F500 in state: 50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	4	$236B
▸Technology / Defense	3	$32B
▸Financial Services	2	$176B
▸Utilities	2	$27B
▸Insurance	2	$25B
▸Technology	2	$15B

Price history

-11.1% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-29 Price Changed $120,000 SWVAR
• 2026-04-30 Listed $135,000 SWVAR

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $212 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.