74 N First Ave · Clarion, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This affordable 3-bedroom home is located close to downtown and the school. Nice features include the newer roof and newer windows and a brand new hot water tank. MOTIVATED SELLER. Don't overlook this one!
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Built 1933
- Listed 15 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: C2; Lot size approximately 0.358 acres
- Financial info: Annual tax amount noted
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service; Cable available
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half story
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Foundation details: see remarks; Built (year not provided)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Metal roof; No additional structures
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; No central air
- Interior features: Refrigerator included; Laminate flooring; No fireplace; Walk-out basement access; Total of 6 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $482 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#322 in PA, #2,856 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Clarion Area SD (town): math 40% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #261 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 25 units permitted in Clarion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clarion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $35k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.37%
- DSCR
- 2.84
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $454,464
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144 Liberty St & 149 Madison Rd | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+5%) | 19mo | $475,000 | $432 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $23,724
- Equity at exit
- $8,626
- IRR
- 44.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.38×
- Total profit
- $61,197
- Equity at exit
- $6,380
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16214
- Home prices YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,046 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $482
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 650 Merle Rd Clarion, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $850 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 115 S 6th Ave Apt D Clarion, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,245 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 214-char remark
-
2026-06-04$49,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,555
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,004
- − Management
- −$1,004
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $5,301
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,272
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home has potential but requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and value. The kitchen and bathroom need updates, and the exterior could benefit from some landscaping and repairs.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Outdated and in need of replacement
- Moderate Bathroom cabinets — Outdated and in need of replacement
- Minor Siding — Small section appears damaged
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers
- Resale New bathroom cabinets — Modernizing the bathroom will attract more buyers
- Both Landscaping — Improving curb appeal will attract more buyers and renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Outdated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathroom cabinets · Outdated and in need of replacement | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Siding · Small section appears damaged | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers ↑
- Resale New bathroom cabinets — Modernizing the bathroom will attract more buyers ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improving curb appeal will attract more buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarion Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206060
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,136
- Composite
- 39.21/100
- National rank
- #4017
- State rank
- #261 of 539 in PA
Livability — Clarion
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #322
- US rank
- #2856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clarion, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,655
Population outlook (Clarion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,796 people
- By 2030
- 36,830 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 34,113 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 31,092 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 24,200 · -36.0%
- By 2100
- 18,737 · -50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clarion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.1) · D 23.1% · R 76.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.7pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -53.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.1 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+47.4 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.47%
- Current HPI
- 141.3266
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+42.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $49,900 AVBREALTORS
- 2020-07-31 Sold (MLS) $35,000 AVBREALTORS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…