214 Kinne St #101 · East Syracuse, NY 13057

$141,040

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 820 sqft · Condo · 22 Days on market

Built 1953 $318/mo HOA · 20% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +10.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.0/10.0
• Livability +4.5/5.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• DSCR +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Own Your Future in East Syracuse - Affordable Condos Own Your Future! Discover a new path to homeownership at St. Matthew's Condominiums, where it was designed so that no household will spend more than 30% of their income on total housing costs - including mortgage, interest, HOA fees, and taxes. Located across from East Syracuse Elementary School, this beautifully reimagined historic building, newly reconstructed in 2025, offers a rare opportunity to own a brand-new, energy-efficient home in a vibrant, walkable neighborhood. This 1-bedroom condominium features modern finishes such as Energy Star appliances, quartz countertops, contemporary cabinetry, and efficient ductless mini-split heat

Key facts

• Modern finishes
• On-site playground
• $318 HOA

Tags

• ENERGY EFFICIENT HOME
• SHARED COMMUNITY AMENITIES
• ON-SITE PLAYGROUND
• LANDSCAPED OUTDOOR SPACE
• MODERN FINISHES
• ENERGY STAR APPLIANCES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $141k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-784/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (6.7% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $141k).
• Recommended offer: $132k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in NY, #81 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+.
• East Syracuse Minoa Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #379 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $975 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($139k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $131,588 (6.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.10% ✓
• Cap rate: 5.74%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.98%
• DSCR: 0.91
• GRM: 7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -19.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.32×
• Total profit: $-26,796
• Equity at exit: $21,030

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.30×
• Total profit: $-27,801
• Equity at exit: $12,195

Cash invested: $39,491 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13057

• Home prices YoY: -11.1%
• Active inventory: 58
• Price-to-rent: 7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,554 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$740
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$176 /mo · $2,116/yr
• Insurance: −$59
• HOA: −$318
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$326
• Net cashflow: $-65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,636

Max offer price $131,588

Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $35,260
• Closing costs: $4,231
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $318 · $3,816/yr
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 2 events

1. 2025-12-09
   status Pending
2. 2025-11-15
   listed $141,040 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $18,644
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,900
• − Property taxes: −$2,116
• − Insurance: −$705
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,491
• − Management: −$1,491
• − HOA: −$3,816
• − Depreciation: −$4,103
• Taxable loss: −$2,980
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$715
• After-tax cash flow: $-69/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: East Syracuse Minoa Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3609990
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▲ 9.00%
• Median HH income: $55,801
• Composite: 42.9/100
• National rank: #3122
• State rank: #379 of 590 in NY

Livability — East Syracuse

• Score: 90/100
• State rank: #4
• US rank: #81

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: East Syracuse, NY
• County: Onondaga County · 247,257 people
• City population: 14,253
• Metro: Syracuse, NY
• Population (ZIP): 14,253
• Household income: $80,900
• Rent vs Own: 24.0% rent · 76.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 250.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 467,894 people
• By 2030: 463,381 · -1.0%
• By 2040: 447,697 · -4.3%
• By 2050: 426,399 · -8.9%
• By 2075: 373,661 · -20.1%
• By 2100: 307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% American 3%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

• 2024 margin: D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -39.50%
• Current HPI: 316.8595
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Syracuse, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2025-12-09 Pending — CNYIS
• 2025-11-15 Listed $141,040 CNYIS