CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
8203 Lullwater Dr Duplex
D Composite 41.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.8/30.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$450,000

8203 Lullwater Dr · Dallas, TX 75218
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,096 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1968 0.26 ac lot $215/sqft · 28% above area Est $554k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic investment property! Almost 4000 sf duplex in Lake Highlands. This property has been well-maintained 1 unit @1432 sf is 2/2 2/an open kit to the family rm. Mstr has sep bath w/ huge WIC. Nice cov. patio w/ sm back yard. Larger unit @2422sf is a 3/3 w/ 2 fam. rms. Mstr & upstairs bdrm have

Key facts

  • Spacious layouts
  • Full duplex
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

FULL DUPLEXMINUTES FROM WHITE ROCK LAKESPACIOUS LAYOUTSNEARBY PARKS AND TRAILSNEAR NORTHPARK CENTERNEAR THE SHOPS AT PARK LANE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two buildings with a total of 2 units
  • Financial info: Property listed as residential income with duplex sub-type; Gross annual income: 66,660; Gross annual expenses: 15,833; Insurance expense: 2,747; Net operating income: 48,080; Capitalization rate: 10.68%
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage facing rear (2 covered spaces, 2 total spaces)
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Curbs; Concrete
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income); One story
  • Construction: Built in 1968; Brick and siding construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Front covered porch; Gutters; Wood fencing; Few trees; Interior lot; Landscaped

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric cooling; Space heater
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High-speed internet available; Skylights

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/2ba + 1×3bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-368 ($-4k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-184/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $385k (14.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $356k (21.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $356k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Victor H Hexter El (math 45% / reading 58%, grade C-, #808 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 441 students, 51% FRL); Robert T Hill Middle (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,279 of 1,662 statewide, top 78%, 803 students, 87% FRL); Bryan Adams H S Leadership Academy (math 41% / reading 41%, grade F, #774 of 1,632 statewide, top 49%, 2,271 students, 89% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $355,600 (21.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.31%
Cash-on-cash
-3.50%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$554,483
List price
$450,000
Delta
-18.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.6%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-106,660
Equity at exit
$67,096
10-year hold
IRR
-35.9%
Equity multiple
-0.29×
Total profit
$-162,915
Equity at exit
$38,908

Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75218

Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
21.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,556 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,360
Tax from tax record
$630 /mo · $7,554/yr
Insurance
$188
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$747
Net cashflow
$-368

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,021
Max offer price $385,059
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-113 -5% $-240 +0% $-368 +5% $-495 +10% $-622
Rent -10% $-649 -5% $-508 +0% $-368 +5% $-227 +10% $-87
Rate -1.0pp $-141 -0.5pp $-253 base $-368 +0.5pp $-484 +1.0pp $-603

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 2 $1,711
1× unit 3 1 $1,845
Total (2 units) $3,556

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,500
Closing costs
$13,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10765 E NW Hwy Dallas, TX 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1250 $1,485 $1.19 4d 2 0.37mi
8834 Liptonshire Dr Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 1674 $3,900 $2.33 26d 1 0.64mi
8717 Hackney Ln Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1402 $2,800 $2.00 21d 1 0.78mi
11125 Cactus Ln Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 1833 $2,900 $1.58 0d 1 0.90mi
11125 Cactus Ln Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 1833 $2,900 $1.58 1d 1 0.90mi
10505 Swallow Ln Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 2258 $3,200 $1.42 9d 1 0.94mi
9210 Larchwood Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1598 $3,000 $1.88 19d 1 0.95mi
8945 Flicker Ln Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1513 $2,245 $1.48 9d 1 1.06mi
8945 Flicker Ln Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1513 $2,245 $1.48 5d 1 1.06mi
10626 Longmeadow Dr Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1754 $3,300 $1.88 6d 1 1.08mi
10903 Lake Gardens Dr Dallas, TX 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 46d 1 1.15mi
11517 Fernald Ave Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1426 $2,080 $1.46 8d 1 1.20mi
11517 Fernald Ave Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1426 $2,146 $1.50 9d 1 1.20mi
11352 Quail Run St Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1673 $1,800 $1.08 26d 1 1.20mi
11350 Quail Run St Unit 11352QR Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1673 $1,800 $1.08 26d 1 1.20mi
11348 McCree Rd Dallas, TX 3.0 2.5 1834 $2,500 $1.36 46d 1 1.23mi
10715 Garland Rd Dallas, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1049 $3,300 $3.14 1d 200 1.24mi
11317 McCree Rd Dallas, TX 4.0 2.0 1910 $2,274 $1.19 9d 1 1.24mi
11015 Wallbrook Dr Dallas, TX 3.0 2.0 1856 $2,200 $1.19 46d 1 1.25mi
939 N Buckner Blvd Dallas, TX 4.0 2.5 2650 $12,500 $4.72 0d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    listed $450,000 Active 1323-char remark
  2. 2004-08-05
    soldstatus
  3. 2004-07-30
    soldstatus 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    Fantastic investment property! Almost 4000 sf duplex in Lake Highlands. This property has been well-maintained 1 unit @1432 sf is 2/2 2/an open kit to the family rm. Mstr has sep bath w/ huge WIC. Nice cov. patio w/ sm back yard. Larger unit @2422sf is a 3/3 w/ 2 fam. rms. Mstr & upstairs bdrm have

  4. 2004-06-29
    historical 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    Fantastic investment property! Almost 4000 sf duplex in Lake Highlands. This property has been well-maintained 1 unit @1432 sf is 2/2 2/an open kit to the family rm. Mstr has sep bath w/ huge WIC. Nice cov. patio w/ sm back yard. Larger unit @2422sf is a 3/3 w/ 2 fam. rms. Mstr & upstairs bdrm have

  5. 2004-06-28
    listed $269,000 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    Fantastic investment property! Almost 4000 sf duplex in Lake Highlands. This property has been well-maintained 1 unit @1432 sf is 2/2 2/an open kit to the family rm. Mstr has sep bath w/ huge WIC. Nice cov. patio w/ sm back yard. Larger unit @2422sf is a 3/3 w/ 2 fam. rms. Mstr & upstairs bdrm have

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,554 · $630/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,235 · $686/mo
Expected delta
+$681/yr (+$57/mo · 9.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,672
− Mortgage interest
−$25,207
− Property taxes
−$7,554
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,414
− Management
−$3,414
− Depreciation
−$13,091
Taxable loss
−$12,258
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,942
After-tax cash flow
$-1,470/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dallas ISD
NCES district ID
4816230
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$42,881
Composite
28.41/100
National rank
#6763
State rank
#559 of 826 in TX

Livability — Dallas

Score
81/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#1380

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dallas, TX
County
Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
City population
1,168,437
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
22,544
Household income
$107,366
Rent vs Own
35.7% rent · 64.3% own
Severe rent burden
943.0

Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,979,839 people
By 2030
3,191,823 · +7.1%
By 2040
3,619,611 · +21.5%
By 2050
4,026,915 · +35.1%
By 2075
4,957,073 · +66.4%
By 2100
5,508,725 · +84.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 12% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 22%

Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -578.40%
Current HPI
325.633
Rent YoY
▼ -0.20%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2026-05-19 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $450,000 NTREIS
  • 2004-08-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2004-07-30 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2004-06-29 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2004-06-28 Listed $269,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,554 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…