294 Russell Rowe Rd · Fairview Crossroads, SC
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
House on a large 1.87 Acre lot with a shed and carport. New well pump. Electric ready for service but not turned on. Would make a great first house or rental Disclaimer: All offers must be cash or private loansCMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings.
Key facts
- Shed
- New well pump
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single-family property
- Construction: Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Chain link fencing; Dirt road access; Approximately 1.87 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level; Second bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Electric heating
- Interior features: Formal living room on the main level; Covered front porch; Shed on the property
- Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer located on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $661 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $101k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Pelion Elementary (math 21% / reading 24%, grade F, #472 of 597 statewide, top 79%, 611 students, 100% FRL); Pelion High (math 14% / reading 77%, grade D-, #164 of 196 statewide, top 84%, 727 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 30% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lexington 01 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.62%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $104,735
- Equity at exit
- $103,601
- IRR
- 37.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.55×
- Total profit
- $275,394
- Equity at exit
- $223,420
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29070
- Home prices YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,842 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $661
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $740 | -5% $700 | +0% $661 | +5% $621 | +10% $581 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $515 | -5% $588 | +0% $661 | +5% $733 | +10% $806 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $719 | -0.5pp $690 | base $661 | +0.5pp $631 | +1.0pp $600 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 1 events
-
2025-12-03$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,107
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,725
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,769
- − Management
- −$1,769
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $6,482
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,556
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,372/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lexington 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502700
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,298
- Composite
- 41.75/100
- National rank
- #3399
- State rank
- #11 of 80 in SC
Livability — Fairview Crossroads
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,528
Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 322,999 people
- By 2030
- 342,356 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 377,715 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 406,984 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 465,447 · +44.1%
- By 2100
- 485,674 · +50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lexington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.72%
- Current HPI
- 439.77
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-12-03 Listed $115,000 Consolidated MLS
Property tax history
-28.9%/yrLatest (2024): $9 · -47.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…