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1908 North Ave
C- Composite 50.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$187,500

1908 North Ave · Port Norris, NJ 08349
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,584 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1920 6,996 sqft lot $118/sqft · 9% below area Est $205k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1908 North Ave – a beautifully renovated home designed for modern living! This stunning residence has been completely updated with brand-new finishes throughout, including gorgeous new flooring, a stylish kitchen with contemporary upgrades, and elegantly remodeled bathrooms. There is also a new septic. Every detail has been thoughtfully designed to create a space that feels fresh, inviting, and move-in ready. Don’t miss your chance to make this exceptional home your own—schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Renovated home
  • New septic
  • New flooring

Tags

RENOVATED HOMENEW FLOORINGSTYLISH KITCHENREMODELED BATHROOMSNEW SEPTIC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $188k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (5.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#508 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Commercial Township School District (rural): math 5% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #449 of 472 in NJ (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $611 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-685 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $188k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,250 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.84%
Cash-on-cash
1.95%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$205,311
List price
$187,500
Delta
-8.68%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6817 Brown St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,584 (0%) 1mo $60,000 $38 86
6704 Chestnut St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,618 (+2%) 6mo $51,000 $32 72
1679 Main St 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,571 (-1%) 5mo $50,000 $32 70
2533 High St 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,686 (+6%) 2mo $261,000 $155 66
2406 Market St 0.42mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,544 (-2%) 8mo $135,000 $87 64
6824 Brown St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,688 (+7%) 17mo $275,000 $163 61
6610 Brown St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,524 (-4%) 14mo $302,000 $198 56
2310 Bacon St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,508 (-5%) 13mo $276,000 $183 54
2400 Maurice St 0.22mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,736 (+10%) 9mo $338,000 $195 53
2409 Market St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,464 (-8%) 13mo $245,000 $167 52
2311 Church St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-8%) 5mo $290,000 $199 51
6311 Brown St 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,736 (+10%) 11mo $147,500 $85 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-3,203
Equity at exit
$51,044
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$25,428
Equity at exit
$58,707

Cash invested: $52,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08349

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,779 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$983
Tax from tax record
$259 /mo · $3,103/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$85

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,671
Max offer price $187,500
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $191 -5% $138 +0% $85 +5% $32 +10% $-21
Rent -10% $-55 -5% $15 +0% $85 +5% $156 +10% $226
Rate -1.0pp $180 -0.5pp $133 base $85 +0.5pp $37 +1.0pp $-13

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,875
Closing costs
$5,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $187,500 Pending 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $187,500 Active 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $187,500 Active 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-14
    days on market $187,500 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $187,500 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $187,500 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $187,500 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $187,500 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $187,500 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $187,500 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $187,500 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $187,500 Active 45 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $187,500 Active 44 DOM
  14. 2026-05-04
    price $190,000 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Welcome to 1908 North Ave – a beautifully renovated home designed for modern living! This stunning residence has been completely updated with brand-new finishes throughout, including gorgeous new flooring, a stylish kitchen with contemporary upgrades, and elegantly remodeled bathrooms. There is also a new septic. Every detail has been thoughtfully designed to create a space that feels fresh, inviting, and move-in ready. Don’t miss your chance to make this exceptional home your own—schedule a showing today!

  15. 2026-04-16
    listed $200,000 Active 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Welcome to 1908 North Ave – a beautifully renovated home designed for modern living! This stunning residence has been completely updated with brand-new finishes throughout, including gorgeous new flooring, a stylish kitchen with contemporary upgrades, and elegantly remodeled bathrooms. There is also a new septic. Every detail has been thoughtfully designed to create a space that feels fresh, inviting, and move-in ready. Don’t miss your chance to make this exceptional home your own—schedule a showing today!

  16. 2025-12-17
    status Pending
  17. 2025-12-17
    historical
  18. 2025-12-11
    historical $1,825
  19. 2025-12-04
    price $1,825
  20. 2025-10-30
    status Active
  21. 2025-10-22
    price $1,900
  22. 2025-09-24
    historical Active Under Contract
  23. 2025-09-19
    listed $2,000
  24. 2025-07-29
    status Active
  25. 2025-07-03
    status Pending
  26. 2025-06-18
    price $199,000
  27. 2025-04-23
    price $205,000
  28. 2025-04-03
    price $214,000
  29. 2025-03-26
    price $219,999
  30. 2025-03-10
    listed $229,999 Active
  31. 2024-12-20
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed
  32. 2024-11-27
    status Pending
  33. 2024-11-20
    listed $69,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,103 · $259/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,886 · $324/mo
Expected delta
+$783/yr (+$65/mo · 25.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 57% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,347
− Mortgage interest
−$10,503
− Property taxes
−$3,103
− Insurance
−$938
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,708
− Management
−$1,708
− Depreciation
−$5,455
Taxable loss
−$2,067
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$496
After-tax cash flow
$1,520/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Commercial Township School District
NCES district ID
3403480
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$45,143
Composite
14.86/100
National rank
#9378
State rank
#449 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Port Norris

Score
58/100
State rank
#508
US rank
#21543

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment F Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Norris, NJ
City population
2,400
Population (ZIP)
2,400

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
152,743 people
By 2030
150,373 · -1.6%
By 2040
146,881 · -3.8%
By 2050
142,653 · -6.6%
By 2075
129,468 · -15.2%
By 2100
107,456 · -29.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 11% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.37%
Current HPI
177.1561
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+171.8% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-17 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-11 Rental Removed $1,825 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $1,825 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-10-30 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-10-22 Price Changed $1,900 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-09-24 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-19 Listed for Rent $2,000 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-07-29 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-03 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-18 Price Changed $199,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-23 Price Changed $205,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-03 Price Changed $214,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-26 Price Changed $219,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-03-10 Listed $229,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-20 Sold (MLS) $70,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-27 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-20 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,103 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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