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5093 Bayside Dr
D Composite 43.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

5093 Bayside Dr · Riverside, OH 45431
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,025 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1956 10,019 sqft lot $156/sqft · 8% below area Est $174k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this very will maintained house in Riverside, features 3 bedrooms 1 bathroom, great living room, dining room, kitchen, covered patio, large fenced back yard and car port. House is tenant occupied. great starter home or addition to your portfolio. Call for details and to schedule visit

Key facts

  • Extra storage
  • Move-in-ready
  • Oversized lot

Tags

OVERSIZED LOTFENCED-IN BACKYARDCONVENIENT CARPORTEXTRA STORAGEMOVE-IN-READYLOCAL SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Home design: Single-story home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Residential lot approximately 0.23 acres (60 x 150)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Main-level bedroom approximately 12 x 12; Main-level bedroom approximately 10 x 12; Main-level bedroom approximately 10 x 9
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level utility room approximately 7 x 3

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-373/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (3.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (13.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.9% in Riverside — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#775 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities D.
  • Mad River Local (suburban): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #531 of 656 in OH (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Stebbins High School (math 9% / reading 56%, grade F, #604 of 781 statewide, top 77%, 1,091 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $90k; list at $160k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $138,962 (13.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.83%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,579
List price
$159,900
Delta
-7.88%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5342 Barrett Dr 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,066 (+4%) 1mo $65,000 $61 81
2400 Longview Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,025 (0%) 1mo $125,000 $122 79
283 Spinning Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,032 (+1%) 5mo $200,000 $194 74
221 Duffy Ct 0.30mi 3/2.0 988 (-4%) 4mo $220,000 $223 73
456 Twinning Dr 0.56mi 3/1.0 988 (-4%) 0mo $203,000 $205 68
4941 Bayside Dr 0.24mi 3/1.5 1,148 (+12%) 1mo $100,000 $87 66
750 Harlan Pl 0.58mi 3/1.0 972 (-5%) 1mo $203,000 $209 64
180 Lynnhaven Dr 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,155 (+13%) 3mo $205,000 $177 61
2230 Hazelton Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 925 (-10%) 1mo $175,000 $189 61
795 Spring Garden Pl 0.64mi 3/1.0 972 (-5%) 1mo $180,000 $185 60
5303 Underwood Rd 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,125 (+10%) 2mo $175,000 $156 50
757 Spinning Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,102 (+8%) 0mo $140,200 $127 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-23,847
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-1.7%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-5,748
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45431

Home prices YoY
-35.0%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,390 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,685/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$-31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,429
Max offer price $154,404
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $59 -5% $14 +0% $-31 +5% $-76 +10% $-122
Rent -10% $-141 -5% $-86 +0% $-31 +5% $24 +10% $79
Rate -1.0pp $49 -0.5pp $10 base $-31 +0.5pp $-73 +1.0pp $-115

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4924 Bayside Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,545 $1.25 45d 1 0.27mi
531 S Hayden Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,325 $1.10 13d 1 0.64mi
4644 Burkhardt Ave Dayton, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,095 $1.51 4d 9 0.90mi
1770 Suman Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 904 $1,145 $1.27 45d 1 1.05mi
1762 Suman Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 804 $1,150 $1.43 23d 1 1.06mi
4403 Burkhardt Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 4d 1 1.07mi
515 Mertland Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 876 $950 $1.08 25d 1 1.11mi
517 Mertland Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 876 $875 $1.00 16d 1 1.11mi
1704 Huffman Ave Unit 1706 Huffman Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 896 $900 $1.00 5d 1 1.11mi
1029 Blakley Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 947 $1,300 $1.37 4d 1 1.17mi
1671 Gummer Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 704 $1,100 $1.56 4d 1 1.17mi
1620 Gummer Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 875 $950 $1.09 5d 1 1.25mi
1143 Blakley Dr Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 947 $1,195 $1.26 16d 1 1.26mi
334 Blackwood Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 25d 1 1.27mi
334 Blackwood Ave Unit 3 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 5d 1 1.27mi
4013 E 3rd St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.5 1144 $1,095 $0.96 16d 1 1.27mi
5713 Mayville Dr Dayton, OH 4.0 2.0 1046 $2,000 $1.91 20d 1 1.28mi
211 N Cherrywood Ave Unit 2 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $795 $0.84 5d 1 1.30mi
144 N Quentin Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1038 $1,600 $1.54 45d 1 1.32mi
3817 E 5th St Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 1178 $1,295 $1.10 4d 1 1.33mi
1501 Rausch Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 865 $800 $0.92 25d 1 1.42mi
1517 Rausch Ave Apt 4 Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 4d 1 1.44mi
1517 Rausch Ave Dayton, OH 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 45d 1 1.44mi
3719 E 3rd St Unit 3717 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,100 $1.01 4d 1 1.44mi
3707 E 3rd St Unit 3705 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1410 $1,045 $0.74 25d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $159,900 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $159,900 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $174,900 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $174,900 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 32 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,900 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $174,900 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $174,900 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $174,900 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    listed $174,900 Active 595-char remark
  17. 2021-03-09
    soldstatus $90,000
  18. 2021-02-18
    soldstatus $90,000 Closed 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    Welcome to this very will maintained house in Riverside, features 3 bedrooms 1 bathroom, great living room, dining room, kitchen, covered patio, large fenced back yard and car port. House is tenant occupied. great starter home or addition to your portfolio. Call for details and to schedule visit

  19. 2021-02-18
    soldstatus $90,000 Sold 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    Welcome to this very will maintained house in Riverside, features 3 bedrooms 1 bathroom, great living room, dining room, kitchen, covered patio, large fenced back yard and car port. House is tenant occupied. great starter home or addition to your portfolio. Call for details and to schedule visit

  20. 2021-02-09
    status Pending 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    Welcome to this very will maintained house in Riverside, features 3 bedrooms 1 bathroom, great living room, dining room, kitchen, covered patio, large fenced back yard and car port. House is tenant occupied. great starter home or addition to your portfolio. Call for details and to schedule visit

  21. 2021-01-25
    listed $115,000 Active 296-char remark
    Show marketing remark (296 chars)

    Welcome to this very will maintained house in Riverside, features 3 bedrooms 1 bathroom, great living room, dining room, kitchen, covered patio, large fenced back yard and car port. House is tenant occupied. great starter home or addition to your portfolio. Call for details and to schedule visit

  22. 2016-11-30
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Welcome to Riverside and Eastview Development. This value priced 3 bedroom 1 bath vinyl ranch awaits its new owner. The kitchen and dining room are adjacent each other and the living room offers a wood burning fireplace with glass doors. There are 5 paddle fans. Mad River Local School District. Home has a nice size fenced rear lot, storage shed and carport. There is 1025 SF/PRC. Lot size is 10,019 SF/PRC. Settle Estate - Don't miss this one.

  23. 2016-11-30
    soldstatus $35,000 Sold
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Welcome to Riverside and Eastview Development. This value priced 3 bedroom 1 bath vinyl ranch awaits its new owner. The kitchen and dining room are adjacent each other and the living room offers a wood burning fireplace with glass doors. There are 5 paddle fans. Mad River Local School District. Home has a nice size fenced rear lot, storage shed and carport. There is 1025 SF/PRC. Lot size is 10,019 SF/PRC. Settle Estate - Don't miss this one.

  24. 2016-11-03
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Welcome to Riverside and Eastview Development. This value priced 3 bedroom 1 bath vinyl ranch awaits its new owner. The kitchen and dining room are adjacent each other and the living room offers a wood burning fireplace with glass doors. There are 5 paddle fans. Mad River Local School District. Home has a nice size fenced rear lot, storage shed and carport. There is 1025 SF/PRC. Lot size is 10,019 SF/PRC. Settle Estate - Don't miss this one.

  25. 2016-10-24
    listed $39,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Welcome to Riverside and Eastview Development. This value priced 3 bedroom 1 bath vinyl ranch awaits its new owner. The kitchen and dining room are adjacent each other and the living room offers a wood burning fireplace with glass doors. There are 5 paddle fans. Mad River Local School District. Home has a nice size fenced rear lot, storage shed and carport. There is 1025 SF/PRC. Lot size is 10,019 SF/PRC. Settle Estate - Don't miss this one.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,685 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,685 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,675
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,685
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,334
− Management
−$1,334
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$3,086
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$741
After-tax cash flow
$367/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mad River Local
NCES district ID
3904870
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$41,560
Composite
35.28/100
National rank
#4972
State rank
#531 of 656 in OH

Livability — Riverside

Score
64/100
State rank
#775
US rank
#14045

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Riverside, OH
County
Greene County · 132,120 people
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
27,951
Household income
$83,175
Rent vs Own
49.6% rent · 50.4% own
Severe rent burden
622.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 5% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · South Korea, Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.58%
Current HPI
276.444
Rent YoY
▲ 5.79%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+338.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $174,900 Dayton MLS
  • 2021-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2021-02-18 Sold (MLS) $90,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2021-02-18 Sold (MLS) $90,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2021-02-09 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2021-01-25 Listed $115,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-11-30 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-11-30 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Dayton MLS
  • 2016-11-03 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2016-10-24 Listed $39,900 Dayton MLS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,685 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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