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3305 Nelson St
D Composite 42.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

3305 Nelson St · Portsmouth, VA 23707
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1941 $204/sqft · 11% below area Est $248k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Don't miss this charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home located in the heart of Portsmouth. Boasting wood floors throughout, this home offers both character and comfort. Ideally situated near shopping, restaurants, and major highways for easy commuting. Perfect for first-time buyers or investors!

Key facts

  • Built 1941
  • Listed 52 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA fees listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Street parking
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Detached property; Bungalow / Cape Cod style; 2 stories; Two living levels; Entry level includes a bedroom with full bath
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Partial chain link fence; Has fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom with an ensuite; Bedroom and full bathroom on first floor
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Ceramic flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Dual-entry bathroom (bath shared between bedrooms); Attic; Porch
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-67 ($-803/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $208k (5.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (21.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Westhaven Elementary (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #933 of 1,108 statewide, top 86%, 442 students, 100% FRL); William E. Waters Middle (math 47% / reading 72%, grade B, #160 of 342 statewide, top 48%, 534 students, 99% FRL); Churchland High (math 48% / reading 80%, grade B-, #220 of 319 statewide, top 70%, 1,435 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 60% district-wide (40 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $220k implies a 254% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,426 (21.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.30%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$247,595
List price
$220,000
Delta
-11.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3306 Brighton St 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,080 (0%) 1mo $238,000 $220 87
3210 Brighton St 0.19mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,005 (-7%) 1mo $211,000 $210 74
3505 Brighton St 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,190 (+10%) 4mo $244,750 $206 65
312 Killian Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 992 (-8%) 2mo $255,000 $257 65
9 Shelby St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,028 (-5%) 2mo $239,000 $232 64
3521 County St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,020 (-6%) 2mo $227,000 $223 59
505 Howard St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,003 (-7%) 2mo $254,000 $253 56
3813 Race St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,165 (+8%) 3mo $289,500 $248 56
109 Woodstock St 0.60mi 3/1.0 960 (-11%) 3mo $220,000 $229 51
2819 Chancellor St 0.74mi 3/1.5 999 (-8%) 1mo $170,000 $170 50
4103 Scott St 0.68mi 3/1.0 960 (-11%) 5mo $240,000 $250 46
266 Hansen Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,240 (+15%) 0mo $293,000 $236 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.5%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-39,943
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-10.9%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-40,394
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23707

Home prices YoY
-23.7%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,724 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,205/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$-67

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,809
Max offer price $208,174
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $58 -5% $-5 +0% $-67 +5% $-129 +10% $-191
Rent -10% $-203 -5% $-135 +0% $-67 +5% $1 +10% $69
Rate -1.0pp $44 -0.5pp $-11 base $-67 +0.5pp $-124 +1.0pp $-182

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 35 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3401 Brighton St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1439 $2,195 $1.53 5d 1 0.15mi
3717 Scott St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1157 $1,400 $1.21 25d 1 0.42mi
3607 Bart St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,850 $1.40 12d 1 0.50mi
1 Shelby St Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 25d 1 0.51mi
3626 Bart St Unit BAR3626-DF Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 9d 1 0.53mi
49 Carver Cir Portsmouth, VA 2.0 2.0 800 $1,450 $1.81 25d 1 0.55mi
3304 Killian Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 800 $2,000 $2.50 25d 1 0.57mi
3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,995 $1.74 5d 1 0.65mi
3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,995 $1.74 12d 1 0.65mi
2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 1428 $1,425 $1.00 19d 1 0.74mi
2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 1428 $1,425 $1.00 16d 1 0.74mi
70 Manly St Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 45d 1 0.80mi
3310 Glasgow St Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 5d 1 0.84mi
213 Beacon Rd Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1280 $2,300 $1.80 25d 1 0.94mi
2304 Nashville Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.5 1226 $1,395 $1.14 45d 1 1.01mi
251 Independence St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1294 $2,550 $1.97 25d 1 1.14mi
821 Mt Vernon Ave Unit A Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 5d 1 1.18mi
2810 Roanoke Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,100 $1.91 45d 1 1.19mi
3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3754 Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 14d 1 1.22mi
3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3728 Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $995 $1.11 25d 1 1.22mi
21 DeKalb Ave Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 984 $1,550 $1.58 45d 1 1.22mi
1914 King St Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1332 $2,200 $1.65 46d 1 1.25mi
13 Hedge Ln Unit I Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.5 816 $1,275 $1.56 9d 1 1.25mi
231 Edison Ave Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,275 $1.16 21d 1 1.27mi
231 Edison Ave Unit 231 Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,275 $1.21 12d 1 1.27mi
2750 Greenwood Dr Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 25d 1 1.27mi
2211 North St Portsmouth, VA 4.0 1.5 1500 $2,100 $1.40 18d 1 1.29mi
1915 Des Moines Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,700 $1.59 18d 1 1.30mi
1915 Des Moines Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,700 $1.59 25d 1 1.30mi
1915 Lansing Ave Portsmouth, VA 3.0 1.0 1085 $1,675 $1.54 5d 1 1.35mi
124 Tyler Cres E Unit B Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,195 $1.20 25d 1 1.37mi
647 Mount Vernon Ave Unit B Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,650 $1.83 9d 1 1.38mi
1416 Richmond Ave Portsmouth, VA 2.0 1.0 1024 $1,150 $1.12 45d 1 1.44mi
35 Fairview Cir S Portsmouth, VA 4.0 1.5 1462 $2,100 $1.44 14d 1 1.46mi
1447 Talley Cir Portsmouth, VA 3.0 2.5 1440 $2,000 $1.39 25d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $220,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-04-30
    listed $220,000 Active 292-char remark
  15. 2001-05-18
    soldstatus $62,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,205 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,205 · $184/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,691
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$2,205
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,655
− Management
−$1,655
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$4,648
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,115
After-tax cash flow
$312/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Portsmouth City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103000
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -40.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,152
Composite
39.01/100
National rank
#4071
State rank
#107 of 131 in VA

Livability — Portsmouth

Score
73/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#5381

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Portsmouth, VA
County
Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
City population
96,366
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
14,766
Household income
$48,926
Rent vs Own
44.0% rent · 56.0% own
Severe rent burden
963.0

Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,730 people
By 2030
96,760 · +0.0%
By 2040
96,573 · -0.2%
By 2050
95,606 · -1.2%
By 2075
93,579 · -3.3%
By 2100
83,756 · -13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 41% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth

2024 margin
Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -93.03%
Current HPI
299.832
Rent YoY
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+254.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $220,000 REINMLS
  • 2001-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $62,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,205 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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