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7186 Kittredge Cv
D Composite 40.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,900

7186 Kittredge Cv · Otsego, MN 55301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,029 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 2020 3,920 sqft lot $197/sqft · 6% below area Est $427k · 6% under $30/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

*Buyer financing fell through, back on the market! Absolutely like new single-family home in coveted Otsego. Chef‘s kitchen with stainless appliances (gas stove), tiled backsplash, large center island, and pantry. Beautiful electric fireplace with built-ins. Rare sun porch!! Owners suite with walk-in closet, double vanity, and separate soaking tub and shower. Lovely walk out family room with third bedroom downstairs and three-quarter bath. Wrought iron staircase and plenty of ceiling fans. Yard backs up to private wetlands. Home is on a private cul-de-sac. Morning Sun Homes (builder now retired) built 18 single-family homes here. Top-notch! Home includes: EV charger, workbench and storage unit currently in garage plus sprinkler system and shed. Neighborhood boasts walking path, beautiful park with playground, tennis and basketball courts, plus picnic area! Small association fee covers snow removal on private street, plants/flowers in the cul-de-sac island, and street sweeping. This is a must see, won’t last.

Key facts

  • Sun porch
  • Walk-in closet
  • Electric fireplace

Tags

CHEF'S KITCHENELECTRIC FIREPLACESUN PORCHWALK-IN CLOSETPRIVATE WETLANDSPRIVATE CUL-DE-SAC

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-194 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $366k (8.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $307k (23.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $307k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Otsego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#367 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Independent School District 728 (suburban): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #37 of 301 in MN (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Otsego Elementary (math 64% / reading 64%, grade B, #157 of 857 statewide, top 19%, 563 students, 21% FRL); Rogers Middle School (math 61% / reading 63%, grade B+, #19 of 258 statewide, top 8%, 979 students, 16% FRL); Rogers Senior High (math 66% / reading 64%, grade B, #28 of 471 statewide, top 6%, 1,740 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 18% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,260 units permitted in Wright County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wright County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $301k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $307,013 (23.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.08%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$426,922
List price
$399,900
Delta
-6.33%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.8%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-77,200
Equity at exit
$59,626
10-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-83,307
Equity at exit
$34,576

Cash invested: $111,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55301

Home prices YoY
-14.2%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,070 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,097
Tax from tax record
$326 /mo · $3,908/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$30
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$645
Net cashflow
$-194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,316
Max offer price $365,628
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $32 -5% $-81 +0% $-194 +5% $-307 +10% $-420
Rent -10% $-437 -5% $-315 +0% $-194 +5% $-73 +10% $49
Rate -1.0pp $7 -0.5pp $-92 base $-194 +0.5pp $-298 +1.0pp $-403

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,975
Closing costs
$11,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11193 68th St NE Unit NA Albertville, MN 3.0 3.0 2644 $3,250 $1.23 0d 1 0.84mi
7712 Lachman Ave NE Albertville, MN 3.0 2.0 1525 $2,259 $1.48 0d 1 0.91mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$30 · $360/yr
Likely covers
gaselectricsnow removal

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    historical Contingent - Inspection 1035-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1035 chars)

    *Buyer financing fell through, back on the market! Absolutely like new single-family home in coveted Otsego. Chef‘s kitchen with stainless appliances (gas stove), tiled backsplash, large center island, and pantry. Beautiful electric fireplace with built-ins. Rare sun porch!! Owners suite with walk-in closet, double vanity, and separate soaking tub and shower. Lovely walk out family room with third bedroom downstairs and three-quarter bath. Wrought iron staircase and plenty of ceiling fans. Yard backs up to private wetlands. Home is on a private cul-de-sac. Morning Sun Homes (builder now retired) built 18 single-family homes here. Top-notch! Home includes: EV charger, workbench and storage unit currently in garage plus sprinkler system and shed. Neighborhood boasts walking path, beautiful park with playground, tennis and basketball courts, plus picnic area! Small association fee covers snow removal on private street, plants/flowers in the cul-de-sac island, and street sweeping. This is a must see, won’t last.

  2. 2026-05-03
    price $399,900 1035-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1035 chars)

    *Buyer financing fell through, back on the market! Absolutely like new single-family home in coveted Otsego. Chef‘s kitchen with stainless appliances (gas stove), tiled backsplash, large center island, and pantry. Beautiful electric fireplace with built-ins. Rare sun porch!! Owners suite with walk-in closet, double vanity, and separate soaking tub and shower. Lovely walk out family room with third bedroom downstairs and three-quarter bath. Wrought iron staircase and plenty of ceiling fans. Yard backs up to private wetlands. Home is on a private cul-de-sac. Morning Sun Homes (builder now retired) built 18 single-family homes here. Top-notch! Home includes: EV charger, workbench and storage unit currently in garage plus sprinkler system and shed. Neighborhood boasts walking path, beautiful park with playground, tennis and basketball courts, plus picnic area! Small association fee covers snow removal on private street, plants/flowers in the cul-de-sac island, and street sweeping. This is a must see, won’t last.

  3. 2026-04-17
    status Active 1035-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1035 chars)

    *Buyer financing fell through, back on the market! Absolutely like new single-family home in coveted Otsego. Chef‘s kitchen with stainless appliances (gas stove), tiled backsplash, large center island, and pantry. Beautiful electric fireplace with built-ins. Rare sun porch!! Owners suite with walk-in closet, double vanity, and separate soaking tub and shower. Lovely walk out family room with third bedroom downstairs and three-quarter bath. Wrought iron staircase and plenty of ceiling fans. Yard backs up to private wetlands. Home is on a private cul-de-sac. Morning Sun Homes (builder now retired) built 18 single-family homes here. Top-notch! Home includes: EV charger, workbench and storage unit currently in garage plus sprinkler system and shed. Neighborhood boasts walking path, beautiful park with playground, tennis and basketball courts, plus picnic area! Small association fee covers snow removal on private street, plants/flowers in the cul-de-sac island, and street sweeping. This is a must see, won’t last.

  4. 2026-04-14
    status Pending 1035-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1035 chars)

    *Buyer financing fell through, back on the market! Absolutely like new single-family home in coveted Otsego. Chef‘s kitchen with stainless appliances (gas stove), tiled backsplash, large center island, and pantry. Beautiful electric fireplace with built-ins. Rare sun porch!! Owners suite with walk-in closet, double vanity, and separate soaking tub and shower. Lovely walk out family room with third bedroom downstairs and three-quarter bath. Wrought iron staircase and plenty of ceiling fans. Yard backs up to private wetlands. Home is on a private cul-de-sac. Morning Sun Homes (builder now retired) built 18 single-family homes here. Top-notch! Home includes: EV charger, workbench and storage unit currently in garage plus sprinkler system and shed. Neighborhood boasts walking path, beautiful park with playground, tennis and basketball courts, plus picnic area! Small association fee covers snow removal on private street, plants/flowers in the cul-de-sac island, and street sweeping. This is a must see, won’t last.

  5. 2026-04-06
    historical Contingent - Inspection 1035-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1035 chars)

    *Buyer financing fell through, back on the market! Absolutely like new single-family home in coveted Otsego. Chef‘s kitchen with stainless appliances (gas stove), tiled backsplash, large center island, and pantry. Beautiful electric fireplace with built-ins. Rare sun porch!! Owners suite with walk-in closet, double vanity, and separate soaking tub and shower. Lovely walk out family room with third bedroom downstairs and three-quarter bath. Wrought iron staircase and plenty of ceiling fans. Yard backs up to private wetlands. Home is on a private cul-de-sac. Morning Sun Homes (builder now retired) built 18 single-family homes here. Top-notch! Home includes: EV charger, workbench and storage unit currently in garage plus sprinkler system and shed. Neighborhood boasts walking path, beautiful park with playground, tennis and basketball courts, plus picnic area! Small association fee covers snow removal on private street, plants/flowers in the cul-de-sac island, and street sweeping. This is a must see, won’t last.

  6. 2026-03-24
    listed $415,000 Active 1035-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1035 chars)

    *Buyer financing fell through, back on the market! Absolutely like new single-family home in coveted Otsego. Chef‘s kitchen with stainless appliances (gas stove), tiled backsplash, large center island, and pantry. Beautiful electric fireplace with built-ins. Rare sun porch!! Owners suite with walk-in closet, double vanity, and separate soaking tub and shower. Lovely walk out family room with third bedroom downstairs and three-quarter bath. Wrought iron staircase and plenty of ceiling fans. Yard backs up to private wetlands. Home is on a private cul-de-sac. Morning Sun Homes (builder now retired) built 18 single-family homes here. Top-notch! Home includes: EV charger, workbench and storage unit currently in garage plus sprinkler system and shed. Neighborhood boasts walking path, beautiful park with playground, tennis and basketball courts, plus picnic area! Small association fee covers snow removal on private street, plants/flowers in the cul-de-sac island, and street sweeping. This is a must see, won’t last.

  7. 2015-09-15
    soldstatus $301,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,908 · $326/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,193 · $349/mo
Expected delta
+$285/yr (+$24/mo · 7.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,842
− Mortgage interest
−$22,401
− Property taxes
−$3,908
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,947
− Management
−$2,947
− HOA
−$360
− Depreciation
−$11,633
Taxable loss
−$9,355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,245
After-tax cash flow
$-83/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Independent School District 728
NCES district ID
2711370
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$82,336
Composite
52.5/100
National rank
#1567
State rank
#37 of 301 in MN

Livability — Otsego

Score
69/100
State rank
#367
US rank
#8641

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Otsego, MN
County
Wright County · 79,164 people
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
13,482
Household income
$129,232
Rent vs Own
8.6% rent · 91.4% own
Severe rent burden
50.0

Population outlook (Wright County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
142,526 people
By 2030
146,915 · +3.1%
By 2040
153,625 · +7.8%
By 2050
155,416 · +9.0%
By 2075
150,352 · +5.5%
By 2100
130,631 · -8.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
7% · South Korea, China, Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Wright

2024 margin
Strong R (+29.4) · D 34.4% · R 63.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.4pp · 2024: -29.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+29.4 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+33.2 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+17.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -38.52%
Current HPI
233.6299
Rent YoY
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+32.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $399,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $415,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $301,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+45.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,908 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…