🏷️ Likely Rental
60 Ashgrove Ln · Oak Level, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.4/10.0
$88,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great starter property. Three dwellings on property with 3 septics and 1 well. An old farm home to the back of the property with power lines run to it. A single wide at the middle of the property. There is a tenant in the single wide trailer who pays $200 a month. The Tenant retains a Lifetime Occupancy Rights on the single wide trailer. There is also a doublewide to the front of the property. Please do not enter any of the properties.
Key facts
- Old farm home
- One well
- Three septics
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($990 rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#513 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Franklin County Public School District (town): math 69% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #24 of 131 in VA (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Henry Elementary (math 67% / reading 62%, grade B, #416 of 1,108 statewide, top 41%, 172 students, 76% FRL); Benjamin Franklin Middle (math 64% / reading 72%, grade A-, #94 of 342 statewide, top 28%, 1,397 students, 74% FRL); Franklin County High (math 79% / reading 82%, grade A, #57 of 319 statewide, top 18%, 1,904 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 45% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $89k implies a 789% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.09%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $195,624
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 777 Fairfield Rd | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+14%) | 13mo | $222,500 | $247 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-3,708
- Equity at exit
- $13,255
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $10,588
- Equity at exit
- $7,686
Cash invested: $24,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24055
- Home prices YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $990 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$466
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $229 | -5% $198 | +0% $168 | +5% $137 | +10% $106 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $90 | -5% $129 | +0% $168 | +5% $207 | +10% $246 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $213 | -0.5pp $190 | base $168 | +0.5pp $145 | +1.0pp $121 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,225
- Closing costs
- $2,667
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 483 Virgil H Goode Hwy Bassett, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $990 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $88,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $88,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $88,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $88,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $88,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $88,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $88,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $88,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $88,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $88,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $88,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-14status Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Great starter property. Three dwellings on property with 3 septics and 1 well. An old farm home to the back of the property with power lines run to it. A single wide at the middle of the property. There is a tenant in the single wide trailer who pays $200 a month. The Tenant retains a Lifetime Occupancy Rights on the single wide trailer. There is also a doublewide to the front of the property. Please do not enter any of the properties.
-
2026-05-13historical 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Great starter property. Three dwellings on property with 3 septics and 1 well. An old farm home to the back of the property with power lines run to it. A single wide at the middle of the property. There is a tenant in the single wide trailer who pays $200 a month. The Tenant retains a Lifetime Occupancy Rights on the single wide trailer. There is also a doublewide to the front of the property. Please do not enter any of the properties.
-
2026-05-06status Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Great starter property. Three dwellings on property with 3 septics and 1 well. An old farm home to the back of the property with power lines run to it. A single wide at the middle of the property. There is a tenant in the single wide trailer who pays $200 a month. The Tenant retains a Lifetime Occupancy Rights on the single wide trailer. There is also a doublewide to the front of the property. Please do not enter any of the properties.
-
2026-04-16$89,900 Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Great starter property. Three dwellings on property with 3 septics and 1 well. An old farm home to the back of the property with power lines run to it. A single wide at the middle of the property. There is a tenant in the single wide trailer who pays $200 a month. The Tenant retains a Lifetime Occupancy Rights on the single wide trailer. There is also a doublewide to the front of the property. Please do not enter any of the properties.
-
2026-04-12$89,900 Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
Great starter property. Three dwellings on property with 3 septics and 1 well. An old farm home to the back of the property with power lines run to it. A single wide at the middle of the property. There is a tenant in the single wide trailer who pays $200 a month. The Tenant retains a Lifetime Occupancy Rights on the single wide trailer. There is also a doublewide to the front of the property. Please do not enter any of the properties.
-
2023-10-30soldstatus $10,000
-
1985-07-05soldstatus $11,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,880
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,980
- − Property taxes
- −$1,334
- − Insurance
- −$444
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$950
- − Management
- −$950
- − Depreciation
- −$2,586
- Taxable income
- $635
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$152
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,860/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101440
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,093
- Composite
- 59.5/100
- National rank
- #921
- State rank
- #24 of 131 in VA
Livability — Oak Level
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #513
- US rank
- #22992
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,520
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 56,242 people
- By 2030
- 55,742 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 53,669 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 50,291 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 42,395 · -24.6%
- By 2100
- 32,981 · -41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.3) · D 26.9% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -22.8pp · 2024: -45.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.3 2020: R+42.1 2016: R+42.2 2012: R+28.6 2008: R+22.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.19%
- Current HPI
- 217.0023
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+717.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Relisted — MHPCAR
- 2026-05-13 Delisted — MHPCAR
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — MHPCAR
- 2026-04-16 Listed $89,900 MHPCAR
- 2026-04-12 Listed $89,900 MLSRV
- 2023-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1985-07-05 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $151 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…