520 Richard Jackson Blvd #2005 · Panama City Beach, FL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.09%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Cash flow +2.6/30.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
FIRST-FLOOR GOLF COURSE FRONTAGE | HOLE 3 FAIRWAY & GREEN VIEWS | TWO FULL BATHS | Edgewater Golf Villas Unit 2005 is a first-floor, ground-level residence within Edgewater Beach and Golf Resort in Panama City Beach, Florida, positioned directly along Hole 3 of the resort's golf course. This one-bedroom, two-full-bathroom condo offers clear views of the third fairway and green, visible from the living area, the bedroom, and the back porch. The ground-level layout provides immediate access to the outdoor space just beyond the back door, creating a seamless connection to the golf course landscape and the pond that borders Hole 3. New HVAC in 2020 and new water heater in 2023. Both the l
Key facts
- Sliding glass doors
- Golf course frontage
- Hole 3 fairway views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Units furnished: all units (multi-unit information)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with amenities including beach rights, business center, game room, gated community; Community pool
Exterior
- Security: Gated community with security gate, 24-hour security, security guard and security service
- Utilities: Cable connected; Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story; Multi-family zoning
- Construction: Stucco construction; Metal roof; No land (unit in a building)
- Exterior features: In-ground community pool with electric heat; Beach access / Waterfront; Gated community with security gate, 24-hour security, security guard and security service; Community amenities: basketball court, business center, conference/meeting room, fitness center, golf, game room, park, shopping, tennis courts, short term rental allowed
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One bathroom with shower and WC; One vanity area
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Porch
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-615 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#172 in FL, #2,624 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Hutchison Beach Elementary School (math 55% / reading 45%, grade D+, #1,070 of 2,144 statewide, top 51%, 621 students, 59% FRL); Surfside Middle School (math 58% / reading 59%, grade B, #148 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 843 students, 48% FRL); J.R. Arnold High School (math 41% / reading 54%, grade D, #204 of 667 statewide, top 31%, 1,617 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 705 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $124k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 46% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 2.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -14.63%
- DSCR
- 0.35
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -51.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.45×
- Total profit
- $-73,158
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.63×
- Total profit
- $-132,744
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32407
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 705
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,837 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,506/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
- −$838
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $-615
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-513 | -5% $-564 | +0% $-615 | +5% $-665 | +10% $-716 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-760 | -5% $-687 | +0% $-615 | +5% $-542 | +10% $-469 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-524 | -0.5pp $-569 | base $-615 | +0.5pp $-661 | +1.0pp $-709 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 Bonnie Ln Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,599 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 136 Bonnie Ln Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 972 | $1,750 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 98 Paddock Club Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1093 | $1,439 | $1.32 | 14d | 19 | 0.34mi |
| 800 Grand Panama Blvd Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 978 | $1,900 | $1.94 | 14d | 30 | 0.37mi |
| 133 W Leslie Ln Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $2,200 | $2.32 | 22d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 12011 Front Beach Rd Unit 1523327P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $3,796 | $3.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 302 Cabana Blvd Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1184 | $1,293 | $1.09 | 14d | 15 | 0.76mi |
| 10400 Panama City Beach Pkwy Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1151 | $1,408 | $1.22 | 14d | 20 | 1.00mi |
| 204 Potters Bluff Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $1,355 | $1.31 | 14d | 12 | 1.03mi |
| 998 Gulfside Ct Unit 1523366P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $4,124 | $3.87 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9850 S Thomas Dr Unit 1355022P Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 602 | $1,639 | $2.72 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 9850 S Thomas Dr Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,750 | $3.93 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-02status $180,000 Pending 101 DOM
-
2026-05-04historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-02-25price $180,000
-
2026-02-25price $180,000
-
2026-01-23$185,000 Active
-
2026-01-23$185,000 Active
-
2025-08-30historical
-
2025-07-28price $199,000
-
2025-05-20price $205,000
-
2025-05-03price $214,000
-
2025-04-14$229,000 Active
-
2021-12-14historical
-
2019-12-23soldstatus $124,000
-
2019-12-20soldstatus $124,000
-
2019-04-05$137,900
-
2005-04-27soldstatus $275,000
-
2004-06-30soldstatus $189,000
-
2004-06-22soldstatus $189,000
-
2004-06-01$189,000
-
1999-05-24soldstatus $78,500
-
1999-05-01soldstatus $78,500
-
1999-03-23$79,900
-
1998-02-16$92,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,506 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,506 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 9% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,044
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$2,506
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,764
- − Management
- −$1,764
- − HOA
- −$10,056
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$10,264
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,463
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,911/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Panama City Beach
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #2624
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Panama City Beach, FL
- County
- Bay County · 163,593 people
- City population
- 50,689
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,404
- Household income
- $80,831
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 939.0
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -116.39%
- Current HPI
- 277.8875
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+95.7% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — CPARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $180,000 ECAR
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $180,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $185,000 ECAR
- 2026-01-23 Listed $185,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-08-30 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2025-07-28 Price Changed $199,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-05-20 Price Changed $205,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-05-03 Price Changed $214,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-04-14 Listed $229,000 CPARMLS
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2019-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $124,000 Public Records
- 2019-12-20 Sold (MLS) $124,000 CPARMLS
- 2019-04-05 Listed $137,900 CPARMLS
- 2005-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $275,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $189,000 Public Records
- 2004-06-22 Sold (MLS) $189,000 CPARMLS
- 2004-06-01 Listed $189,000 CPARMLS
- 1999-05-24 Sold (MLS) $78,500 CPARMLS
- 1999-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records
- 1999-03-23 Listed $79,900 CPARMLS
- 1998-02-16 Listed $92,000 CPARMLS
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,506 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…