6421 Pinnacle Pt · Leland, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy one-story living and a low maintenance lifestyle in the Islander home. With an open floor plan, this home welcomes you with the dining and great room surrounding the kitchen. The great room and master bedroom both have a trey ceiling. Additional features include, granite kitchen countertops, 42'' cabinets, stainless steel appliances, LED and pendant lighting, trim detail, luxury plank flooring, fenced in rear yard, utility room off the kitchen, walk-in closet, and a two-car garage.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Tray ceiling
- Modern chandelier
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Mallory Creek Plantation
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee (annually); Community amenities: pool, clubhouse, playground, basketball court, picnic area, trails, maintained grounds, sidewalks, street lights
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front-facing 2-car garage with garage door opener; Paved parking; 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Electric power connected
- Home design: Townhouse; Single-story (entry level 1); Has a view
- Construction: Vinyl siding on frame construction; Slab foundation; Metal and shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Front porch; Wood full backyard fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Garbage disposal; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Rooms total: 6
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Master suite on the main level; Tray ceilings and high ceilings; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $315k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-206 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $279k (11.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $260k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.2% in Leland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#177 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brunswick County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #82 of 178 in NC (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Belville Elementary (math 51% / reading 49%, grade D+, #409 of 1,410 statewide, top 29%, 726 students, 100% FRL); Leland Middle (math 26% / reading 36%, grade F, #326 of 475 statewide, top 69%, 780 students, 100% FRL); North Brunswick High (math 57% / reading 49%, grade C-, #281 of 535 statewide, top 53%, 1,450 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 53% district-wide (46 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,112 units permitted in Brunswick County in 2024 (990 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
- Brunswick County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $244k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.81%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $312,296
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6440 Pinnacle Pt | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (+1%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $206 | 93 |
| 6453 Pinnacle Pt | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (+1%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $207 | 89 |
| 2853 Southern Magnolia Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (+0%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $217 | 88 |
| 6484 Pinnacle Pt | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (0%) | 8mo | $337,000 | $222 | 88 |
| 8239 Paramount Pt | 0.06mi | 3/3.0 | 1,650 (+9%) | 3mo | $247,000 | $150 | 76 |
| 8267 Paramount Pt | 0.07mi | 3/3.0 | 1,647 (+9%) | 6mo | $249,900 | $152 | 73 |
| 8417 Paramount Pt | 0.15mi | 3/3.0 | 1,652 (+9%) | 6mo | $252,000 | $153 | 69 |
| 8353 Paramount Pt | 0.13mi | 3/3.0 | 1,652 (+9%) | 8mo | $248,400 | $150 | 68 |
| 8413 Paramount Pt | 0.15mi | 3/3.0 | 1,652 (+9%) | 9mo | $265,000 | $160 | 66 |
| 1153 Lillibridge Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,738 (+15%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $210 | 43 |
| 1177 Lillibridge Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (+14%) | 6mo | $329,000 | $190 | 42 |
| 1133 Lillibridge Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,724 (+14%) | 7mo | $362,000 | $210 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-3,556
- Equity at exit
- $111,376
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $43,978
- Equity at exit
- $151,024
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28479
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,596 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,146/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$295
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$545
- Net cashflow
- $-206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-28 | -5% $-117 | +0% $-206 | +5% $-296 | +10% $-385 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-411 | -5% $-309 | +0% $-206 | +5% $-104 | +10% $-1 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-48 | -0.5pp $-126 | base $-206 | +0.5pp $-288 | +1.0pp $-371 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4756 Scaup Way Winnabow, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $3,500 | $2.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 136 N Palm Dr Winnabow, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $1,850 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 136 N Palm Dr Winnabow, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1235 | $1,850 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 226 Chambers St Winnabow, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $2,100 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2108 Silty Soil Ct Leland, NC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1442 | $2,074 | $1.44 | 15d | 23 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $295 · $3,540/yr
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $315,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $315,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $315,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $315,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $315,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $315,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $315,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $315,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $315,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $315,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $315,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $315,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $315,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$315,000 Active
-
2020-07-07soldstatus $243,600 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Enjoy one-story living and a low maintenance lifestyle in the Islander home. With an open floor plan, this home welcomes you with the dining and great room surrounding the kitchen. The great room and master bedroom both have a trey ceiling. Additional features include, granite kitchen countertops, 42'' cabinets, stainless steel appliances, LED and pendant lighting, trim detail, luxury plank flooring, fenced in rear yard, utility room off the kitchen, walk-in closet, and a two-car garage.
-
2020-02-07$243,600 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
Enjoy one-story living and a low maintenance lifestyle in the Islander home. With an open floor plan, this home welcomes you with the dining and great room surrounding the kitchen. The great room and master bedroom both have a trey ceiling. Additional features include, granite kitchen countertops, 42'' cabinets, stainless steel appliances, LED and pendant lighting, trim detail, luxury plank flooring, fenced in rear yard, utility room off the kitchen, walk-in closet, and a two-car garage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,146 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,583 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$437/yr (+$36/mo · 20.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$2,146
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,492
- − Management
- −$2,492
- − HOA
- −$3,540
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$7,905
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,897
- After-tax cash flow
- $-579/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained townhouse in The Pinnacle at Mallory Creek Plantation is ready for immediate occupancy with minor cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior trim — enhances curb appeal and value
- Both trim landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior trim — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both trim landscaping — improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brunswick County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700420
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,494
- Composite
- 39.23/100
- National rank
- #4011
- State rank
- #82 of 178 in NC
Livability — Leland
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #177
- US rank
- #9158
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leland, NC
- City population
- 46,933
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,971
Population outlook (Brunswick County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,111 people
- By 2030
- 165,705 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 188,494 · +23.9%
- By 2050
- 206,228 · +35.6%
- By 2075
- 237,876 · +56.4%
- By 2100
- 251,451 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 13% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Brunswick
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+25.0 2016: R+28.7 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.23%
- Current HPI
- 159.4516
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+29.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $315,000 Hive MLS
- 2020-07-07 Sold (MLS) $243,600 Hive MLS
- 2020-02-07 Listed $243,600 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+48.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,146 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…