🏷️ Likely Rental
143 S Hobart St · Athens, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$77,600
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer Upper, 3 Beds, 1 1/2 Bath in quiet part of town. Gas forced air furnace, 100 amp elec, main floor bedroom. Seller will consider Land Contract terms. Minimum 20% Down 15 year term $648.25 per month plus taxes and insurance. Broker owned
Key facts
- 0.25 acre lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 6 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas water heater
- Home design: Traditional style; Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1900; Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Partial basement (foundation)
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Quarter-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has heating
- Interior features: Replacement windows; 8 total rooms; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $773 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $78k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#367 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Athens Area Schools (rural): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #273 of 540 in MI (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $537 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.71%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $175,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143 S Hobart St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,280 (0%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $51 | 100 |
| 524 S Capital Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (-1%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $146 | 74 |
| 203 E Mill St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (0%) | 8mo | $202,000 | $158 | 69 |
| 330 W Mill St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,290 (+1%) | 22mo | $205,897 | $160 | 64 |
| 507 S A Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,272 (-1%) | 19mo | $70,000 | $55 | 62 |
| 103 W Mill St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-6%) | 6mo | $164,900 | $137 | 60 |
| 633 Oak | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-14%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $145 | 60 |
| 133 E Mill St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,425 (+11%) | 13mo | $120,000 | $84 | 49 |
| 315 S Ave A | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,450 (+13%) | 9mo | $199,900 | $138 | 46 |
| 371 E Marshall St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+12%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $90 | 45 |
| 218 Hawthorne St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,452 (+13%) | 21mo | $170,000 | $117 | 42 |
| 115 S Ave B | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,441 (+13%) | 23mo | $190,000 | $132 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $36,654
- Equity at exit
- $11,570
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.38×
- Total profit
- $95,240
- Equity at exit
- $6,709
Cash invested: $21,728 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49011
- Home prices YoY
- -5.3%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,560 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$407
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $238/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $773
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $817 | -5% $795 | +0% $773 | +5% $751 | +10% $729 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $650 | -5% $712 | +0% $773 | +5% $835 | +10% $897 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $812 | -0.5pp $793 | base $773 | +0.5pp $753 | +1.0pp $733 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,400
- Closing costs
- $2,328
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218 E Holcomb St Athens, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $1,560 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-03status $77,600 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $77,600 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $77,600 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $77,600 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $77,600 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$77,600 Active 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Fixer Upper, 3 Beds, 1 1/2 Bath in quiet part of town. Gas forced air furnace, 100 amp elec, main floor bedroom. Seller will consider Land Contract terms. Minimum 20% Down 15 year term $648.25 per month plus taxes and insurance. Broker owned
-
2026-05-27$77,600 Active
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Fixer Upper, 3 Beds, 1 1/2 Bath in quiet part of town. Gas forced air furnace, 100 amp elec, main floor bedroom. Seller will consider Land Contract terms. Minimum 20% Down 15 year term $648.25 per month plus taxes and insurance. Broker owned
-
2026-05-27$77,600 Active 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Fixer Upper, 3 Beds, 1 1/2 Bath in quiet part of town. Gas forced air furnace, 100 amp elec, main floor bedroom. Seller will consider Land Contract terms. Minimum 20% Down 15 year term $648.25 per month plus taxes and insurance. Broker owned
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $238 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $716 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- +$479/yr (+$40/mo · 201.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,347
- − Property taxes
- −$238
- − Insurance
- −$388
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,498
- − Management
- −$1,498
- − Depreciation
- −$2,257
- Taxable income
- $8,495
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,039
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,241/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Athens Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2603510
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,935
- Composite
- 30.51/100
- National rank
- #6211
- State rank
- #273 of 540 in MI
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #9589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athens, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,237
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.49%
- Current HPI
- 187.9543
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $77,600 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-27 Listed $77,600 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $77,600 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2022): $238 · -67.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…