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2565 W 24th St
B- Composite 65.97
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,500

2565 W 24th St · Erie, PA 16506
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,608 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1950 0.31 ac lot Est $259k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Millcreek Township Ranch Style Home Located On Low Traffic Dead End Street! 3 Bedroom 3 Full Baths, 1 Full Bathroom Being On Suite Off Primary Bedroom! Hardwood Floors In Living Room! Updated Bathroom With Jetted Tub. Vinyl Windows Throughout. Fully Appliance Kitchen: Refrigerator , Dishwasher , Stove , Microwave All Included. Spacious Back Yard With 3 Car Garage , 2 Driveways. Central Air Unit , Heated Game Room In Basement 20x13. Basement Family Room With Bar 18x16 , Gas Water Heater 2018 , 100Amp Electric Box, Boiler Heating 2 Zones. DONT MISS OUT ON THIS MILLCREEK RANCH!

Key facts

  • Vinyl windows
  • Ranch style home
  • Jetted tub

Tags

RANCH STYLE HOMELOW TRAFFIC DEAD END STREETHARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED BATHROOMJETTED TUBVINYL WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R-1; Lot approximately 0.31 acres (100 x 137); Listing provided by KW Flagship Realty

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built with typical foundations (basement present)
  • Exterior features: Porch; Asphalt roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven and range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total of 12 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Partial unfinished basement; Home warranty included
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.1% in Erie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#109 in PA, #840 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
  • Millcreek Township SD (suburban): math 46% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #105 of 539 in PA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $200k implies a 456% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $199,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.49%
Cash-on-cash
7.86%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$258,888
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2715 W 25th St 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (-13%) 12mo $192,000 $137 54
3109 W 24th St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,565 (-3%) 13mo $207,000 $132 53
2324 W 32nd St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,396 (-13%) 0mo $225,000 $161 48
2912 Court Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-12%) 11mo $280,000 $199 47
3224 Highland Rd 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,468 (-9%) 14mo $237,000 $161 46
2735 W 35th St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,472 (-8%) 10mo $234,000 $159 43
3522 Fountain Way 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,730 (+8%) 13mo $357,250 $207 43
2809 W 30th St 0.48mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,814 (+13%) 11mo $318,500 $176 40
2808 Greeley Ave 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,446 (-10%) 5mo $229,000 $158 38
2920 Post Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,370 (-15%) 0mo $80,000 $58 38
2817 W 34th St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,392 (-13%) 8mo $310,000 $223 36
2738 W 34th St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,402 (-13%) 11mo $310,000 $221 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-8,981
Equity at exit
$29,746
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.40×
Total profit
$22,378
Equity at exit
$17,249

Cash invested: $55,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16506

Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,240 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,046
Tax from tax record
$274 /mo · $3,290/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,777
Max offer price $199,500
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $479 -5% $422 +0% $366 +5% $309 +10% $253
Rent -10% $189 -5% $277 +0% $366 +5% $454 +10% $543
Rate -1.0pp $466 -0.5pp $417 base $366 +0.5pp $314 +1.0pp $262

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,875
Closing costs
$5,985
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2857 Willowood Dr Unit 2901 Erie, PA 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,750 $1.35 44d 1 0.84mi
4500 Hammocks Dr Erie, PA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1312 $3,270 $2.49 44d 7 1.26mi
4536 Hammocks Dr Unit 536404 Erie, PA 3.0 2.0 1416 $2,290 $1.62 44d 1 1.29mi
4536 Hammocks Dr Unit 542401 Erie, PA 2.0 2.0 1327 $2,160 $1.63 44d 1 1.29mi
4536 Hammocks Dr Unit 536204 Erie, PA 3.0 2.0 1416 $2,275 $1.61 44d 1 1.29mi
1837 W 9th St Erie, PA 3.0 1.0 1450 $1,600 $1.10 44d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $199,500 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,500 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,500 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,500 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,500 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    remarks 582-char remark
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,500 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    remarks 576-char remark
  9. 2026-06-14
    listed $199,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,290 · $274/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,290 · $274/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,875
− Mortgage interest
−$11,175
− Property taxes
−$3,290
− Insurance
−$998
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,150
− Management
−$2,150
− Depreciation
−$5,804
Taxable income
$1,309
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$314
After-tax cash flow
$4,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Millcreek Township SD
NCES district ID
4215330
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$55,734
Composite
47.82/100
National rank
#2224
State rank
#105 of 539 in PA

Livability — Erie

Score
83/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#840

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Erie County · 92,215 people
City population
92,215
Metro
Erie, PA
Population (ZIP)
24,070
Household income
$81,060
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
894.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
272,159 people
By 2030
266,299 · -2.2%
By 2040
250,987 · -7.8%
By 2050
234,925 · -13.7%
By 2075
199,164 · -26.8%
By 2100
162,985 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -152.21%
Current HPI
228.7506
Rent YoY
Metro
Erie, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+455.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $199,500 GEBOR
  • 1983-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $35,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,290 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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