205 Stephenson St · Duryea, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable 3-bedroom single family home in Duryea offered as-is. Solid value and ready for your vision -- great deal for investors or buyers seeking a budget-friendly opportunity
Key facts
- 3,049 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 29 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,029 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Pittston Area SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #418 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.22%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,426
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Stephenson St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 977 (-7%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $138 | 76 |
| 414 Foster St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+5%) | 9mo | $168,100 | $153 | 60 |
| 535 Adams St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,057 (+1%) | 12mo | $245,000 | $232 | 59 |
| 221 New St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 936 (-11%) | 0mo | $223,000 | $238 | 56 |
| 706 Donnelly St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (-3%) | 16mo | $101,000 | $99 | 53 |
| 12 Evans St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,032 (-1%) | 14mo | $149,000 | $144 | 53 |
| 178 Columbia St | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 980 (-6%) | 11mo | $230,175 | $235 | 50 |
| 171 Columbia St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 960 (-8%) | 21mo | $190,000 | $198 | 47 |
| 637 Ann St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+15%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $113 | 46 |
| 427 Foster St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+15%) | 21mo | $189,000 | $158 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $17,630
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 26.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.27×
- Total profit
- $56,658
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18642
- Home prices YoY
- -15.5%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,397 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,161/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $503
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $553 | -5% $528 | +0% $503 | +5% $478 | +10% $453 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $393 | -5% $448 | +0% $503 | +5% $558 | +10% $613 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $548 | -0.5pp $526 | base $503 | +0.5pp $480 | +1.0pp $457 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 Dickson St Duryea, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 230 Swetland St Duryea, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,400 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 230 Swetland St Duryea, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,400 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 962 Wood St Unit 2 Old Forge, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 970 Wood St Old Forge, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,300 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 163 Bianca Way Old Forge, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $2,500 | $2.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 75 Marimar Dr Old Forge, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 152 Drakes Ln Old Forge, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,700 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 864 S Main St #3 Old Forge, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,350 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-07soldstatus $85,000
-
2026-03-14status Pending
-
2026-03-07status Active
-
2026-03-07price $89,000
-
2026-03-03status Pending
-
2026-02-10$95,000 Active
-
2026-02-04soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,161 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,284 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$122/yr (+$10/mo · 10.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,764
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,161
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,341
- − Management
- −$1,341
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $4,901
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,176
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,860/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pittston Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219200
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,316
- Composite
- 29.86/100
- National rank
- #6409
- State rank
- #418 of 539 in PA
Livability — Duryea
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #1029
- US rank
- #11458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Duryea, PA
- City population
- 4,469
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,469
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Scotch-Irish 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 16%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.99%
- Current HPI
- 190.5926
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+112.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2026-03-14 Pending — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-03-07 Relisted — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $89,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-03-03 Pending — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-02-10 Listed $95,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2026): $1,161 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…