302 Convent Ave #53 · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
$475,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Apartment 53 at 302 Convent Avenue. A charming and spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bath co-op nestled in the heart of Hamilton Heights. This inviting home features high ceilings that create an airy, open feel throughout, complemented by generously sized rooms and a functional layout perfect for both comfortable living and entertaining. The two well-proportioned bedrooms offer ample space for rest and relaxation, while the living area provides a warm and welcoming atmosphere. Residents enjoy a well-maintained elevator building with a live-in superintendent, laundry room, package room, and a beautifully restored prewar lobby. Ideally located near neighborhood restaurants, cafes, and green sp
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Package room
- Built 1915
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking; No carport
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Phone service available; No sewer listed
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and other rooms); Entry level 5
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Other heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features; Cats and dogs allowed
- Laundry & utility: No washer/dryer listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $475k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $480 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $475k).
- Recommended offer: $446k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Mark Twain Is 239 For The Gifted And Talented (math 90% / reading 96%, grade A+, #6 of 729 statewide, top 1%, 1,207 students, 44% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 89 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,763/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 5780% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.1%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-2.1% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $133k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($446k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.33%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.06% appreciation · 6.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-9,157
- Equity at exit
- $90,973
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $129,220
- Equity at exit
- $76,529
Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10031
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,763 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,491
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$594 /mo · $7,125/yr
- Insurance
- −$198
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,000
- Net cashflow
- $480
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $808 | -5% $644 | +0% $480 | +5% $316 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $104 | -5% $292 | +0% $480 | +5% $668 | +10% $856 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $719 | -0.5pp $601 | base $480 | +0.5pp $357 | +1.0pp $232 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $118,750
- Closing costs
- $14,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 W 135th St Unit 9G New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $5,500 | $5.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 132 W 134th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $4,500 | $6.00 | 26d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 230 W 126th St Unit 20C New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $4,555 | $5.30 | 26d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 543 W 122nd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $10,995 | $10.40 | 4d | 7 | 1.00mi |
| 508 Manhattan Ave Unit 2C New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,699 | $5.87 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 312 W 121st St Unit 4C New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $4,854 | $5.39 | 9d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 506 Manhattan Ave Unit 1A New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,699 | $5.87 | 13d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 312 W 121st St Unit 5-A New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,655 | $5.82 | 13d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 100 Tower Dr Edgewater, NJ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1290 | $5,584 | $4.33 | 0d | 9 | 1.30mi |
| 2413 3rd Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $4,022 | $4.69 | 1d | 21 | 1.31mi |
| 1203 River Rd Unit 9D Edgewater, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $3,350 | $3.81 | 26d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5 Lincoln Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1011 | $5,138 | $5.08 | 0d | 181 | 1.41mi |
| 30 Morningside Dr #2096 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $8,940 | $11.45 | 1d | 2 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $475,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $475,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $475,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $475,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $475,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $475,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $475,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $475,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $475,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $475,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $475,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $475,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-04-01$475,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,153
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,607
- − Property taxes
- −$7,125
- − Insurance
- −$2,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,572
- − Management
- −$4,572
- − Depreciation
- −$13,818
- Taxable loss
- −$1,917
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$460
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,219/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath co-op at 302 Convent Avenue is in good condition with minor repairs needed in the kitchen and bath. Fresh paint and updated cabinets would significantly enhance its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Minor Bath tub and shower — Need cleaning
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
- Both Clean and maintain bath tub and shower — Cleanliness is key for both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bath tub and shower · Need cleaning | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Clean and maintain bath tub and shower — Cleanliness is key for both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,058
- Household income
- $65,283
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 5780.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 49% Black 25% Two or more races 21% White 18% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 38% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.06%
- Current HPI
- 468.3156
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.67%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Listed $475,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…