9914 N 44th EastAvenue · Tulsa, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in established neighborhood. Home is down the street from neighborhood park. Located just a few minutes from Owasso and 20 minutes from Tulsa! Fenced backyard, new siding, freshly painted inside and out, vinyl windows. Great starter home! Coming soon- no showings or offers until 10/23/21
Key facts
- Recent updates
- Outdoor enjoyment
- New hvac system
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee; Association fee: $33 monthly; Community park; Community gutters
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with shelving
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Water available (rural); Sewer: lagoon
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Slab foundation
- Construction: Built using brick, wood siding and wood frame; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Patio; Porch; Rain gutters; Satellite dish; Chain link full fencing; Located less than 10 miles to Skiatook Lake
Interior
- Kitchen: Country-style kitchen; Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven/Range/Stove; Gas range/oven connections
- Bedrooms: Multiple first-floor bedrooms including a master bedroom with private bath and separate closets; Additional first-floor bedrooms without attached baths
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms including a master bath with bathtub
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Ceiling fan(s); High speed internet; Cable TV; Wired for data; Laminate counters; Vinyl windows
- Laundry & utility: Interior utility room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $162k (7.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (7.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
- Sperry (rural): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #114 of 270 in OK (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $127k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.55%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $173,432
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9918 N 44th East Ave | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,134 (+7%) | 7mo | $191,000 | $168 | 83 |
| 10003 N 43rd EastAvenue | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (+13%) | 4mo | $203,500 | $169 | 72 |
| 9718 N 44th EastAvenue | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+3%) | 18mo | $175,000 | $159 | 71 |
| 9833 N 43rd EastAvenue | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,219 (+15%) | 6mo | $199,000 | $163 | 69 |
| 4212 E 101st St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,121 (+5%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $152 | 66 |
| 10002 N 43rd EastAvenue | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (+13%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $154 | 63 |
| 10025 N 44th Ave E | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,195 (+12%) | 19mo | $200,000 | $167 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $77,885
- Equity at exit
- $132,046
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.51×
- Total profit
- $221,012
- Equity at exit
- $261,250
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74073
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,618 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,804/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $104
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $203 | -5% $154 | +0% $104 | +5% $55 | +10% $5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-24 | -5% $40 | +0% $104 | +5% $168 | +10% $232 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $192 | -0.5pp $149 | base $104 | +0.5pp $59 | +1.0pp $13 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-13status $175,000 Pending 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $175,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 561-char remark
-
2026-06-03$175,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,804 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,804 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,417
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,804
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,553
- − Management
- −$1,553
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,658
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$398
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,650/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sperry
- NCES district ID
- 4028170
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,187
- Composite
- 21.01/100
- National rank
- #8455
- State rank
- #114 of 270 in OK
Livability — Tulsa
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #13
- US rank
- #4058
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 389,418
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,610
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Two or more races 16% Native American 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.92%
- Current HPI
- 268.133
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+250.7% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $175,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
- 2021-11-30 Sold (MLS) $127,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-10-25 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-10-19 Listed $130,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-12-13 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-07-12 Price Changed $107,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-06-13 Listed $108,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2007-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $88,500 Public Records
- 2007-10-24 Sold (MLS) $88,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2007-09-17 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2007-08-21 Listed $88,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2005-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-12 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2005-04-07 Sold (MLS) $84,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2004-08-30 Listed $81,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2001-01-08 Sold (MLS) $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2001-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2000-12-07 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2000-06-24 Listed $69,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1994-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1993-12-28 Listed $49,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,804 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…