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17370 Cape Horn Blvd
B+ Composite 78.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$313,000

17370 Cape Horn Blvd · Burnt Store Marina, FL 33955
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,221 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 307 Days on market
Built 2006 9,598 sqft lot Est $517k · 40% under $34/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located in the beautiful Burnt Storke Marina area, this property has everything you are looking for. The property has been freshly painted interior and exterior. Home has tile flooring throughout the wet areas and luxury vinyl plank flooring in the bedrooms. Kitchen features newly touched up kitchen cabinets, granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances. Bedrooms are a great size with ample closet space. Bathrooms have been freshly tiled for a more modern look.

Key facts

  • Tile flooring
  • Granite counter tops
  • 9,598 sq ft lot

Tags

FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIORFRESHLY PAINTED EXTERIORTILE FLOORINGLUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTER TOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA: Burnt Store Lakes Property Owners Association; Monthly HOA fee approximately $34 (annual $408); HOA includes grounds maintenance and recreational facilities; Association approval required; Community deed restrictions, park, sidewalks, street lights; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Underground utilities; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; West facing
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Tile roof; Slab foundation; Built with living area of approximately 2,221 sq ft
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Rear porch; Screened porch; Exterior lighting; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Irrigation equipment; Mature landscaping with trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Kitchen open to family room; Open floor plan; Solid surface countertops; Solid wood cabinets; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside; Inside utility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $313k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $313k).
  • Recommended offer: $275k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 4.8% in Burnt Store Marina — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#354 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 1481 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,846/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 226% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($275k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $275,440 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.08%
Cash-on-cash
20.68%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$517,493
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
24378 Peppercorn Rd 0.35mi 3/2.0 2,305 (+4%) 9mo $650,000 $282 70
17261 Naiad Ct 0.23mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,351 (+6%) 4mo $373,000 $159 68
17199 Anthem Ln 0.42mi 3/3.0 2,259 (+2%) 16mo $750,000 $332 60
24228 Peppercorn Rd 0.33mi 3/2.0 2,099 (-6%) 20mo $465,000 $222 59
17139 Anthem Ln 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,995 (-10%) 1mo $465,000 $233 58
17313 Muscat Ln 0.38mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,973 (-11%) 4mo $432,000 $219 55
17533 Megra Ct 0.43mi 3/2.0 2,094 (-6%) 22mo $560,000 $267 52
17458 Medillin Ct 0.56mi 3/2.0 2,175 (-2%) 23mo $433,400 $199 51
17320 Comingo Ln 0.51mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,351 (+6%) 13mo $460,000 $196 47
17013 Alpenhorn Ct 0.75mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,351 (+6%) 5mo $375,000 $160 42
17122 Barcrest Ln 0.65mi 3/3.0 2,462 (+11%) 8mo $795,000 $323 41
1040 Matecumbe Key Rd 0.68mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,359 (+6%) 17mo $1,030,000 $437 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$18,752
Equity at exit
$46,669
10-year hold
IRR
15.0%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$106,979
Equity at exit
$27,063

Cash invested: $87,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33955

Home prices YoY
-24.5%
Active inventory
1481
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,846 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,641
Tax from tax record
$512 /mo · $6,148/yr
Insurance
$130
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$34
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,018
Net cashflow
$1,084

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,474
Max offer price $313,000
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,250
Closing costs
$9,390
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17314 Cape Horn Blvd Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 2216 $2,800 $1.26 13d 1 0.11mi
17434 Oro Ct Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.5 1864 $2,000 $1.07 21d 1 0.19mi
24417 Baltic Ave #1102 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1788 $5,250 $2.94 23d 1 0.45mi
4005 Big Pass Ln Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1423 $5,500 $3.87 16d 1 0.61mi
17849 Hibiscus Cove Ct #1 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1937 $6,250 $3.23 23d 1 0.80mi
3001 King Tarpon Dr Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1734 $5,500 $3.17 23d 1 0.86mi
2091 King Tarpon Dr Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1640 $5,200 $3.17 23d 1 0.87mi
1010 Islamorada Blvd Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1592 $4,700 $2.95 23d 1 0.94mi
1610 Islamorada Blvd Unit 64A Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1516 $2,000 $1.32 23d 1 0.94mi
2060 Matecumbe Key Rd Punta Gorda, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1271 $5,400 $4.25 23d 3 0.94mi
3255 Sugarloaf Key Rd Unit 31B Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1516 $3,000 $1.98 16d 1 1.00mi
5 Pirates Ln Unit 54B Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 1516 $4,600 $3.03 23d 1 1.08mi
3471 Sunset Key Cir #102 Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1991 $5,750 $2.89 23d 1 1.09mi
3304 Sunset Key Cir Unit D Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 2255 $5,750 $2.55 23d 1 1.20mi
3313 Sunset Key Cir Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0–3.0 2089 $6,750 $3.23 23d 4 1.24mi
3313 Sunset Key Cir Unit Reservation spot 1 Punta Gorda, FL 2.0 2.0 2099 $2,750 $1.31 23d 1 1.24mi
24378 Belize Ct Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 2.5 2251 $6,750 $3.00 21d 1 1.34mi
3250 Southshore Dr Unit 54B Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 2069 $5,750 $2.78 23d 1 1.35mi
3270 Southshore Dr Unit 72B Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 2069 $5,750 $2.78 23d 1 1.36mi
16229 Cape Horn Blvd Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 1726 $2,749 $1.59 21d 1 1.38mi
3280 Southshore Dr Unit 87A Punta Gorda, FL 3.0 2.0 2069 $4,000 $1.93 23d 1 1.40mi
25377 Doredo Dr Punta Gorda, FL 4.0 3.0 2092 $2,300 $1.10 21d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$34 · $408/yr

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $313,000 Active 307 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $313,000 Active 306 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $313,000 Active 305 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $313,000 Active 304 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $313,000 Active 302 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $313,000 Active 301 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $313,000 Active 299 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $313,000 Active 298 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $313,000 Active 297 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $313,000 Active 293 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $313,000 Active 291 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $313,000 Active 290 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $313,000 Active 289 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $313,000 Active 288 DOM
  15. 2025-08-15
    listed $313,000 Active
  16. 2025-08-14
    historical
  17. 2025-07-29
    price $313,000
  18. 2025-07-10
    price $323,000
  19. 2025-05-30
    price $345,000
  20. 2025-02-23
    listed $350,000 Active
  21. 2025-02-23
    historical
  22. 2024-11-13
    listed $425,000 Active
  23. 2024-10-31
    historical
  24. 2024-10-02
    listed $275,000 Active
  25. 2022-12-01
    soldstatus $330,000
  26. 2022-11-23
    soldstatus $335,000 Closed
  27. 2022-10-19
    status Pending
  28. 2022-10-07
    historical
  29. 2022-09-19
    status Active
  30. 2022-09-15
    status Pending
  31. 2022-09-02
    price $369,000
  32. 2022-08-16
    price $379,000
  33. 2022-08-05
    price $398,000
  34. 2022-07-24
    listed $399,000 Active
  35. 2007-03-13
    historical
  36. 2006-11-02
    listed $259,000
  37. 2006-08-03
    historical
  38. 2005-07-12
    listed $359,000
  39. 2004-01-22
    soldstatus $2,184,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,148 · $512/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,148 · $512/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥107°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$58,157
− Mortgage interest
−$17,533
− Property taxes
−$6,148
− Insurance
−$6,684
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,653
− Management
−$4,653
− HOA
−$408
− Depreciation
−$9,105
Taxable income
$8,974
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,154
After-tax cash flow
$10,854/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charlotte
NCES district ID
1200240
Math proficiency
54% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,864
Composite
45.62/100
National rank
#2586
State rank
#22 of 73 in FL

Livability — Burnt Store Marina

Score
72/100
State rank
#354
US rank
#6145

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Charlotte County · 196,994 people
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
Population (ZIP)
12,399
Household income
$76,943
Rent vs Own
9.5% rent · 90.5% own
Severe rent burden
226.0

Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
198,646 people
By 2030
210,507 · +6.0%
By 2040
230,857 · +16.2%
By 2050
247,148 · +24.4%
By 2075
281,777 · +41.8%
By 2100
293,609 · +47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -78.71%
Current HPI
242.9043
Rent YoY
Metro
Punta Gorda, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-85.7% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2025-08-15 Listed $313,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-14 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-29 Price Changed $313,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-10 Price Changed $323,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-30 Price Changed $345,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-23 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-23 Listed $350,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-13 Listed $425,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-02 Listed $275,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $330,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-23 Sold (MLS) $335,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-19 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-07 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-19 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-15 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-02 Price Changed $369,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-16 Price Changed $379,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-05 Price Changed $398,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-24 Listed $399,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-03-13 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-11-02 Listed $259,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-03 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-07-12 Listed $359,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $2,184,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,148 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…