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1222 S Bluffview Ave
D Composite 43.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

1222 S Bluffview Ave · Farmington, NM 87401
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Other · 22 Days on market
Built 1968 0.71 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits with this unique in-town property featuring two irrigated lots totaling approximately 3/4 acre in Farmington! Whether you're looking for a renovation project, investment opportunity, or the perfect site for a new home, this property offers incredible potential. The existing single-wide mobile home is being given NO value and is ready for your vision. Restore it and bring it back to life or remove it and place your new dream home on this spacious, well-established property. Outside, you'll find numerous valuable features including outbuildings, a workshop, a root cellar, and an amazing flood-irrigated garden. Enjoy the benefits of established apple trees, a thriving peach orchard, and mature shade trees that create a peaceful setting. With plenty of room for gardening, animals, hobbies, equipment, or future improvements, the possibilities are endless. Properties with irrigation, acreage, and this much potential within the city limits are hard to find. Priced at just $165,000 and available to cash buyers only. Don't miss this chance to create something truly special!Also listed as Residential - MLS # 26-633

Key facts

  • Apple trees
  • Outbuildings
  • Root cellar

Tags

IRRIGATED LOTSOUTBUILDINGSWORKSHOPROOT CELLARFLOOD-IRRIGATED GARDENAPPLE TREES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
  • Construction: Structure type: None
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Has Fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $72 ($866/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (20.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#38 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Farmington Municipal Schools (urban): math 23% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #23 of 95 in NM (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mccormick Elementary (411 students, 100% FRL); Tibbetts Middle School (683 students, 100% FRL); Farmington High (math 50% / reading 90%, grade B+, #18 of 110 statewide, top 17%, 1,824 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 48% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 33% district-wide (+37 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Farmington Municipal Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 78 units permitted in San Juan County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Juan County population projected at -51% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $131,057 (20.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.87%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-19,431
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$624
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87401

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
246
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,311 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $350/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$72

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,219
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $166 -5% $119 +0% $72 +5% $25 +10% $-219
Rent -10% $-31 -5% $20 +0% $72 +5% $124 +10% $176
Rate -1.0pp $155 -0.5pp $114 base $72 +0.5pp $29 +1.0pp $-14

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
652 E Main St Farmington, NM 2.0 1.0 425 $1,195 $2.81 45d 9 1.07mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $165,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    listing id $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$350 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,320 · $110/mo
Expected delta
+$970/yr (+$81/mo · 277.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,727
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$350
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,258
− Management
−$1,258
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$2,007
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$482
After-tax cash flow
$1,348/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Farmington Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3500990
Math proficiency
23%
Reading proficiency
43%
Median HH income
$51,365
Composite
31.5/100
National rank
#11178
State rank
#23 of 95 in NM

Livability — Farmington

Score
66/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#11926

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farmington, NM
County
San Juan County · 45,229 people
City population
45,229
Metro
Farmington, NM
Population (ZIP)
45,229
Household income
$61,886
Rent vs Own
35.2% rent · 64.8% own
Severe rent burden
1190.0

Population outlook (San Juan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
95,201 people
By 2030
84,154 · -11.6%
By 2040
63,810 · -33.0%
By 2050
46,929 · -50.7%
By 2075
21,097 · -77.8%
By 2100
9,410 · -90.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.80)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Native American 32% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · San Juan

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.7) · D 33.0% · R 64.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -21.2pp · 2024: -31.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.7 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+33.1 2012: R+28.5 2008: R+21.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -224.62%
Current HPI
170.162
Rent YoY
▲ 5.08%
Metro
Farmington, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $165,000 SJCMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $165,000 SJCMLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $350 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…