125 Willows Edge Ct Unit C · Willow Springs, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Fresh paint
- Private balcony
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: 50 units in building
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $325; Association covers water, parking, insurance, exterior maintenance, lawn care, scavenger, and snow removal; Manager off-site; Pets allowed (cats and dogs) with limits
Exterior
- Parking: 2 assigned parking spaces; Direct access; Additional parking available; Garage faces side; Owned parking
- Utilities: Water: Lake Michigan / Public; Sewer: Public sewer; Electric: Circuit breakers
- Home design: Attached single (townhouse) with 2 stories; End unit; Entry level: 1; Commuter train access nearby
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Building age: 31–40 years
- Exterior features: Patio; Balcony; Landscaped common grounds
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Eating area with table space; Pantry/closet
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (master and second-floor bedroom); Second-floor master bedroom; Second-floor bedroom (12 x 11)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring throughout primary areas; Wood laminate in bedrooms and kitchen; Carpet in living room
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall cooling unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Carbon monoxide detectors
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $229k).
- Recommended offer: $226k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 5.2% in Willow Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#371 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
- Cons Hsd 230 (suburban): math 35% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #146 of 620 in IL (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Willow Springs Elem School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,054 of 2,056 statewide, top 54%, 399 students, 0% FRL); Amos Alonzo Stagg High School (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 2,538 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $177k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.86%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $184,888
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Willows Edge Ct Unit C | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 | 968 (0%) | 2mo | $177,000 | $183 | 98 |
| 131 Willows Edge Ct Unit A | 0.03mi | 2/1.5 | 968 (0%) | 9mo | $217,000 | $224 | 91 |
| 132 Willows Edge Ct Unit A | 0.05mi | 2/1.5 | 968 (0%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $191 | 91 |
| 132 Willows Edge Ct | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 968 (0%) | 22mo | $185,000 | $191 | 77 |
| 8996 Archer Ave Unit 2D | 0.19mi | 2/1.5 | 1,100 (+14%) | 8mo | $206,000 | $187 | 61 |
| 8996 Archer Ave Unit 2B | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (+14%) | 20mo | $216,000 | $196 | 50 |
| 8733 Willow Blvd Unit 4E | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,100 (+14%) | 15mo | $250,000 | $227 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $30,738
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- 21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $114,877
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60480
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,784 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$307 /mo · $3,685/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$325
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$795
- Net cashflow
- $1,061
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,191 | -5% $1,126 | +0% $1,061 | +5% $996 | +10% $931 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $762 | -5% $912 | +0% $1,061 | +5% $1,210 | +10% $1,360 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,176 | -0.5pp $1,119 | base $1,061 | +0.5pp $1,002 | +1.0pp $941 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8900 Archer Ave Willow Springs, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1174 | $4,375 | $3.73 | 0d | 6 | 0.34mi |
| 119 Cliff St Unit 2e Willow Springs, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,800 | $2.40 | 1d | 1 | 1.06mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $325 · $3,900/yr
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $229,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 527-char remark
-
2026-06-01$229,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,685 · $307/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,442 · $370/mo
- Expected delta
- +$757/yr (+$63/mo · 20.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,409
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$3,685
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,633
- − Management
- −$3,633
- − HOA
- −$3,900
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable income
- $9,924
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,382
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cons Hsd 230
- NCES district ID
- 1708400
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,953
- Composite
- 34.29/100
- National rank
- #5244
- State rank
- #146 of 620 in IL
Livability — Willow Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #371
- US rank
- #7733
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Willow Springs, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,319
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 22% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.60%
- Current HPI
- 199.44
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+46.3% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Listed $229,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Sold (MLS) $177,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Listed $185,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-12-21 Sold (MLS) $65,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-29 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-11-10 Listed $61,650 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-17 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-17 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-08-01 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-26 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-16 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-07-06 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-26 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-16 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-06-06 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-05-27 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-05-17 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-05-07 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-27 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-18 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-04-11 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $163,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-28 Sold (MLS) $163,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-06 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-26 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-27 Listed $169,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-22 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-22 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-10-11 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $156,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2023): $3,685 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…