206 N Weakley St · Florence, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.0/15.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this quaint cottage in Florence. It is inviting from the minute you step on the front porch! The 3BR/1BA home was updated in 2023. New exterior doors and double hung windows were installed in 2026. The backyard is completely fenced in with gates on either side. A storage room is located at the back of the house. Great for your lawn equipment. If you are looking as a first time homebuyer, looking to downsize, or just wanting to invest in a rental property, don't miss out. Give this one a look! All info to be verified by purchaser.
Key facts
- Storage room
- Double hung windows
- New exterior doors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Above-grade living area approximately 1,070; R1 zoning
- Construction: Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Covered front and side porches; Shingle roof; Back yard fencing; Chain link and wood fencing; Front yard fencing; Privacy fencing; Few trees; Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 150
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate; Crawl space basement
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled interior; Ceiling fans; Central air
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup (electric); Laundry located in kitchen; Laundry closet; Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (8.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.6% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in AL, #1,140 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Florence City (urban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #44 of 129 in AL (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Weeden Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #367 of 627 statewide, top 60%, 424 students, 87% FRL); Florence Middle School (math 22% / reading 44%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 689 students, 51% FRL); Florence High School (math 28% / reading 34%, grade F, #66 of 305 statewide, top 21%, 1,034 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 269 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 164 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.99%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,610
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 N Orleans St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (-2%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $129 | 90 |
| 213 Normandy Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,125 (+5%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $120 | 79 |
| 33 S Crown St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+3%) | 0mo | $215,000 | $195 | 77 |
| 216 N Eclipse St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,013 (-5%) | 5mo | $125,000 | $123 | 75 |
| 415 N Eclipse St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,124 (+5%) | 7mo | $90,000 | $80 | 75 |
| 32 S Fulton St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+3%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $200 | 73 |
| 29 S Fulton St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+3%) | 8mo | $217,000 | $197 | 68 |
| 221 N Fulton St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (+7%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $131 | 67 |
| 147 N Fulton St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-10%) | 7mo | $118,000 | $123 | 66 |
| 4110 Eastwood Dr | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-1%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $109 | 65 |
| 214 S Kirkman St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+5%) | 1mo | $124,900 | $112 | 54 |
| 2924 Woodard Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 961 (-10%) | 6mo | $47,500 | $49 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-6,267
- Equity at exit
- $21,605
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $30,078
- Equity at exit
- $12,528
Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35630
- Home prices YoY
- -33.7%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 269
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,330 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $331/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $285 | -5% $244 | +0% $203 | +5% $161 | +10% $120 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $97 | -5% $150 | +0% $203 | +5% $255 | +10% $308 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $239 | base $203 | +0.5pp $165 | +1.0pp $127 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,225
- Closing costs
- $4,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416 N Broadway St Florence, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 200 Foxfield Pl Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,120 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3504 Cole Ave Unit B Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 211 N Patton St Unit 1510 Florence, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1846 Darby Dr Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,125 | $0.94 | 45d | 5 | 1.03mi |
| 1975 Darby Dr Florence, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 997 | $815 | $0.82 | 45d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 2021 Cloyd Blvd Florence, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $895 | $0.81 | 45d | 4 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-05-31status $144,900 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$144,900 Active
-
2023-04-04soldstatus $129,900
-
2023-04-03soldstatus $129,900 Closed
-
2023-03-01$129,900
-
2023-03-01historical
-
2013-09-10$52,900
-
2013-03-06$53,000
-
2012-06-29$54,900
-
2011-03-15$57,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $331 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $594 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- +$263/yr (+$22/mo · 79.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,955
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,117
- − Property taxes
- −$331
- − Insurance
- −$724
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,276
- − Management
- −$1,276
- − Depreciation
- −$4,215
- Taxable income
- $14
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,427/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence City
- NCES district ID
- 0101530
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,997
- Composite
- 29.69/100
- National rank
- #6456
- State rank
- #44 of 129 in AL
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #1140
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, AL
- County
- Lauderdale County · 47,988 people
- City population
- 34,028
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,028
- Household income
- $46,304
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1516.0
Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 93,386 people
- By 2030
- 93,634 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 93,114 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 91,586 · -1.9%
- By 2075
- 88,667 · -5.1%
- By 2100
- 81,098 · -13.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.8% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.2pp · 2024: -51.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.5 2020: R+44.7 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+28.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.78%
- Current HPI
- 206.1364
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.18%
- Metro
- Florence-Muscle Shoals, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+150.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $144,900 SAARMLS
- 2023-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
- 2023-04-03 Sold (MLS) $129,900 SAARMLS
- 2023-03-01 Delisted — SAARMLS
- 2023-03-01 Listed $129,900 SAARMLS
- 2013-09-10 Listed $52,900 SAARMLS
- 2013-03-06 Listed $53,000 SAARMLS
- 2012-06-29 Listed $54,900 SAARMLS
- 2011-03-15 Listed $57,900 SAARMLS
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $331 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…