924 Linda Dr · Oak Grove, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- 1% rule +1.4/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
cute 3 bedroom, 2 full baths, 1 car garage, range, refrigerator, dishwasher, central air & heat, deck, chain linked fenced in backyard, nice level lot, front porch, MOVE IN READY, 1,250 sq.ft., located close to Exit 89 off I-24.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Move in ready
- 0.38 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-204 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (17.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (36.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (36.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.5% in Oak Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#445 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Christian County (town): math 30% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #93 of 165 in KY (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 83 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 193 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (66 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
- Christian County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.64% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.17%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 13.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $232,706
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -9.76%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Oak Tree Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,125 (+0%) | 0mo | $212,500 | $189 | 91 |
| 930 Arrow Cir | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-2%) | 0mo | $229,900 | $209 | 91 |
| 202 Ruf Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (0%) | 0mo | $179,900 | $161 | 87 |
| 434 Pacific Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,103 (-2%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $195 | 80 |
| 300 Hunter Owens Ct | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (+3%) | 3mo | $225,000 | $196 | 80 |
| 124 Bob White Trl | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+13%) | 2mo | $257,000 | $202 | 71 |
| 28 Echo Rdg | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (+9%) | 3mo | $286,900 | $234 | 70 |
| 414 Pacific Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-11%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $185 | 68 |
| 1646 Hannibal Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,087 (-3%) | 1mo | $140,000 | $129 | 67 |
| 705 Polk Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (-2%) | 2mo | $226,000 | $205 | 66 |
| 1957 Timberline Cir | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,050 (-6%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $171 | 63 |
| 106 Ambridge St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,179 (+5%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $204 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.88% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-14,334
- Equity at exit
- $70,367
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-6,803
- Equity at exit
- $92,498
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42262
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 13.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,344 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $930/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $-204
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-86 | -5% $-145 | +0% $-204 | +5% $-264 | +10% $-323 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-311 | -5% $-258 | +0% $-204 | +5% $-151 | +10% $-98 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-99 | -0.5pp $-151 | base $-204 | +0.5pp $-259 | +1.0pp $-314 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136 New Gritton Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $1,000 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 907 Desota Ln Oak Grove, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 907 Desota Ln Oak Grove, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1423 | $1,895 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 326 Atlantic Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,325 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 323 Atlantic Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 323 Atlantic Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 307 Pappy Dr Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 307 Pappy Dr Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,450 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 104 Pepper Ct Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,285 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 110 Brandi Ct Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1467 | $1,425 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1005 Poppy Seed Dr Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,125 | $1.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 611 Artic Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 630 Artic Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,275 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1331 Hugh Hunter Rd Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 268 Golden Pond Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $1,475 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 276 Hugh Hunter Rd Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1539 Hugh Hunter Rd Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $900 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1808 Harbor Dr Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 116 Gail St Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,095 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 202 Jenna Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1183 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 202 Jenna Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1183 | $1,150 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 102 Meadow Ln Unit A Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 207 Jenna Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,275 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 205 Anthony Ln Unit 21 Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 38 Patricia Ln Unit 38 Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 615 Kerri Ln Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $825 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 607 Kerri Ln Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $900 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 689 Artic Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 689 Artic Ave Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 22d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 721 Trevor Ln Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $925 | $0.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 822 Monroe Ln Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 703 Trevor Ln Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $850 | $0.76 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 815 Monroe Ln Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $875 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1088 Pembroke Oak Grove Rd Unit 21 Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 151 Ambridge St Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,530 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1108 Pembroke Oak Grove Rd Apt 19 Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,245 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 416 Filmore Rd Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,295 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 9103 Pembroke Oak Grove Rd Unit 3E Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $995 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 823 Stableford Rd Oak Grove, KY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 9063 Pembroke Oak Grove Rd Unit 1B Oak Grove, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $995 | $0.90 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
cute 3 bedroom, 2 full baths, 1 car garage, range, refrigerator, dishwasher, central air & heat, deck, chain linked fenced in backyard, nice level lot, front porch, MOVE IN READY, 1,250 sq.ft., located close to Exit 89 off I-24.
-
2026-04-20price $210,000 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
cute 3 bedroom, 2 full baths, 1 car garage, range, refrigerator, dishwasher, central air & heat, deck, chain linked fenced in backyard, nice level lot, front porch, MOVE IN READY, 1,250 sq.ft., located close to Exit 89 off I-24.
-
2026-01-23$231,000 Active 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
cute 3 bedroom, 2 full baths, 1 car garage, range, refrigerator, dishwasher, central air & heat, deck, chain linked fenced in backyard, nice level lot, front porch, MOVE IN READY, 1,250 sq.ft., located close to Exit 89 off I-24.
-
2026-01-01historical 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath, 1 car garage, concrete driveway, front porch, deck, fenced in backyard, 1,250 sq.ft.,
-
2025-10-27price $231,000 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath, 1 car garage, concrete driveway, front porch, deck, fenced in backyard, 1,250 sq.ft.,
-
2025-05-23$241,000 Active 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
3 bedroom, 2 bath, 1 car garage, concrete driveway, front porch, deck, fenced in backyard, 1,250 sq.ft.,
-
2019-05-08historical
-
2019-04-30$115,000
-
2019-02-01historical
-
2018-06-14$105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $930 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,806 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$876/yr (+$73/mo · 94.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,129
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$930
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,290
- − Management
- −$1,290
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$6,305
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,513
- After-tax cash flow
- $-941/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Christian County
- NCES district ID
- 2101150
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,961
- Composite
- 26.8/100
- National rank
- #7118
- State rank
- #93 of 165 in KY
Livability — Oak Grove
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #445
- US rank
- #21938
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oak Grove, KY
- County
- Christian County · 51,080 people
- City population
- 9,665
- Metro
- Clarksville, TN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,665
- Household income
- $51,975
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 485.0
Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,861 people
- By 2030
- 65,808 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 60,090 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 54,561 · -19.6%
- By 2075
- 45,859 · -32.4%
- By 2100
- 38,310 · -43.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 19% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Polish 4% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · German/W. Germanic 10% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Christian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.6% · R 66.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: -21.2pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+28.4 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+23.8 2008: R+21.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.88%
- Current HPI
- 264.8628
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.03%
- Metro
- Clarksville, TN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+100.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $210,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-23 Listed $231,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $231,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-23 Listed $241,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-08 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-04-30 Listed $115,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-01 Listing Removed — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-14 Listed $105,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $930 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…