🔨 Auction
9215 State Route 19 · Galion, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Being offered at auction on Tuesday, March 24th, 2026 @ 5:00 PM. Auction to be held @ the property 9215 State Route 19, Galion, OH 44833. Don't miss the opportunity to purchase this vinyl-sided four-bedroom home with a large country kitchen, main level laundry, & a two car-attached garage. The home has metal roof. Mini-split for heating and cooling. The owner's suite has a large en suite bathroom & closet area (approx. 19'8”X12'7”). Renovations on the home have been started but have not been completed. Two buildings (14'X18'; 12'X16' w/ lean-to). Open deck overlooking the fenced yard. Sold As-Is, subject to Seller's confirmation and Probate Court approval. Full auctio
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Vinyl-sided
- Fenced yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-167 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#833 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Northmor Local (rural): math 54% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #336 of 656 in OH (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Morrow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morrow County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 264264.0% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.05%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $176,176
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9215 State Route 19 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,936 (0%) | 1mo | $177,000 | $91 | 92 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-39,136
- Equity at exit
- $26,268
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-47,658
- Equity at exit
- $15,232
Cash invested: $49,329 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44833
- Home prices YoY
- -27.9%
- Active inventory
- 76
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,330 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$924
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$220 /mo · $2,643/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $-167
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-45 | -5% $-106 | +0% $-167 | +5% $-227 | +10% $-288 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-272 | -5% $-219 | +0% $-167 | +5% $-114 | +10% $-61 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-78 | -0.5pp $-122 | base $-167 | +0.5pp $-212 | +1.0pp $-259 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,044
- Closing costs
- $5,285
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-25status Pending
-
2026-03-20$1 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,964
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,869
- − Property taxes
- −$2,643
- − Insurance
- −$881
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,277
- − Management
- −$1,277
- − Depreciation
- −$5,125
- Taxable loss
- −$5,108
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,226
- After-tax cash flow
- $-773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northmor Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904881
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,371
- Composite
- 48.51/100
- National rank
- #2120
- State rank
- #336 of 656 in OH
Livability — Galion
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #833
- US rank
- #15587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Morrow · 41,908 people
- City population
- 16,641
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,641
- Household income
- $57,234
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.8
Population outlook (Morrow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,607 people
- By 2030
- 35,482 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 34,369 · -3.5%
- By 2050
- 32,038 · -10.0%
- By 2075
- 25,090 · -29.5%
- By 2100
- 17,123 · -51.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Morrow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.4pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+54.3 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.57%
- Current HPI
- 218.195
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,820 · -13.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…