CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
128 Howard St
B- Composite 69.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

128 Howard St · Jamestown, NY 14701
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1952 10,050 sqft lot $36/sqft · 58% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity on Howard Street in Jamestown. With over 1,400 square feet, this property is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a renovation project with strong upside potential. Some existing violations are currently being remediated by the owner. The home features hardwood floors ready to be refinished and a layout that offers excellent value-add potential. With the right vision, this property could generate solid returns or make a strong long-term rental investment or single family home. The property is being sold as-is and currently has known violations. Due to the condition, exterior showings only at this time. Interior access may be granted upon request for serious buyers with proof of funds.

Key facts

  • Hardwood floors
  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $589 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.5% vs local median 16.8% in Jamestown — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
  • Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $49,151 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.37%
Cap rate
20.46%
Cash-on-cash
50.61%
DSCR
3.25
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,830
List price
$49,900
Delta
-58.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
128 Howard St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,404 (0%) 1mo $38,000 $27 99
392 Broadhead Ave 0.12mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,552 (+10%) 7mo $125,000 $81 64
307 Newland Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,334 (-5%) 3mo $50,000 $37 63
101 E Virginia Blvd 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,412 (+1%) 6mo $191,250 $135 62
117 Camp St 0.60mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,392 (-1%) 2mo $115,000 $83 62
60 W Virginia Blvd 0.44mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,469 (+5%) 4mo $145,000 $99 62
22 Linwood Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,337 (-5%) 3mo $90,000 $67 61
298 Broadhead Ave 0.21mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,588 (+13%) 8mo $132,000 $83 57
11 Superior St 0.37mi 2/2.0 1,269 (-10%) 9mo $109,900 $87 55
306 Charles St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,320 (-6%) 5mo $75,000 $57 50
11 Myers Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,317 (-6%) 9mo $45,000 $34 50
9 Myers Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,290 (-8%) 3mo $35,000 $27 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.4%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$29,462
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
54.0%
Equity multiple
6.30×
Total profit
$74,053
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14701

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
315
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,182 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $748/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$589

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $624 -5% $606 +0% $589 +5% $572 +10% $555
Rent -10% $496 -5% $543 +0% $589 +5% $636 +10% $683
Rate -1.0pp $614 -0.5pp $602 base $589 +0.5pp $576 +1.0pp $563

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
148 Maple St Jamestown, NY 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,350 $0.95 45d 1 0.57mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Investment opportunity on Howard Street in Jamestown. With over 1,400 square feet, this property is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a renovation project with strong upside potential. Some existing violations are currently being remediated by the owner. The home features hardwood floors ready to be refinished and a layout that offers excellent value-add potential. With the right vision, this property could generate solid returns or make a strong long-term rental investment or single family home. The property is being sold as-is and currently has known violations. Due to the condition, exterior showings only at this time. Interior access may be granted upon request for serious buyers with proof of funds.

  2. 2026-04-12
    listed $49,900 Active 717-char remark
    Show marketing remark (717 chars)

    Investment opportunity on Howard Street in Jamestown. With over 1,400 square feet, this property is ideal for investors or buyers seeking a renovation project with strong upside potential. Some existing violations are currently being remediated by the owner. The home features hardwood floors ready to be refinished and a layout that offers excellent value-add potential. With the right vision, this property could generate solid returns or make a strong long-term rental investment or single family home. The property is being sold as-is and currently has known violations. Due to the condition, exterior showings only at this time. Interior access may be granted upon request for serious buyers with proof of funds.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,189
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$748
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,135
− Management
−$1,135
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$6,674
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,602
After-tax cash flow
$5,469/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jamestown City School District
NCES district ID
3615630
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$32,240
Composite
30.69/100
National rank
#6176
State rank
#553 of 590 in NY

Livability — Jamestown

Score
69/100
State rank
#470
US rank
#8213

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jamestown, NY
County
Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
City population
38,461
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,461
Household income
$49,685
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.93%
Current HPI
259.402
Rent YoY
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

-2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,644 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…